Anthropic maintains that it is entitled to train for free on all the world’s output, even if the author objects. But if a competitor trains on Anthropic’s output after paying for it, that is IP theft. The hypocrisy is breathtaking.
22 Tiny Lessons from my conversation with Nicolai Tangen.
1. The faster you reply, the less you need to say. If you reply in a minute, you can say two words. If you wait a day, it’s a paragraph.
2. Overanalyzing doesn’t improve the outcome. It just makes you more confident about the outcome.
3. “If you have really high ambitions, you achieve great things even if you fail. If you have low ambitions, you achieve nothing even if you succeed.”
4. “You call it gut feel, nobody believes in it. You call it pattern recognition, a lot of people believe in it.”
5. Repetition is persuasive.
6. “Why make the same mistakes when there are so many to choose from? Find some new ones.”
7. Take the same amount of risk after a win and a loss.
8. “Things shouldn’t take longer than they need to take.”
9. Doing nothing is often the best option.
10. Speed and agility are the only hedge in a world you can’t predict.
11. Be impenetrable against social pressure and instant in responding to evidence.
12. The people who feel weird, different, and misunderstood are the ones who change the world.
13. Changing a culture is a ten-year project. If you think you’re halfway done in two, you haven’t started.
14. Asking for advice makes people think you’re smart because you are clever enough to recognize how clever they are.
15. “If you’re not curious, you’re not going to listen.”
16. “I would inject AI everywhere. I would just go all in.”
17. “It’s difficult to find people who are really contrarian now because you need to live in a space where people don’t agree with you.”
18. “You don’t have to be disliked even though people disagree with you.”
19. You can’t please everyone. Even if you are right, 10% of people will disagree with you.
20. The source of most of our poor decisions is blind spots.
21. “I don’t think you should profit from people who have a tough time.”
22. “Wealth is basically created by owning one or two really good assets, and then you just hold onto it for the very long term.”
Listen and learn.
Before 2030, the jobs won’t be automated. They’ll be gone. Jason Calacanis just explained why nobody in power is telling you that.
Calacanis: “The idea that when you order something from Amazon, a human would touch it at any point in that supply chain is insane.”
Not eventually. Before 2030.
Calacanis: “Before 2030, you’re gonna see Amazon replace all factory workers and all drivers.”
This isn’t speculation. It’s math.
Calacanis: “Every self-driving car is four full-time jobs. And every humanoid robot in a factory is five jobs, maybe six.”
One machine. Six salaries. No physical limitations. No sleep. No shifts.
The corporate incentive to deploy isn’t just strong. It’s unstoppable.
Calacanis: “Every Amazon worker, all those jobs. UPS, gone. FedEx, gone.”
Every previous economic revolution gave society time to adapt. The Agricultural Revolution unfolded over generations. The Industrial Revolution took fifty years.
Entire lifetimes for workers to retrain, relocate, rebuild.
Calacanis: “This one will happen in a decade.”
That’s the number nobody wants to sit with. Not fifty years. Not a generation.
Ten years for millions of people to find a new reason to exist economically.
Calacanis: “What happens to those people who get caught in the gap?”
Technologists say new jobs will be created. They’re probably right in the long run.
But the long run is cold comfort to a UPS driver in 2027 whose entire profession evaporated while economists were still writing papers about it.
Calacanis: “Somebody needs to retrain these people.”
Yes, your Amazon order will arrive faster. Your Uber will cost half as much. The companies will be more profitable than anything in history.
And millions of people will be standing in a gap that nobody closed.
We know exactly what’s coming, exactly when it’s arriving, and exactly who it’s hitting.
The only thing missing is the plan.
And the time to build one is almost gone.
1. When you write something intended to be read by an important person, go through it and cut every unnecessary word.
2. The reader of anything you publish is an important person.
I don't understand how we're not having a global revolution right now.
There are 3 million files of documented evidence about powerful men who
Raped
Cannibalized
Trafficked
Filmed
Terrorized
Tortured
Murdered
13, 14, 15 year children!
And Zero arrests.
The Left lectured us for the last decade about the dangers of violence from the Right
From the assassination attempts of President Trump
To Brian Thompson, the United Healthcare CEO, being murdered
Now to Charlie Kirk
The danger was actually on the Left
@ChelseaFC Disgraceful team. This is embarrassing. Besides 2 or 3 players, there is no pasion and committment. There is a total lack of football in almost the entire team. It's not just Pochs fault, the players are literally horrible.
1/8
¿Conoces la paradoja del litio chileno?
En este boom de demanda y precios, tenemos las mejores condiciones para producirlo y recaudar millonarios recursos
PERO no estamos aprovechando nuestro potencial y nos estamos quedando atrás en esta carrera ¿Por qué? Aquí explicamos 👇
La CC busca avanzar en descentralizar el país con “regiones cn autonomía política, administrativa, financiera y patrimonio propio”
Descentralizar es necesaria y valorada x los chilenos pero debe hacerse bien. X suerte existe extensa evidencia económica para guiarse. Reviso👇
1/14 #Hilo cuatro claves del aumento de la #inflación:
1. ¿Qué pasó y cual es relevancia histórica?
2. ¿Cuál es la causa de la inflación en Chile?
3. ¿Cuáles son los costos de la inflación? ¿Quién paga la cuenta? No los políticos
4. ¿Q medidas se han tomado para enfrentarla?
El problema con los cuicos progres es que ya tienen resuelto su bienestar económico. Les afecta bien poco si dejan la cagada con sus inexperiencias, sueños fantasiosos y épicas infantiles.
El impuesto corporativo no es progresivo, es regresivo. Bajar el impuesto corporativo es una politica progresiva: principales beneficiados serían trabajadores y consumidores.
@DMatamala