1/3 What is DeFi?
DeFi, Decentralized Finance, is a new way of handling money on the internet without relying on traditional banks. It uses smart contracts and blockchain technology to let people save, lend, borrow, and trade digital assets directly with each other.
Only constant in human action is greed & fear (in the chart: RSI color overlay). IMO greed (red) will return.
Scarcity (in the chart: S2F dotted line) is a fundamental driver of value, together with other factors. Bitcoin is scarcer than gold. IMO mcap BTC will be > mcap gold.
Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because ... the 4 year cycle!?
IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes, there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio, and 6 months before until 18 months after a halving was very profitable last 3 cycles. But, 3 cycles is not enough for a reliable pattern, and it is absolutely not guaranteed that the top is again 18 months after the halving (Oct'25!). Also, S2F model says nothing about tops or bottoms, only about the average price level in a halving cycle, assuming a fundamental phase transition (as described in the S2FX article, on my website in the bio). So IMO the top could very well be in 2026, or 2027, or 2028 ... actually I am much more interested in the average price level than the top (or the bottom).
What I do know is: there has not been a fundamental bitcoin phase transition yet in this cycle. Realized price (grey line) has not diverted from 200 week moving average (black line), RSI has not been 80+ (red) etc. Either the big jump has yet to come, or we have transitioned into a more stable price regime, dominated by institutions, fund mandates (e.g. 1%-10% btc) and rebalancing (sell after pump and buy after dump, to keep exposures within mandate). Both scenarios are very bullish for bitcoin. Also, IMO there can not be a big bear market without a big jump (red RSI 80+ and grey realized price diverting from black 200wma).
Please listen to and share his beautiful recitation of the Qur’an, as it may be counted as a sadaqah for him
May Allah grant him the highest level of Jannah
Changpeng Zhao, ( CZ) as the Turkish crypto community, we want to ask you an open and honest question and we expect a sincere answer.
Today, more than 90% of altcoin investors around the world are in loss. But something strange happened yesterday, Even though no one sold, almost all altcoins suddenly lost up to 90% of their value.
Some even spiked down to zero for a few seconds.
How is that possible?
How can prices crash without any real selling?
Is this truly a “natural market movement,” or is there an invisible mechanism operating in the background?
What’s even more interesting is that this didn’t happen to tokens that are not listed on any exchange.
For example, the last token I purchased, @AlfTokenETH , didn’t face such a crash simply because it’s not listed on any exchange (this is just an example).
Is this just a coincidence, or are we looking at a systemic issue within exchanges?
As the Turkish crypto community, we genuinely want to know the truth.
When people’s hard earned savings and years of effort can vanish in seconds, we believe that every altcoin investor has the right to hear an honest explanation directly from you.
CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance@binance
People with $50,000 in the bank wouldn't go out and buy a $50,000 car but people with $1000 in the bank go out and get $50,000 cars on finance.
There's your problem.