Chris Howard

[racebot @racebotuk]

**WEDNESDAY 15TH JULY - RESULTS**

Certainly not a bad day to kick off the now premium service... +16pts profit on the day 🚀

Those who were willing to pay the £14.50/month subscription would've been rewarded with around +£160 profit to £10/pt stakes after Day 1 of premium📈

This figure is based on the 18 bets which were over target price at the time of posting on tipstrr (though not adjusted for Rule 4 yet due to data source being corrupted)

Those results not 100% reflective of the overall tipstrr p/l due to additional bets - believe p/l is around the same including such?

Frustratingly, due to data showing that qualifying bets of 3.0 (2/1) or less being largely unprofitable for the model these were excluded, yet PROBATION (3pt), BRUNHILDE (3pt) and STARTLED LADY (2pt) all went onto win for a further +9pts profit... those following the bets dynamically via the full spreadsheet posted may have snatched these however. In the long run, these lower priced bets are break even at best though.

Plenty of racing to get stuck into over the next few days with 26 bets live on tipstrr today and the 6 flat meetings tomorrow (with predictions already generated 🔥)

Did anybody fare any better using the sheet without the official win %'s / target price / stakes? Fair play if so!

HIT %: 25.35%
NO. OF BETS: 18
WIN %: 27.78%
AVG POSITION: 2.83
STAKED (pts): 30.00
PROFIT/LOSS: +16.08
ROI: +53.58%
AVG PRICE: 8.18
CLV ALL: -8.15%
WINNER CLV: +25.30%

[Chris Howard @Darthjobby2]

@racebotuk Great first day man. Plenty to get stuck into today!

[racebot @racebotuk]

**THURSDAY 16TH JULY - AI-GENERATED PREDICTIONS**

18 of the below 1-2-3 picks officially qualify for a bet based on current available odds...

Average odds of over 10/1 on said bets.

An extra 8x bets over on @tipstrr which is now the only place you can view:

📊 Win %
🎯 Target Price
💵 Suggested Stake
✅ Qualifying Bets
⚡ SpeedyBet links to best priced bookies

Premium membership is currently 50% off @ just £14.50/month...

£5/pt stakes have typically yielded over +£250/month profit since November - what are you waiting for? 🤔

[Flip The Slip @FlipTheSlip]

£200 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENGLAND V 🇦🇷ARGENTINA giveaway! 🌍🏆

If 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England beat 🇦🇷Argentina tonight we’ll giveaway £200 (4x£50) split between 4 people!

To enter all you have to do is…

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Winner to be announced tomorrow.

Best of luck🍀

[Chris Howard @Darthjobby2]

@racebotuk @tipstrr First subscribed bets on Telegram through Tipstrr. Speedybet worked perfectly - massive time saver. No problems at all and Tipstrr page looking great.

[racebot @racebotuk]

**WEDNESDAY 15TH JULY - AI GENERATED PREDICTIONS**

Transitioning over to a paid service on @tipstrr currently at just £14.50/month (50% off as things stand)

As such I will only be posting picks with no win chance, target price, or suggested stake on here, followed up by results thereafter as verifiable evidence.

The below picks are essentially useless without the latter but make use of them if you wish.

Full price picks with price targets, win %s and stakes will be posted on tipstrr each night around this time in future.

£5/pt stakes have historically yielded around +£250/month profit so £14.50 to gain access to such is an absolute bargain, even if you're a small time punter.

The choice is yours!

[Chris Howard @Darthjobby2]

@racebotuk All good mate. Exciting future for RB!

[racebot @racebotuk]

tipstrr link is as follows: https://t.co/AeKCAYL9Sy

[racebot @racebotuk]

Back from my stag-do and a little worse for wear to say the least...

Tallied up the results for the 5 days posted over July (1st-5th) and those who followed would be up +28pts after 111 bets, with serious value achieved vs Industry Starting Prices @ a +24.09% price premium.

That's over +500pts profit since the end of November 25 after over 4500 flat race single bets.

That would be +£25,000 profit to £50/pt stakes in less than a year. Let that sink in. Unfortunately the bookies will of course restrict you at some point, albeit not so much for those following to smaller stake sizes and varying their bet types etc.

