In the last stretch we’ve seen a full checklist of classic bear flags:
• CEXs lagging hard behind the market
• Wave after wave of project attacks
• Fresh hacks & stolen crypto
Yet price? Barely flinched.
That’s usually what happens right before the bottom is in… or has already been touched.
The real capitulation never showed up in the charts.
Too many exchanges have collapsed over the past few months.
Historically, these moments often happen near the end of a bear market, when weak players get wiped out and confidence disappears. It doesn't guarantee the bottom is in, but it's usually closer than most people think.
Instead of focusing on what failed, look at the projects that survived.
The ones that kept building, retained users, and weathered the storm are often the ones that surprise everyone in the next cycle.
The next 3 years won't reward the loudest projects. They'll reward the strongest ones
I’m honestly tired of all the posts about the CLARITY Act.
This is how markets work: major regulatory news is often pushed when hype is already back and liquidity is flowing. By the time everyone is celebrating, a large part of the move is usually behind us.
I expected headlines like this much closer to the next major bull market, not at the beginning of it.
My SpaceX Strategy
Today, $SPCX entered my first buy zone.
Why? Because this is the same strategy I use with every major IPO.
When a quality company corrects around 50%, I start with a small position. I’m not expecting the bottom, and I’m not expecting an immediate reversal. I actually think more downside is possible, that’s exactly why I use DCA, not an all-in approach.
If the market gives me lower prices, my next buy orders are already waiting.
Some of you will say:
"You're buying a $1.5T company? you're stupid."
We will see.
But this is a 5–10 year investment, not a trade. Over the next decade, inflation, money printing, and economic growth could make a $1.5T valuation look much smaller than it does today.
I’m not trying to catch the exact bottom.
I’m building a position in a company I believe will be worth significantly more over the long term.
When the MultiversX CEO said its market cap could surpass Romania’s GDP, maybe he wasn’t overly bullish on $EGLD… maybe he was just bearish on Romania’s GDP.
If you trust in Fibonacci, October 2026 could offer an exceptional bitcoin:native buying opportunity, with October 2029 potentially marking a major selling window.
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USDT Dominance Point of View
USDT Dominance measures how much capital is hiding in stablecoins versus flowing into crypto. Rising USDT.D usually means risk-off, while falling USDT.D signals capital rotating back into BTC and alts.
Right now, $USDT.D is testing the same area that marked the November 2022 peak, and signs of weakness are starting to appear. If rejection continues, the next path leads toward the two green support zones, with the orange box below, last visited in December 2024.
The contrast is interesting.
November 2022:
BTC ≈ $16.5K
ETH ≈ $1.2K
December 2024:
BTC ≈ $93K–100K
ETH ≈ $3K–4K
The same USDT.D levels that accompanied the end of the bear market in 2022 later appeared after a massive expansion in crypto prices.
Capital rotates. Price follows. The question is where liquidity wants to go next.
Working with my bots makes Bitcoin a lot easier to read
No emotions and no guessing
Just signals, regime shifts, liquidity, and market structure.
I've started posting the bot alerts in the group and they're magic, help remove the noise a lot
The goal is to stop fighting the trend and position with it.
$BTC becomes much easier when you stop listening to opinions and start following data
⚠️ Liquidity Update | $BTC
Downside liquidity remains significantly larger than upside liquidity right now. Most of the fuel sits below current price, making downside sweeps more attractive from a liquidity perspective.
Unless a major macro catalyst appears, next week could be slow and range-bound, with BTC chopping around while liquidity continues to build.
The market has already flushed a lot of leverage. With liquidity concentrated below, don’t be surprised by more boring price action before the next meaningful move develops. Patience is a position too
#Chart | bitcoin:native Update
BTC is still following the Elliott Wave 5 route, but price is reacting from the green support zone. This is the last major area buyers need to defend if they want to slow the current bearish structure.
The key level remains $67K. A reclaim and hold above that zone would be the first sign that the current path is changing and that a larger recovery may be forming.
RSI is already oversold, increasing the odds of a relief bounce. The real test is whether buyers can turn that bounce into acceptance above $67K.
For now, the Elliott Wave 5 route remains active.
Oversold conditions can create rallies. Only reclaimed structure creates reversals.
@Mr_Crypto5 Dacă ascultați măcar unul din podcast-urile unde a fost invitat, o să vedeți ca pentru Charles proiectul Cardano nu a fost niciodată prioritar, el are altă viziune alte proiecte din altă sfera…
With the S&P 500 printing new ATHs and BTC seemingly on its way to $40K, I’m getting more excited by the day to fade this move and look for a reversal.
$BTC 2 Possible Scenarios
BTC lost the key support box again and is now sitting at a major decision zone. What matters now is whether price reclaims this area or confirms another rejection below it.
Scenario 1, bullish ABC recovery.
If BTC reclaims the box and holds above it, the path opens toward the upper liquidity zone and another expansion leg becomes possible.
Scenario 2, bearish 5 wave continuation.
If price keeps rejecting below resistance, structure points toward the lower green support zones and possible bear market support.
This is why traders need scenarios, not opinions.
The market rewards confirmation, not conviction.
5/
Stop trading cycles like a religion.
Start tracking liquidity flows and macro regimes.
The market rewards those who adapt, not those who predict by calendar.
What’s your view on alts right now? 👇
#Crypto#Bitcoin#Altcoins
Why we didn’t get an altcoin season
The thesis was simple: follow the 4-year cycle → Year 4 = altseason.
That’s lazy. When everyone piles into the same narrative, it stops being an edge.