When you go buy a Dell laptop bundle only to find out that the CPU is Intel, the RAM is Micron, the GPU is AMD, the internal Hard Drive is Seagate, the external Hard Drive is Western Digital, and they toss in a bonus SD Card that is SanDisk.
It all makes sense now...
It all makes sense.
This is why investing is such a brutal game, especially if you are a technology investor
Go back 1 year to May 2025. OpenAI is the category leader in AI, and Microsoft owns 27% of the business
On top of that, Satya Nadella has OpenAI locked into their Azure cloud ecosystem. The productivity boom is coming, and Microsoft owns that entire suite.
They also own GitHub. The entire coding workflow is theirs for the taking. Microsoft is the king of B2B SaaS. Surely, a company like Anthropic with no backing will not be able to win against them
Google is down 22% from its highs because people think Search will slowly die. Everyone and their mothers are on CNBC talking about the "innovators dilemma" when referring to Google
With all of that information, you decide to buy stock in Microsoft. A year later, you look at your stock and you have gotten absolutely smoked by the S&P 500 index
Not just a few basis points of underperformance. You are lagging the index by 20%.
All the while, Anthropic is walking away with the enterprise AI market and dropping products for the Office Suite that are better than Microsoft's own Co-Pilot AI tools
Just absolutely incredible
BREAKING: Just 20 minutes before Trump's announcement that the Strait of Hormuz was open, massive trades hit the market.
Investors sold a combined 7,990 lots of Brent crude futures, a $760 million bet that oil would go down.
These orders were much larger than anything else at the time.
The traders made huge gains.
Unusual.
Getting rich usually involves big bets, and asymmetric risk (exactly what trading + early crypto did for many people).
On the other hand, staying rich requires almost the opposite: diversification, boredom, and sitting on your hands. Protection mode.
Someone who 5–10x’s their net worth in a bull market, then keeps the same leverage and same size (if spot --> never sells) into the next cycle instead of derisking. Yep, you guessed it, they prob will round-trip it all. Losing 50% when you’re worth 100k is painful but survivable, but losing 50% when you’re worth 10M is life‑changing.
So, you get rich once on a certain risk profile, but if you keep that degen risk profile, you can wipe yourself out once or twice, or even 5x times (depending on how many times you try).
Making a lot of money in, e.g., one bull cycle, one asset class, one type of trading style can make people think they’re in God mode. They then take that confidence into areas where they don’t have an edge: perp trading (as an example, we saw this with the meme boys, who lost their money trying a game they had no skills in when meme liq was zero after Trump, Feb 2025).
The behaviour that made you rich is often highly path‑dependent: a specific cycle (usually bull), focusing on a specific inefficiency, certain types of trades, etc.
But by the end of 2025, for most people, that edge was gone. If you don’t adapt, your old playbook can become a liability where you lose it all. Many people only realize their edge is gone after a big drawdown (think 10/10 last year).
Either you are good at making money, or you are good at protecting money. Very few are good at both and are the ones that survive cycle after cycle. Cockroach mode.
Feels like a good time to say this again. I don't care if it's $100K or $1...transfer profits out of the market. Physically hold the $$. Sniff it. Taste it. Spend it. Make the money REAL.
Take a % of profits off the table each month, compound the rest. Make it a priority.
Someone betted $44,100 into $META 610C 0DTE the minute before the news came out
They are now up 6000-9000%+ at the moment
They turned $44,100 into $4M in just 30 minutes
Not a coincidence?
We don't really have a market anymore.
Now it's pure headline-driven volatility.
Where the headlines are known in advance by a select group of insiders.
And everyone else either gets lucky or gets their stops run if they're trading this tape.
What a crazy time to be alive!
Stocks are now essentially a prediction market bet on whether Trump will make a bullish statement about exiting the war or striking a deal with Iran.
Just gambling on geopolitical events and headlines like we’re in a true casino.
Always take profits.
In the trenches, greed will be your #1 enemy
If the number is big enough to take a screenshot, take some out.
If the number is big enough for you to tell your friends, take some out.
If the number is big enough to change your LIFE, take it all out.
If we assume the point of investing is ultimately to improve your quality of life and the quality of life of those you most care about, investments that consistently add stress over long periods of time probably don’t make sense.
Money is traded for things or experiences that catalyze certain feelings. If your investments are generating the opposite spectrum of feelings, it might be time to reassess. It’s easy to miss the forest for the trees.
Money is a means, not an end.
And in the end, most things matter very, very little.
Do what helps you sleep at night and wake up with a low heart rate.
To me, those are the hallmarks of a world-class investor who gets the big picture.