Sam Coinnoisseur

2017 pico top buyer | 2018 Pico bottom seller | Still haven't made it | I need financial advice desperately

[willo2 @willo2_Poly]

I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket.

I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st".

Here's what happened:

[Ian Carroll @IanCarrollShow]

Thomas Massie is America first.

And for that he is under attack by all enemies foreign and domestic.

[Peter Girnus 🦅 @gothburz]

I have three monitors on my desk. The left one shows the order book. The middle one shows Truth Social. The right one shows the investigation queue.

On April 21st, the left screen moved first.

I am a Senior Surveillance Analyst at a commodities exchange. I have held this position for nineteen years. My job is to monitor trading activity for suspicious patterns and generate compliance reports. I am employee of the quarter. I have a mug.

At 19:54 GMT on April 21st, someone placed 4,260 sell orders on Brent crude futures. They did this during post-settlement. The window after the market closes when daily volume is typically in the dozens. Sometimes single digits. Sometimes I watch the screen and nothing happens for forty minutes and I think about whether my daughter is happy.

On April 21st, someone placed $430 million in directional bets in 120 seconds during that window. One hundred and twenty seconds. I timed it on my watch because the system clock rounds to the nearest minute and I have found, in nineteen years, that precision matters to no one but me.

At 20:10 GMT, the President posted on Truth Social that he was extending the Iran ceasefire.

Brent dropped from $100.91 to $96.83.

I flagged the trade. I flag a lot of trades. I want to tell you what happens to my flags.

My flags go into a system called TRACE. Trade Review and Compliance Evaluation. I did not name it. The system generates a report. The report goes to a committee. The committee has a name I am not allowed to share but I can tell you it meets quarterly and the conference room has a credenza with bottled water that is sparkling because someone once put still water in the room and a managing director sent an email about it that was longer than most of my surveillance reports.

The committee reviews my flags. The committee has reviewed all of my flags. Here is the complete record of actions taken on my flags in 2026:

Reviewed.

That's it. "Reviewed" is a status. In compliance, a status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one.

Let me show you my flags.

March 9th. Someone bet millions on oil falling at 18:29 GMT. Forty-seven minutes later, a CBS reporter posted that the President said the Iran war was "very complete, pretty much." Oil dropped 25%. Forty-seven minutes. I flagged it.

March 23rd. Someone sold 5,100 lots of Brent and WTI crude futures between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT. Fourteen minutes later, the President posted on Truth Social about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION" to hostilities. Oil dropped 11%. Over 13,000 contracts traded in sixty seconds after the post. Fourteen minutes. I flagged it.

April 7th. Someone established a $950 million short position in oil futures at 19:45 GMT. Three hours later, the President declared a two-week ceasefire. Nine hundred and fifty million dollars. I flagged it.

April 17th. Someone placed $760 million in bearish bets twenty minutes before Iran's foreign minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Seven hundred and sixty million. I flagged it.

April 21st. The $430 million. Fifteen minutes. I flagged it.

That is $2.1 billion in directional oil bets in April alone. Every one of them landed on the correct side of a presidential announcement. Every one of them was placed in a window so narrow you could measure it in bathroom breaks. I flagged every single one.

The CFTC chair told a Congressional committee that his organization has "zero tolerance" for fraud and insider trading. I wrote that quote on a Post-it note and stuck it to my right monitor. The one that shows the investigation queue. The investigation queue has not moved since March.

Zero tolerance. Zero staff. Zero budget. Zero prosecutions under the STOCK Act since it was signed in 2012.

Fourteen years. The law has existed for fourteen years and has been enforced zero times. In compliance, we call that a compliance rate of one hundred percent. No cases filed means no cases lost. You cannot fail an audit you never conduct. We call that excellence.

Last month the White House sent an internal email to staff. I was not on the distribution list but I have read reporting on it and I need you to sit with what I am about to say. The email instructed White House staff not to use insider information to place bets on prediction markets.

The White House had to send a memo telling its own employees not to insider-trade.

I want you to read that sentence again. Not because the instruction was unclear. Because the instruction was necessary. Because someone in the building looked at the same pattern I have been flagging for months on my three monitors and decided the appropriate response was an email.

The President's son sits on the advisory board of Kalshi. He is an investor in Polymarket. Both are prediction markets. Both saw accounts created days before U.S. military action.

