ANZ: “Transits of the Strait of Hormuz by #tankers with their transponders turned off fell sharply after edging lower in recent weeks, according to Rystad Energy data. The 7-dma is now only 1 vessel per day.”
#markets
Recent developments regarding tensions between Saudi Arabia and Houthis ⤵️
🔴 Tensions between Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Houthis are escalating after Houthi attacks injured 73 civilians and sparked fires at energy facilities in southern Saudi Arabia, temporarily disrupting some operations
➡️ Attacks follow reported Houthi battlefield losses as Yemeni government forces made advances in Al-Jawf, Al-Bayda, Taiz and Al-Hudaydah
▪️Riyadh has vowed measures to neutralize threats, while Yemen’s government backed Saudi Arabia
El Ministerio de Energía de Arabia Saudita informó que los ataques provocaron incendios en varias instalaciones, lo que ha llevado al cese temporal de algunas operaciones.
BREAKING NEWS:
IRAN HAS JUST ANNOUNCED ITS LATEST DEMANDS TO GET ANY KIND OF PEACE NEGOTIATIONS WITH THE U.S.
- $300 billion in U.S. compensation
- Complete lifting of all U.S. sanctions
- Release of $100 billion in frozen Iranian assets
- End of the U.S. naval blockade
- US troop withdrawal from the entire region
- A comprehensive regional ceasefire including in Lebanon and Gaza.
🛢️🇸🇦 A Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC), laden with more than 2 million barrels of Saudi crude, is currently bypassing the Red Sea and Bab el Mandeb choke point by taking the long route around the Cape of Good Hope on its way to South Korea. This alternative passage nearly doubles the nautical distance relative to the standard Suez Canal transit and adds approximately 30 days of steaming time.
Significantly, the vessel did not take on its full cargo at the Saudi load ports. It initially received a partial lift via a ship to ship transfer off Saudi Arabia's western terminals. That reduced draft enabled the ship to navigate north and clear the Suez Canal, which cannot accommodate a fully laden VLCC due to draft restrictions. The tanker then completed its remaining load at the Sidi Kerir anchorage on Egypt's Mediterranean coast, as indicated by the red arrow. From that point, it set a southeast course for the Korean Peninsula.
Iran is preparing a new exclusion zone around Hormuz as traffic through the strait falls to single digits. Türkiye has already raised its 2026 energy import estimate to $71 billion.
↳ Bosphorus News
https://t.co/TbIIpSBHdC
A Houthi military spokesperson says the group plans to announce a broad military operation deep inside Saudi territory.
For now, this is a stated intention, not evidence that such an operation has begun.
Any market impact would depend on what is actually targeted and whether Saudi energy or transport infrastructure is affected.
ALERT | Iran-backed Houthi forces have launched missile and drone attacks against several cities in Saudi Arabia, including Abha and Jizan, with Saudi authorities reporting 73 people wounded.
The attacks targeted Abha International Airport, King Khalid Air Base and Aramco facilities, raising fears that the US-Iran conflict is spreading into a wider regional war.
Japan crisis, crude oil crisis, US Debt crisis, a stock bubble, a real estate bubble, a private credit bubble all at the same time - I think this is the moment in history where financial markets have been the most detached from reality
🟥WOOOOOW!
A VLCC carrying more than 2 million barrels of Saudi crude is heading to South Korea the long way — around Africa.
That voyage is roughly twice as far as the usual Red Sea/Bab Al Mandab route, adding about 30 days.
The tanker was only partly loaded, apparently by ship-to-ship transfer off Saudi Arabia’s western ports. It then sailed north and transited the Suez Canal. A fully loaded VLCC cannot cross Suez. It finished loading Saudi crude at Sidi Kerir (Egypt, see red arrow) then set course for South Korea.
Map from @kpler. I added the white line, the two red arrows and the red circle.