ColemanRisk

Thomas Coleman is a senior lecturer at the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy and Executive Director for the Center for Economic Policy.

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

Conversation about inflation and the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level with John Cochrane and members of the CFA Institute https://t.co/rZq5qx8ykz @JohnHCochrane #inflation

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

Three Myths about U.S. Economic Inequality and Social Mobility https://t.co/ClN24KBlZc @NiskanenCenter discussing my recent paper with @xisong and @regressiondisco

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

I estimate lower bounds for covid IFR from towns in northern Italy. Mortality for men is high: 2.1% for men 65-74, 3.6-times higher than younger men and 2.6-times higher than women. https://t.co/kOWIlQz9aL

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

Attended extraordinarily boring board meeting for derivatives product subsidiary of a global bank. Extraordinary because it largely covered the boring business of banking. Extraordinary how well the people and business are adapting.

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

"What was the economic impact of the 1918 pandemic?" It seems to have been rather minor - earlier thoughts updated wth statistics for real GDP growth - at https://t.co/GhnVkstIOS or https://t.co/wTe4VIaq0n

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

The news about the coronavirus is (as we all know) not good. I've put together some simple statistics, and comparison with influenza, to help me think about the current situation and possible scenarios - at https://t.co/Jyjh3YCYZE

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

Coronavirus has roiled financial markets. In contrast to 2008, today's shock comes from the real economy not the financial sector. We do not know how bad the financial fallout will be, but looking to 2008 for guidance could be a mistake. See more at https://t.co/wTe4VIaq0n

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

Spoke Monday with Harris students: "How Friedman & Schwartz Saved the World in 2008" - slides https://t.co/Mx7blwyzYC

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

Just finished https://t.co/50fi7lh6ex Inspiring to see the passion for social science - theory, data, econometrics - as a tool for understanding important human issues.

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

Conference on empirical economics, honoring James Heckman: https://t.co/50fi7lh6ex Listening now to Chris Flinn, investment in children

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

@causalinf @sndurlauf GitHub repository with South London data from 1854 & 1849 outbreak, plus analysis in R Notebooks: https://t.co/PNoasXA3iJ

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

@causalinf @sndurlauf From Snow (1855 "On the mode ..." p 89): "Table XII [sums at bottom] exhibit an increase of mortality in 1854 as compared with 1849 [in Southwark&Vauxhall] ... whilst there is a considerable diminution of mortality in the sub-districts partly supplied by the Lambeth Company."

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

@sndurlauf Snow was impressive: 1) determined to carefully and thoroughly examine range of data and events to demonstrate his point. 2) tenacious but gentlemanly in the face of widespread disregard for his arguments

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

@sndurlauf Not sure why Snow didn't look at rates. He did elsewhere. Would have strengthened his argument.

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

@sndurlauf From Snow (1855 "On the mode ..." p 89): "Table XII [sums at bottom] exhibit an increase of mortality in 1854 as compared with 1849 [in Southwark&Vauxhall] ... whilst there is a considerable diminution of mortality in the sub-districts partly supplied by the Lambeth Company.”

[ColemanRisk @ColemanRisk]

Marginal contribution to Value-at-Risk. How do you calculate that? Not an easy question - some ideas at http://t.co/XNgiqeB9Es

[Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @BeckerFriedman]

Jim Heckman on NPR's All Things Considered about returns to early childhood (pre-K) investment - http://t.co/3GQHJxHj

[Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @BeckerFriedman]

Hansen and Sargent giving their poster - one of the pleasures of the Ambiguity Workshop - http://t.co/GVyQJhGz

[Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @BeckerFriedman]

Building uncertainty in economic models is difficult w/ probability theory. http://t.co/GVyQJhGz brings together experts to explore