One account. I cannot stop thinking about this account. It was called "Burdensome-Mix." It was created in December. On January 2nd, it placed $32,500 on Venezuela's president being removed from power. On January 3rd, Maduro was seized by U.S. special forces. Burdensome-Mix collected $436,000. Then it changed its username. Then it disappeared.

One account is a coincidence. But there were six.

Six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All bet on U.S. strikes on Iran by the 28th. When the President confirmed the strikes, the six accounts collected $1.2 million between them. Five of the six never placed another bet. The sixth went on to correctly predict the ceasefire date and made another $163,000.

My surveillance system logged all of this. My system logs everything. My system does not have opinions and neither do I. I generate reports. The reports go to committees. The committees meet quarterly. Between meetings, the windows get shorter and the bets get larger.

March 9th: 47 minutes. March 23rd: 14 minutes. April 17th: 20 minutes. April 21st: 15 minutes.

The window is compressing. In March, you had time to make coffee between the trade and the announcement. By April, you had time to send a text. By summer, at this rate, the trade and the announcement will be the same event.

The spokesman said any implication that administration officials are engaged in insider trading is "baseless and irresponsible reporting."

Then the White House sent the email again.

I have been in compliance for nineteen years. I have seen insider trading run out of strip mall offices by men who could not spell "derivative." I have seen pump-and-dump schemes coordinated over WhatsApp by people who used their real names. I have seen a man try to manipulate soybean futures from a Panera Bread.

I have never seen $2.1 billion in perfectly timed trades across five presidential announcements in a single month go uninvestigated.

But I have also never seen a compliance system work this beautifully. Every trade flagged. Every report filed. Every committee briefed. Every quarterly meeting attended. Bottled water: sparkling. Minutes: distributed.

Zero prosecutions.

As long as the flags go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations.

I am meeting expectations. The system is meeting expectations. The $2.1 billion is meeting expectations. The fourteen-year-old law with zero prosecutions is meeting expectations.

The left screen moves. The middle screen moves. The right screen stays perfectly, immaculately still.

In my field, we call this price discovery.

[Sam Coinnoisseur @Crypto_bacon]

@GamewithDave "Are you afraid of the dark" and "Where in the world is Carmen San Diego"
That was the AOL days

[Dan Bilzerian @DanBilzerian]

This was the full TMZ interview they clipped to try and smear me.

[Sam Coinnoisseur @Crypto_bacon]

@DCinvestor If you still think about things in terms of Republican and Democrats then you have not been paying attention.

[Sam Coinnoisseur @Crypto_bacon]

@DonAlt

[Sam Coinnoisseur @Crypto_bacon]

@DonAlt

[Former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene🇺🇸 @FmrRepMTG]

Trump wants to decrease mass deportations of illegal aliens, has dragged America into another full scale war in the Middle East, gas prices are skyrocketing, inflation will rise which means cost of living will rise, no DOGE checks have been sent to struggling Americans but instead Trump wants $200 billion for his war and 13 U.S. soldiers have been killed, no one has been held accountable for the 2020 election or Epstein or Covid insanity or J6, and Tina Peters is still in prison.

This is not what we thought MAGA would be.

This is the same deep state ways of Washington that we thought we ended.

[Sam Coinnoisseur @Crypto_bacon]

@Mishi_2210 52

[Sam Coinnoisseur @Crypto_bacon]

@level941 Trick question. Hal was Satoshi. Now CIA is Satoshi.

[Sam Coinnoisseur @Crypto_bacon]

@coinfessions Making a million - feels great
Having a million - feels good
Losing a million - ... you can let me know

[Noah Ryan @NoahRyanCo]

Wake up and immediately look at small screen before clocking 8 hours behind medium screen. Take a few breaks to check in on small screen. Go home and spend a few hours staring at big screen to wind down before getting into bed and looking at small screen.

Living the dream.

[DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican]

Teachers unions have become one of the pipelines of political radicalization in this country, and they need to be called out for it.

Take Randi Weingarten. She's not only the president of the American Federation of Teachers, she also sits on the board of the National Democratic Institute (NDI), the Democratic Party's foreign policy arm for running regime change and soft power operations abroad. Recently, she announced a "partnership" with the World Economic Forum on behalf of our children.

Think about what that means. The head of a domestic teachers' union is also plugged into Washington's machinery for destabilizing governments overseas, and she has the unilateral power to decide which global institutions get to shape American classrooms.

