CNalysis

Your go-to source for nonpartisan state legislative election forecasts and analysis across the country 2020-2024.

For 2025 onward, check out @StateNavigate!

[CNalysis @CNalysis]

As you may or may not be aware, we shut down operations last month.

We are donating most of our content to @StateNavigate, a new 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization that'll continue the work we do. Make sure to check it out!

https://t.co/QPoEGmO0WJ

[CNalysis @CNalysis]

As you may or may not be aware, we shut down operations last month.

We are donating most of our content to @StateNavigate, a new 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization that'll continue the work we do. Make sure to check it out!

https://t.co/QPoEGmO0WJ

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

Coming tomorrow in the @CNalysis state legislative forecasts in North Carolina: 11 rating changes, all toward the Democrats. Current: https://t.co/s7LHYJRAWO

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

🚨FORECAST UPDATE🚨

Today we're making some rating changes in our Presidential, US Senate, and US House forecasts at @CNalysis

President:

VA | Very Likely D → Solid D
FL | Very Likely R → Likely R
AK | Solid R → Very Likely R
NC | Tilt R → Toss-Up

https://t.co/no3rEN3Wv0

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

50 days until Election Day, here's my summary of where things are in our Bang for Your Buck model right now. If you want to have your money spent wisely in state legislatures this year, check out our model!

https://t.co/ZkSqNhXjrc

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

32 changes coming in the crucial rust belt states of PA, MI, WI State House/Assembly tomorrow. All but two are in favor of Republicans.

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

What's your favorite feature on @CNalysis?

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

As of tomorrow, there are 202 Toss-Up state legislative districts in the @CNalysis forecasts. The goal, of course, is to get about half (or more) of the districts we rate as Toss-Ups before Toss-Up elimination correct.

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

📊📈FORECAST UPDATE📉📊

The @CNalysis presidential forecast has been updated. Rating changes:

AZ | Toss-Up to Tilt R (FLIP)
NM | Solid D to Very Likely D
ME | Very Likely D to Likely D
NC | Tilt R to Lean R
NH | Likely D to Lean D

https://t.co/no3rEN3Wv0

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

🚨ANNOUNCEMENT🚨

Today I am announcing the @StateNavigate project, an organization pending 501(c)(3) status that is aiming to have a full launch in January of next year, to act as a compass, and home, for all things state legislatures.

https://t.co/DAudGFHsGF

[CNalysis @CNalysis]

Unfortunately, we will be ending our operations at the end of the year after the 2024 election. We'll still be running, however, through it and keep you up to date on state legislative elections! Read more here as to what's next: https://t.co/GDhSruk5ng

[AdImpact Politics @AdImpact_Pol]

#VAPol: Today is primary day in Virginia. We’ve tracked $35M in political ad spending across today’s elections. Here's a look at ad support in the most expensive House primaries.

[CNalysis @CNalysis]

Please stay tuned for a major announcement tomorrow, June 20th at Noon eastern on @CNalysis concerning the future of our website and efforts on covering state legislatures - we will crosspost on here when the article @ChazNuttycombe has written is online.

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

NEW from me @CNalysis - predictions on tomorrow's primaries for the US House and US Senate https://t.co/1bAj9EbmKa

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

VA is more competitive than it should be for the Biden campaign, but it comes as no surprise - not only is Biden unpopular now compared to 2020, but the VA GOP isn't depleted unlike during the Trump era.

We're moving VA from Very Likely D to Likely D in the @CNalysis forecast.

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

It'll cost us some $, but I decided that to improve navigability on @CNalysis, I'm disabling ads on our website and forecasts as of today. If you'd like to help offset the cost, you can donate to our LLC here: https://t.co/aEr4Uisbn7

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

📊📈FORECAST UPDATE📉📊

Today we're making six changes in our 2024 Electoral College forecast at @CNalysis. For the first time since our forecast launched in April of last year, Donald Trump is the odds-on favorite to win the presidency.

https://t.co/no3rEN4uky

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

NEW from me at @CNalysis, my 10,700+ word Independent Study final paper analyzing the unique divide between the emerging far-right and the establishment in Idaho, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming.

https://t.co/8Lx0YAgk05

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

NEW from me @CNalysis, a brief commentary on my thoughts on Baker v. Carr from late 2022 for my Voting & Elections class. https://t.co/oAn6TW7AIn

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

NEW from me at @CNalysis - my final paper for last semester's Public Opinion class: a late-October analysis and set of predictions for the Virginia 2023 elections. As I wrap up undergrad, I'll be posting an assignment every day thru next week.

https://t.co/TPVFs783Ka