StrictlyDataScience

Sticking with the Data from @AmericanNumbers
for inquiries: [email protected]
Tips:

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Bit of personal news:

[Cruel Angel PHD🇵🇷 @AmericanNumbers]

Today is my last day at
@SportsGrid
Proud of what we built there and will miss it.
I am still undecided on what's next but I do have more than a few things in the lab.

[Hoop Fiends 🏀💉 @hoopfiends]

Willie Cauley-Stein is currently playing in Puerto Rico
Justice Winslow played for the Raptors 905 this season
Stanley Johnson (Roberts) played for the Stockton Kings this season

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Lakers FT differential pre and post the Refs apologizing to them 1/29/23
Before:
2.96 per Game
After:
9.175 per Game
Lakers have also never lost FT diff by more than 5 FT since.
Again: hello @AndyKHLiu

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Wanted to post this here .
Free NBA minutes and player impacts here:
https://t.co/SWUzV5RLly

[Cruel Angel PHD🇵🇷 @AmericanNumbers]

Great News.
All my models will live here.
NHL and NBA (all but props) live
NBA props coming soon
NCAA basketball next.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Reminder for the season.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

I will for the most part also be posting over at @AmericanNumbers more often than not.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

I will for the most part also be posting over at @AmericanNumbers more often than not.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Bit of personal news:

[Cruel Angel PHD🇵🇷 @AmericanNumbers]

Today is my last day at
@SportsGrid
Proud of what we built there and will miss it.
I am still undecided on what's next but I do have more than a few things in the lab.

[Cruel Angel PHD🇵🇷 @AmericanNumbers]

Here's the referenced Model.
It uses Darko, EPM, RAPM and my own PM model.
Minutes are from @kpelton and @hashtbasketball

I will be updating it.
https://t.co/6MhY1bAFo3

[Cruel Angel PHD🇵🇷 @AmericanNumbers]

Oh Hello!
Part 1 of the season projections

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Have him at around 1700 minutes though so.....

[Henry Williams @HenryWilliams74]

@DataStrictly I know it’s a 290lb “if”, but if Zion is healthy, how are the Pelicans not a 50+ win team? I’m looking at Over 44.5 +100 on Caesars with big bug eyes. My only question is, where do the wins come from? Who is getting worse from last year? Grizz def. Who else? #NBA

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Oh hi!
Win Over unders for the last decade for reference

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

In the lab

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Mood
(drop me a sky invite)

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Me and Isaiah Thomas apparently.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Close to right on the Finals and right on Denver as the top team.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Denver
Fiddled w/ their depth and added a slightly better backup C at the cost of a player that was surplus to them now in Bones.
They're by far the top team in the West in the projections and overall in half of them.
Cs/Nuggets is the Finals the models keep forecasting.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Not enough Rob

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Boston
Stevens is a great GM.
Small improvement at margin in adding Muscala for some big depth.
Cs are basically at top or close to it in every model w/ their playoff rotation.
Biggest Q is how many min from Rob.
Horford (like all vets) I expect to improve in the playoffs a bit.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

This is a bad deal for the Suns.
Beal is the most overrated player in the league and he's exactly the wrong sort of asset for the Suns to go get.
Very Marbury to the Knicks trade.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

The Cs were a combination of Mazzula possibly being the worst playoff coach ever and something being up with them having Rob on a minutes limit.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

Ok.
NBA Playoff model results:
49-30 on Moneyline bets (20% ROI)
9-3 on series bets (42% ROI)
11-5 on all Futures Bets (100% ROI)

Oh and that doesn't count Miami/Denver exacta at 14-1.

Good playoffs.

[StrictlyDataScience @DataStrictly]

The big edge this year was using a stable minutes model and also a composite of models for player projections.
Results were very good and in general the model had a great read on the actual series margins.