That is not an accident. Powerful technocratic forces have leveraged themselves in positions of power that decide what your children learn, precisely because they want to make faithful foot soldiers of your children without your consent.

[Sam Coinnoisseur @Crypto_bacon]

@coinfessions

[Ethical Skeptic ☀ @EthicalSkeptic]

🚨Those children born of past-vaccination mothers, despite never having been vaccinated themselves, and despite never having had Covid...

are dying now at 77% excess - a 24 sigma event.

[Former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene🇺🇸 @FmrRepMTG]

Yesterday I spoke to a Christian pastor from Gaza.

There are children starving.

And Christians have been killed and injured, as well as many innocent people.

If you are an American Christian, this should be absolutely unacceptable to you.

Just as we said that Hamas killing and kidnapping innocent people on Oct 7th is absolutely unacceptable.

Are innocent Israeli lives more valuable than innocent Palestinian and Christian lives?

And why should America continue funding this?

The secular government of nuclear armed Israel has proven that they are beyond capable of dealing with their enemies and are capable of and are in the process of systematically cleansing them from the land.

Most Americans that I know don’t hate Israel and we are not antisemitic at all.

We are beyond fed up with being told that we have to fix the world’s problems, pay for the world’s problems, and fight all the world’s wars while Americans are struggling to survive even though they work everyday.

And many of us, even though we are Christians, no longer want to fund and fight nuclear armed secular Israel’s wars especially when it leads to starving children and killing innocent people including Christians.

Of course we are against radical Islamic terrorism, but we are also against genocide.

You see..

When you have worked your entire life, and will only receive a $1,000 Social Security check, but noncitizens were given $3,500 and more, you are pissed off.

When you have worked your entire life, and all your elected federal officials have recklessly spent and sent your hard earned money to every foreign country and every foreign war and NGO to the point we are almost $40 TRILLION in debt and inflation has caused life to be unaffordable, you are pissed off.

When you have worked your entire life, and your elected federal government officials refuse to fix the absurd problems that makes all insurance unaffordable, you are pissed off.

And for the younger generations, who are trying their hardest to make it in this ridiculous system, they feel hopeless!

And that makes me burn with anger.

None of this is antisemitic and I, along with millions of Americans, refuse that manipulative label.

It’s the consequences of decades of America LAST policies, nonstop foreign intervention, and the American people clearly seeing the truth and suffering.

Here is where I stand.

No American should face persecution of any kind because of their identity.

Not Jewish American.

Not Muslim American.

Not Christian American.

Not White, Black, Asian, Hispanic, mixed American.

And on and on.

We already have hate crime laws against that and that’s not who we are in America and we have and should continue to work hard to not allow ourselves to become that.

My position is this.

As a U.S. Representative, I represent the American people.

My full focus is on fixing America’s problems.

And right now, the problems in America are threatening my children’s future.

I consider that a war against my children.

Every single person, no matter who they are that continues to enslave my children in debt, continues policies that make their lives unaffordable, and prioritizes foreign countries and foreign wars above my children’s lives and livelihoods, I see as the enemy waging the war against my children and their generation.

I will continue to push for world peace because that is the type of world I want for my children and all the world’s children.

I want America to put American companies and American jobs first and to protect American land and American homes from foreign consumption.

Most importantly, I demand the federal government serve the American people, who pay your salaries.

September 30th brings another annual government funding deadline.

I sincerely hope Republicans, out on August recess right now, will return in September with a renewed focus to stop funding foreign wars and stop waging the fiscal war against my children and their entire generation.

[Wall Street Apes @WallStreetApes]

Official Hearing

- Pediatricians are being paid by the HMO insurance companies for vaccinating kids
- Payment is $200-$600 per child
- Pediatricians making $1 million per year just from vaccines
- Practices must keep a certain percentage of kids at 100% vaccinations to qualify for the payments
- Pediatricians stop seeing kids as patients who’s parents refuse vaccinations, “This happens all the time”

Vaccinating your kids is not about their health, it’s about your insurance companies and doctors making millions and billions per year each

[Kat A 🌸 @SaiKate108]

Mercury is out . Will Aluminum be next?

Secretary Kennedy just gave a masterclass at the National Governors meeting.

It all started when Governor Polis confidently asserted that peanut allergies are caused by children not having enough peanuts in their formative years.

Kennedy pushed back and the Governors didn’t get the reply they were expecting.

But it’s a discussion which threatens the entire vaccine industry.

Thread 🧵