It's a lot of work doing all of this for free and gaining nothing in return (barely even a decent following haha) and as such I have decided I will now be turning this into a paid service @ £30/month over on @tipstrr.

Even to £10/pt stakes, you should still average well over +£500 profit a month meaning £30/month is essentially a bargain.

I understand some people still like to use the 1-2-3 ranked spreadsheet for reference so I would be more than happy to post this privately for those who sign up via tipstrr.

No doubt there will be some huge drawdowns still (-75pts being our largest losing streak across the 8 or so months) but those who stuck to the staking plan survived and then thrived.

Thanks to the few who have followed and supported so far. Hopefully we can get off to a winning start come Wednesday when bets go live again.

[racebot @racebotuk]

After training on 1000 uk flat turf races and testing on an increased dataset of over 3500 races, we have hit elite calibration levels for 1-2-3 ranked picks.

On average, a horse's predicted win % by the algorithm is accurate within 2-3% for all ranks (for turf races at least).

As such, we are in our strongest position for determining value opportunities in the racing market and making long term profits.

Considering we have made over +500pts profit in around 8 months with previous weaker models already, this bodes pretty damn well for the rest of the turf season.

As mentioned in a previous post, I will no longer be posting full sets of picks for free on X.

If you wish to follow my bets as usual, you can sign up via @tipstrr for a discounted price of £14.50/month (increasing to £29/month after the first month).

Averaging over +£500 profit per month to £10/pt stakes already, I would consider this pretty good value.

Qualifying will be posted on there tonight, check out the comments to find out more.

[racebot @racebotuk]

For those who don't wish to sign up via @tipstrr this will be the full extent of daily 1-2-3 picks you will receive, using tomorrows already generated picks as an example...

No predicted win % ❌

No target price ❌

No recommended stake ❌

Without the above the system is essentially useless. Betting blindly without price guides can be rather deceiving even with your own intuition.

The algorithm breaks down over 400+ data variables for every horse running each day, determining a precise chance that horse has of winning using a backlog of 1000s of predetermined races - something the human brain objectively achieve to such a scale🧠

The main reason I will continue to post the picks on here in this manner is so I can continue posting results to hopefully show people what they are missing out on.

There will be huge down days as always (-25pts is not rare) but the graph since November doesn't lie.

[Chris Howard @Darthjobby2]

@racebotuk Hi mate. Get paid on Thursday so you count me in then!

[Flip The Slip @FlipTheSlip]

🏆£100 World Cup Semi-Final Giveaway!🏆

We’ve correctly predicted the 4 semi finalists of this World Cup🇪🇸🇫🇷🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇦🇷

If France 🇫🇷 beat Spain 🇪🇸 and England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 beat Argentina 🇦🇷, we’ll giveaway £50 to 2 people that…

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📆Winners will be announced Friday🍀

[Flip The Slip @FlipTheSlip]

🏆QUARTER FINAL GIVEAWAY (4/4)🏆

If Argentina 🇦🇷 beat Switzerland🇨🇭 tonight, we’ll giveaway £25 to one person that…

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Best of luck🍀

[Flip The Slip @FlipTheSlip]

🏆QUARTER FINAL GIVEAWAY (3/4)🏆

If England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 beat Norway 🇳🇴 tonight, we’ll giveaway £25 to one person that…

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Best of luck🍀

We’ll be doing a giveaway on every Quarter final!

[Chris Howard @Darthjobby2]

@bettingvillage Cheers guys

[Chris Howard @Darthjobby2]

@racebotuk Impossible to ignore.

[racebot @racebotuk]

Our UK flat racing betting results for July so far after just 3 days... +£400 profit in 3 days for those following to £25/pt stakes 📈

HIT %: 29.27%
NO. OF BETS: 60
WIN %: 13.33%
AVG POSITION: 4.42
STAKED (pts): 117.00
PROFIT/LOSS: +16.13pts
ROI: +13.78%
AVG PRICE: 9.21
CLV ALL: +22.99%
WINNER CLV: +25.78%

Hit rate slightly below the average of previous months which will be due to excluding bets of 3.0 (2/1) or less after proving these were unprofitable.

