$BTC drop probably not over yet.
Here's my game-plan.
Similarities to Jan/Feb are obvious, trendline broke and new lows followed quickly.
While I still expect a small retest towards $71k, this will likely be only Liquidity driven and continue lower (no real buyers).
Therefore I'm trying to catch a countertrend Long (prev. post), and then shorting $71k on PA conformation with the final target being $58k.
Bottom line: New low in June, summer consolidation and probably final low sometime in autumn.
Don't listen to the permabulls calling new ATHs since December just for clout...
$BTC countertrend Long,
Price is showing at least some consolidation/brake of yesterdays vertical drop.
What we want to see on LTF is a clear structure shift into a higher low and higher high (break of the trendline),
in addition a retest that holds and shows some buying strenght.
This is my Long setup to target around $71k. I see C
chances of structure playing out like this of around 35-40%.
Keep in mind that this is a countertrend trade, not a reversal. HTF trend remains clearly bearish.
Main focus lies on a continuation short at $72-73k. This has currently the highest probability, so hopefully we retrace into that.
$BTC trade plan
We're in a decent LTF uptrend, I'm looking for a Long if price pulls back to the trendline again.
Ofc with Ltf confirmation (finding support at it with a bullish reaction)
My short zone is the supply between $65,700 - $67,300.
High probability to get rejected at this resistance and of course entry on LTF signal.
Let's see how Bitcoin develops today...
$BTC trade plan
We're in a decent LTF uptrend, I'm looking for a Long if price pulls back to the trendline again.
Ofc with Ltf confirmation (finding support at it with a bullish reaction)
My short zone is the supply between $65,700 - $67,300.
High probability to get rejected at this resistance and of course entry on LTF signal.
Let's see how Bitcoin develops today...
Gm fam!
$BTC SL hit on my Sunday short attempt,
it looked good for a while but then price spiked aggressively.
It was a good loss, traded my plan and signal and kept losses small.
Hyped for todays PA!!
$BTC short
Sunday pumps like this one usually tend to dump into the new week,
and price has now reached resistance + slowed down.
Now waiting for a LTF structure shift to short this pump back to where it began ($60,700).
$BTC short
Sunday pumps like this one usually tend to dump into the new week,
and price has now reached resistance + slowed down.
Now waiting for a LTF structure shift to short this pump back to where it began ($60,700).
$BTC short
Sunday pumps like this one usually tend to dump into the new week,
and price has now reached resistance + slowed down.
Now waiting for a LTF structure shift to short this pump back to where it began ($60,700).
Saturday PA is boring,
here's my spot plan:
1st DCA area is between $58 - 52k. Pretty cheap prices for $BTC.
If market goes lower (decent chance to happen), my 2nd DCA area (more aggressive buys) will be between $48 - 42k.
Of course I'm gonna spot buy some alts as well, but the majority of my bag will be Bitcoin to reduce risk.
If you got a different plan, feel free to share it with me in the comments.
Saturday PA is boring,
here's my spot plan:
1st DCA area is between $58 - 52k. Pretty cheap prices for $BTC.
If market goes lower (decent chance to happen), my 2nd DCA area (more aggressive buys) will be between $48 - 42k.
Of course I'm gonna spot buy some alts as well, but the majority of my bag will be Bitcoin to reduce risk.
If you got a different plan, feel free to share it with me in the comments.
$BTC didn't deliver any retest again...
+ it looks like price is getting rejected from previous support and could plunge into the weekend.
Nevertheless no entry = no trade, staying patient and wishing y'all a great weekend!
$BTC didn't deliver any retest again...
+ it looks like price is getting rejected from previous support and could plunge into the weekend.
Nevertheless no entry = no trade, staying patient and wishing y'all a great weekend!
Gm fam!
Update on my $BTC short
As we can see price is choppy and didn't deliver a pushback yet.
Due to this conitnued weakness in buying pressure I decided to aim for a retest at $65,600 (HTF EQLs).
Let's see if we even get this one.
Gm fam!
Update on my $BTC short
As we can see price is choppy and didn't deliver a pushback yet.
Due to this conitnued weakness in buying pressure I decided to aim for a retest at $65,600 (HTF EQLs).
Let's see if we even get this one.
You can completely write off rate cuts.
NFP print came in well above expectations (172k vs. 85k).
The chances of a rate cut by year end fell from 2% to 0.6%.
This chart shows you the shifting probabilities over the month.
There's now a 58% chance of a rate hike.
Gm fam!
Update on my $BTC short
As we can see price is choppy and didn't deliver a pushback yet.
Due to this conitnued weakness in buying pressure I decided to aim for a retest at $65,600 (HTF EQLs).
Let's see if we even get this one.