Polmer

15 years in markets, 6 of them - CRYPTO

- ex-trader @bgcgroupinc
- ex-adviser @blockchaincap

Sharing alpha and helping you grow

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

The Fed’s balance sheet dropped by $1.7B in 1 week

This makes rate cuts simply inevitable

Every $50 now will turn into $81,400 in a day

Here’s what’s happening and 6 alts set for 400x 👇🧵

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@degargoyle This is make sense

[Pepesso @0xPepesso]

🚨 BREAKING

TRUMP'S INSIDER JUST OPENED A $7.5M SPACEX LONG

IF $SPCX PRICE HITS $90.44 = LIQUIDATION

THE IPO PRICES TONIGHT

DOES HE KNOW SOMETHING OR LARGE LIQUIDATION SOON?

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xPepesso The IPO pricing matters more than the headlin

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@LintonWorm Institutional participation is a feature, not a bug

[Linton Worm (🍏,🪱) @LintonWorm]

🚨 THIS IS MY FULL BTC PLAYBOOK FOR THE REST OF 2026

June -> SpaceX IPO drains $75B from markets, BTC relief to $65K then rejection, $58K support breaks

July -> 3rd leg down begins - worst of the three, 1W EMA350 at $51-52K gets its first test

August -> $49-53K range, maximum bearish sentiment, every headline screams "crypto is dead"

September -> fake relief bounce to $65-67K, CT calls the bottom, everyone buys back in early

October -> cycle bottom - 364-day cycle pattern from Oct 2025 ATH, NUPL enters capitulation zone, $47K wick

November -> nobody wants to touch it, that's precisely the signal - smart money loading in silence

December -> bull market structure confirms, slow grind begins, last chance before the real move

Follow + save this tweet, let's see who was right by the end of Q4

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@LintonWorm The fake relief rally in September is probably the most CT part of this thesis

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xPepesso The October 2026 thesis is surprisingly clean

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xbeehive Yes, the next two weeks will be bloody

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xbeehive Extreme fear bounces are the cruelest part of bear markets

[bee🐝 @0xbeehive]

$BTC HAS NOT DEVIATED FROM THE CHANNEL ONCE

Back in May I mapped this descending channel developing on BTC

Since then - lower highs, lower lows, exactly as the channel projected

The bounce from $59,700 wasn't in the script - but it's not hard to explain

Lower channel boundary gets tested, extreme fear is at the wheel, short sellers start covering

Add to that Saylor, who bought 1,500 BTC and neutralized the fear he created when he sold 32 BTC

Don't mistake it for a recovery though

Fear & Greed is still at extreme fear - these bounces can stretch further than anyone expects before the real move continues

But the bigger picture hasn't changed

Bear market duration stats still show 100+ days before the cycle bottoms

My targets remain the same: $47-51k zone

I've also kept stablecoins aside in case we break MA 350 convincingly and go lower

That scenario is still on the table

Watching this closely - stay here so you don't miss the update

FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xPepesso 👀

[Pepesso @0xPepesso]

🚨 BTC JUST BROKE 4-MONTH SUPPORT AND THE PATH IS CLEAR

That zone held since February, now it's gone

Relief bounce first - then the real move continues

Full roadmap:

$60K -> $67K -> $52K -> $40K -> $70K -> $110K+

My targets:

$67k this week - bounce into resistance
$52k end of June - support gone, nothing catching it
$40k end of summer - final flush, max pain, everyone capitulates
$110k+ early 2027 - after nobody wants to buy anymore

Remember, I've perfectly called the 2025 Bitcoin ATH, $126k -> $60k and $83k -> $59k.

Track record is on the timeline - you can check it

I post daily updates here

Missed the last calls? The next ones are still ahead

Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xPepesso One headline can erase a week of positioning

[Linton Worm (🍏,🪱) @LintonWorm]

🚨 BTC STRUCTURE IS STILL POINTING DOWN

Bull Trap #1: $98k - everyone called the bear market over
Bull Trap #2: $83k - everyone called the correction over

Both traps, both wrong

Current price: $64,006

POC at $69k just lost - that was the last meaningful support before acceleration

Here's the full roadmap from this chart:

1. Key Support zone: $57,000–$60,000
2. Bounce from support - looks like recovery, feels like relief
3. That bounce is the last trap before the real flush
4. C wave target: ~$47,500

Two bull traps already shook out the weak hands

The third move doesn't give you time to react

Key Support will bounce price just long enough for retail to buy back in

Then the C wave completes the structure

Until that prints, every bounce is distribution

Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@LintonWorm Interesting parallel, even if the macro backdrop is completely different

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xPepesso if this breaks, things could get ugly fast

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xbeehive The second trap working means a third one is coming

[bee🐝 @0xbeehive]

$BTC SHOWED YOU EXACTLY WHERE THIS GOES

Bear markets don't end with ascending channels inside resistance zones

They use them

January: channel broke, support failed, dump

April: channel broke, support failed, dump

Did you think it's over? You're wrong

The fractal is still running

Both structures targeted the same level - and we're not there yet

Mid-term target: $48k

I'm not exaggerating. I'm just saying what I see

Think about it

FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

[Pepesso @0xPepesso]

🚨 BTC OPEN INTEREST JUST HIT $105B, 2022 DUMP REPEATING

In 2022, OI hit $105B - then BTC dropped 67.91%

Right now in 2026, OI just hit $105B again. We're already down 28.63%

The setup is identical:

> Price stabilizes, feels like the worst is over
> Retail floods back in with leverage, OI explodes
> Smart money uses that liquidity to exit
> Market unwinds, longs get liquidated on the way down

This isn't a bull market recovery building

This is $105 billion in leverage waiting to be flushed

In 2022 the crowd was also calling a bottom when OI peaked

They were wrong by 67%

Watch the OI, not the price

When this unwinds, it won't be gradual

Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated

[Polmer @CryptoPolmer]

@0xPepesso High OI can fuel a crash or a face-melting squeeze