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$APP Q4 EARNINGS
• Revenue $1.66B vs Est. $1.61B
• EPS $3.24 vs Est. $2.94
• EBITDA $1.4B vs Est. $1.3B
Q1 Guidance
• Revenue $1.8B vs Est. $1.7B
• EBITDA $1.5B vs Est. $1.4B
MCDONALD’S $MCD JUST REPORTED Q4 EARNINGS
Topline Performance
• Revenue: $7.01B vs $6.84B est 🟢
• Systemwide Sales: +11% ( +8% Constant Currency )
Demand And Comp Sales
• Global Comparable Sales: +5.7% vs +3.70% est 🟢
• U.S. Comparable Sales: +6.8% vs +4.87% est 🟢
Profitability
• Adj EPS: $3.12 vs $3.05 est 🟢
$SHOP Q4 EARNINGS
• Revenue $3.67B vs Est. $3.59B
• EPS $0.57 vs. Est. $0.51
• FCF $715M vs. Est. $685M
• GMV $123.8B (+31% YoY)
Q1 Guidance
• Revenue +30-33% vs Est. +25
📌 Trump’s Possible 2026 Market Strategy (Simplified)
1️⃣ Phase 1: Market Drop (Early 2026)
Right now, the US economy is showing weakness:
•More people are losing jobs
•More companies are going bankrupt
•Loan defaults are rising
•Fewer people are buying houses
•More people are selling than buying
Because of this, a market correction in the next 2–3 months is possible.
Possible impact:
•S&P 500: –10% to –15%
•Nasdaq: –15% to –20%
•Crypto: Even bigger drops (follows stocks)
➡️ Result: Stocks and crypto could fall strongly.
⸻
2️⃣ Phase 2: Blaming Powell (During the Crash)
If markets crash, Trump may blame:
•Fed Chair Jerome Powell
•Supreme Court (if tariffs are blocked)
Arguments:
•Powell didn’t cut rates
•Policy stayed tight
•No extra liquidity was given
Powell’s term ends in May 2026.
Trump may use this situation to weaken Powell’s position and block his influence.
➡️ Goal: Clear the way for a new Fed leader.
⸻
3️⃣ Phase 3: Easy Money & Liquidity (Mid 2026)
After Powell leaves, Kevin Warsh could become Fed Chair.
Then, easier money policies may start:
•Lower interest rates
•Possible yield curve control
•More money in the system
At the same time, more stimulus could appear:
•$2,000 “tariff dividend”
•Tax cuts
•Crypto-friendly laws (e.g., CLARITY Act)
➡️ More liquidity = Higher stock & crypto prices.
⸻
4️⃣ Phase 4: Election Boost (Late 2026)
Midterm elections are in late 2026.
Republicans are currently expected to struggle.
So Trump may try to:
•Push markets higher
•Give financial benefits to voters
•Support small businesses with tax cuts
When markets rise, people often forget past problems.
Powell may be blamed for earlier losses.
➡️ Goal: Improve election chances through strong markets.
⸻
📈 Overall Theory Timeline
•Early 2026 → Market crash + blame Powell
•Mid 2026 → New Fed + money easing
•Late 2026 → Market recovery before elections
⸻
💡 Main Message
•Short term: Risk of decline
•Mid term: Start accumulating
•Long term (Q3–Q4 2026): Possible strong recovery
Strategy announces Q4 2025 results:
- 713,502 $BTC held
- 22.8% BTC Yield in 2025
- Largest US equity issuer, raised $25.3 billion in 2025
- $STRC scaled to $3.4 billion; 11.25% current dividend rate
AMAZON $AMZN JUST REPORTED Q4 EARNINGS
Topline
• Net Sales: $213.4B vs $211.3B est 🟢
• AWS Net Sales: $35.6B
Profitability
• EPS: $1.95 vs $1.97 est 🔴
Outlook
• Q1 Net Sales: $173.5B-$178.5B
• Q1 Operating Income: $16.5B-$21.5B
AMD $AMD JUST REPORTED Q4 EARNINGS
Topline Performance
• Revenue: $10.27B vs $9.67B est 🟢
Profitability
• Adjusted EPS: $1.53 vs $1.32 est 🟢
• EPS: $0.92
• Gross Margin: 54%
• Net Income: $1.51B
• Adjusted Net Income: $2.52B vs $2.17B est 🟢
Outlook
• Q1 Revenue: $9.8B
PAYPAL $PYPL JUST REPORTED EARNINGS
EPS of $1.23 missing expectations of $1.28🔴
Revenue of $8.7B missing expectations of $8.8B🔴
PayPal's initial move in pre market trading is
DOWN 10% 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴
APPLE $AAPL JUST REPORTED EARNINGS
EPS of $2.84 beating expectations of $2.66🟢
Revenue of $143.8B beating expectations of $138.1B🟢
Apple's revenue grew by 16% YoY
SANDISK $SNDK JUST REPORTED Q2 EARNINGS
Topline Performance
• 🟢 Revenue: $3.03B Vs $2.64B Est
Profitability
• EPS: $5.15
• 🟢 Adjusted EPS: $6.20 Vs $3.33 Est
• 🟢 Adjusted Net Income: $967M Vs $497.6M Est
• 🟢 Adjusted Operating Income: $1.13B Vs $633.1M Est
• Adjusted Gross Margin: 51.1%
Outlook (Q3)
• Revenue: $4.4B To $4.8B
• Adjusted EPS: $12 To $14
VISA $V JUST REPORTED Q1 EARNINGS
Topline Performance
• 🟢 Revenue: $10.9B Vs $10.69B Est
Profitability
• Net Income: $5.9B
• 🟢 Adjusted Net Income: $6.1B Vs $6.08B Est
• 🟢 Adjusted EPS: $3.17 Vs $3.14 Est