Chism Strategies

Leading direct voter contact firm. Innovators grounded in the best social science research. Decades mobilizing voters and changing public opinion.

[Chism Strategies @ChismStrat]

Texas may be the most interesting of this year’s Senate contests, with competitive primaries on both sides and potential for an upset in November.

Our new survey takes a deeper dive into the primary electorate to see how voters in TX view their options: https://t.co/9VuTwAlsX6

[DDHQ Data @DDHQdata]

Blueprint Polling
02/23 – 02/24
472 LV

Texas US Senate Primary Ballot Test

🔵 James Talarico -- 51.9%
🔵 Jasmine Crockett -- 40.0%
🔵 Ahmad Hassan -- 0.2%

https://t.co/O6wdP8tl25
---
VIEW OUR POLLING AVERAGES HERE:
https://t.co/FUrqbFxXxN

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

Blueprint polling | 2/23-2/24 LV

US Senate Texas Democratic primary 2026 crosstabs (net)

Male: Talarico (+30.0)
Female: Talarico (+1.4)
Non-binary: Talarico (+100.0)
Ages 18-34: Talarico (+31.9)
Ages 35-44: Talarico (+45.2)
Ages 45-54: Talarico (+12.6)
Ages 55-64: Crockett (+6.2)
Ages 65 or older: Crockett (+1.8)
White: Talarico (+54.4)
African American/Black: Crockett (+89.6)
Hispanic/Latino: Talarico (+29.3)

[Polling USA @USA_Polling]

Texas - Democratic Governor Polling:

Hinjosa: 61%
Bell: 4%
Cole: 3%
Villescaz: 2%

Blueprint / Feb 24, 2026

[Polling USA @USA_Polling]

Texas Democrats - Those Who Consider Themselves To Be A:

Moderate: 59%
Progressive: 53%
Liberal: 47%
Socialist: 25%

Blueprint / Feb 24, 2026

[Polling USA @USA_Polling]

Texas - Democratic Senate Polling Leads:

All: 🟢 Talarico +12

Men: 🟢 Talarico +30
Women: 🔵 Crockett +2

White: 🟢 Talarico +55
Hispanic: 🟢 Talarico +29
Black: 🔵 Crockett +90

Blueprint / Feb 24, 2026

[Polling USA @USA_Polling]

Texas - Democratic Senate Polling:

🟢 Talarico: 52%
🔵 Crockett: 40%

Blueprint / Feb 24, 2026

[InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022]

Texas Democratic primary crosstabs

🟣 James Talarico: 52%
🟠 Jasmine Crockett: 40%
——
🟣 Male: Talarico: +30
🟠 Female: Crockett +1
🟣 Non-binary: Talarico +100
---
🟣 White: Talarico +54
🟠 Black: Crockett +90
🟣 Hispanic: Talarico +29
---
🟣 Ages 18-34: Talarico +32
🟣 Ages 35-44: Talarico +45
🟣 Ages 45-54: Talarico +13
🟠 Ages 55-64: Crockett +6
🟠 Ages 65+: Crockett +2
---
🟣 White women: Talarico +43
🟣 Hispanic women: Talarico +13
🟠 Black women: Crockett +94
---
🟣 White men: Talarico +70
🟠 Black men: Crockett +84
🟣 Hispanic men: Talarico +49
---
🟣 Socialists: Talarico +27
🟣 Moderates: Talarico +27
——
• Chism Strategies/Blueprint Polling
• 2/23-24 | 472 LV | MoE: ±4.51%
https://t.co/N46tD5zrxy

[The Political HQ @ThePoliticalHQ]

In two recent polls conducted on February 24 by Blueprint Polling and Chism Strategies, James Talarico leads Jasmine Crockett by 12 points.

Both polls show Talarico at 52% and Crockett at 40%.

[Political Polls @PpollingNumbers]

New - Senate primary poll - Texas

🔵 Talarico 52%
🔵 Crockett 40%

Chism Strategies #C - LV - 2/24

[InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022]

Texas Senate Democratic Primary

🟦 James Talarico: 52%
🟦 Jasmine Crockett: 40%

Chism Strategies | 2/23-24 | 472 LV
https://t.co/dpneBYCheO

[Chism Strategies @ChismStrat]

READ MORE: https://t.co/9VuTwAlsX6

[Chism Strategies @ChismStrat]

Texas may be the most interesting of this year’s Senate contests, with competitive primaries on both sides and potential for an upset in November.

Our new survey takes a deeper dive into the primary electorate to see how voters in TX view their options: https://t.co/9VuTwAlsX6

[Chism Strategies @ChismStrat]

In the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn 42%-30%.

In a runoff scenario, Paxton leads 49%-36%.

A theoretical endorsement from Donald Trump seals the deal for Ken Paxton.

[Chism Strategies @ChismStrat]

Brannon Miller sits down with @ExpressNews City Hall reporter Molly Smith and ENSide Politics host Greg Jefferson to discuss next year's race for the U.S. Senate, the upcoming campaign for public dollars for a Spurs arena, and more.

WATCH: https://t.co/DzopkADEB7