Profit aside, across the 60 bets so far, we've achieved a +22.99% price premium vs industry starting prices - much more meaningful than being in the green.

45 bets live on tipstrr for today... value left to salvage across some of these picks.

Going away on a week long stag-do to Pamplona/Ibiza tomorrow so there'll be a week of no bets from Monday... have a good weekend all!

[racebot @racebotuk]

**SATURDAY 4TH JULY - AI-GENERATED PREDICTIONS**

Big Saturday of UK flat racing and a busier sheet than usual.

Not sure how profit/loss went for Friday? A hunch we were in profit but not added up.

Tomorrow’s official price qualifying picks are spread across @Sandownpark , @NewmarketRace , @Beverley_Races , @LeicesterRaces , @CarlisleRaces and @NottsRacecourse .

📊 39 qualifiers
🎯 73pts staked
🏇 Average odds around 15/2

A few that stand out:
15:35 Sandown – HAWK MOUNTAIN 8/1
29.97% win chance, priced 9.00 against a 4.00 target. A strong enough model chance with a proper gap between the algorithm’s price and the market.

16:10 Sandown – RICHIE’S ROCKET 10/1
25.36% win chance, with current odds 11.00 against a 4.80 target. One of the more interesting Sandown value angles on the sheet.

15:15 Newmarket – NIGHT BREEZE 20/1
Bigger-priced qualifier at 21.00 against a 9.20 target. Only 13.79% on the model, but this is the type of price discrepancy that fits the 3.0+ approach.

16:02 Beverley – INVOLVEMENT 14/1
A proper bigger-price swing at 15.00 against an 11.00 target. Lower win chance at 11.35%, but still a clear qualifying edge.

18:00 Nottingham – LION OF PERSIA 25/1
Largest price among the highlighted picks at 26.00 against a 15.00 target. Low win chance at 8.63%, but worth flagging as one of the bigger value plays.

There are plenty more qualifiers on the full sheet, including a few shorter-profile picks that I’ve left out of the main write-up to keep the focus on the more interesting value prices.

Full chart and stakes below.

Godspeed all...

#itvracing #ukhorseracing #racingbets

[racebot @racebotuk]

**FRIDAY 3RD JULY - AI-GENERATED PREDICTIONS**

Tomorrow’s official price qualifying picks are spread across @Sandownpark, @DoncasterRaces, @Chepstow_Racing and @Beverley_Races.

📊 24 qualifiers
🎯 47pts staked
🏇 Average odds just shy of 11/1

A few I’d put near the top of the list:

15:35 @Sandownpark – BOILING POINT @ 20/1
The boldest price gap on the sheet. The model gives this a 25.25% chance, yet the current price is 21.00 against a 4.80 target. Listed race rather than a novice/maiden, so a more interesting one to flag.

17:10 @Chepstow_Racing – JINDRI @ 4/1
A cleaner handicap angle. 34.67% win chance and trading at 5.00 against a 3.35 target, which is a decent blend of probability and price.

15:45 @DoncasterRaces – FOOTWORK @ 6/1
Not a wild outsider, but a solid qualifier at 7.00 against a 5.50 target. The sort of mid-range price that fits the new filter well.
17:15 @Sandownpark – CRISTO @ 12/1
Bigger-priced Sandown runner at 13.00 against a 7.00 target. Lower win chance at 17.96%, but the value gap is enough to make it worth noting.

19:35 @Beverley_Races – CATTON LADY @ 5/1
24.37% win chance, priced 6.00 against a 5.00 target. More of a steady late-card qualifier than a huge edge, but gives Beverley a fair mention.

Full qualifying sheet and stakes are in the chart below.

Not liking the look of the 14:00 at @DoncasterRaces with all 3 top ranked picks over target price resulting in a total of 7pts outlay... novice/maiden so good chance the algo has things wrong with imperfect information. Has historically performed well at Doncaster however...

Plenty of bigger prices in play tomorrow — interested to see whether the new 3.0+ filter keeps improving the shape of the results (albeit likely at the expense of variance).

Best of luck if playing anything.

#UKHorseRacing #HorseRacingTips #FlatRacing