Dave Deer

Horse racing, superheroes and education (yeah, I don’t know what I was looking at either).

[Money Rider Racing 🏇🏽 @money_rider]

Hi ya all. Our Royal Ascot Preview is up and running on our YouTube channel. If you can have a watch also comment below under the filming/podcast of your selections or who you looking forward to seeing at Ascot. Please RT if possible 👇🏻👇🏻
https://t.co/9ERoKsOI53

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

It’s time to play Spot The Non-Runner!

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@thebedfordfox @RacingPost Use the Timeform ratings on the Sporting Life website or even better check out The Racing App. Both free.

It’s a wrench but once you leave, you never look back 👍🏾

[British Horseracing Authority @BHAHorseracing]

It is completely understandable that decisions taken by BHA officials may prompt passionate debate and be subject to robust scrutiny.

This is the nature of elite sport and something we do not shy away from.

However, we will never accept vile and unacceptable abuse directed towards BHA officials. This is a growing problem, especially on social media.

Some of the recent commentary under our posts is simply appalling. Everyone involved in British racing deserves to be treated with respect.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

Called it with Laura Pearson a while ago.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@WolvesRaces @Ladbrokes @Laurapearson_ @RichardFahey @WolvesRacesPics Laura Pearson claiming 5lbs.

Proof that Christmas comes more than once a year 👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@equinties Aga Khan Studs racing manager Nemone Routh: “We have always said we didn’t really want to run in this race if the ground got too soft. It’s not because he doesn’t handle soft ground, but it would become a real test of stamina and I think that the track would really find him out

[Michael Spicer @MrMichaelSpicer]

Nigel Farage Listens to the News

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

Regarding Joseph O’Brien I called it a while ago.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@myracingtips Yeah, plotting and training a Melbourne cup winner is SO simple nearly every top European trainers done it....

It’s a non-discussion. He’s clearly talented, dedicated and hard working. THATS why he gets entrusted with quality horses.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

So Behrayna goes in again today this time over 1m 4f. Going for the Diane it seems.

If she wins fair play but I genuinely think the Oaks was for the taking.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

Berahyna for Graffard and Aga Khan racing has just sluiced up at Paris Longchamp.
This was a listed race over 1m 3f and she holds an Oaks entry. She’s out of Sea The Moon and surely will not be dropping back to 10f for the Diane.
Just saying.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

Advice applicable across most sports betting. Good read.

[Racing Post @RacingPost]

👀 Why almost everything you read about football statistics is nonsense - and what it says about the traps punters can fall into

Football betting legend Kevin Pullein shares his wisdom as part of the Racing Post at 40 series 👇

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@Beerbetnfooty Fair point about ATR. Still it is a significant step up on RP!

TheRacingApp. Access to race videos & use of their ratings. Alongside ability to input ratings and see what odds that produces.

Sporting Life. Timeform ratings, race videos, and P&L for all their tipsters

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

Even before its recent trials and difficulties I like many others had ditched the Racing Post website as a source of information. Other more reliable and user friendly sources are available and have been for years.

If you don’t like it just walk away.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@hering_david @almurray Slight misspelling in the headline. It should read

“DISPATCH WAR ROCKET AJAX TO BRING BACK HIS BODY!”

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@Timeform @JuddmonteFarms Hardwicke then King George?

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@nickmordinisgod On the ratings I use I have Item’s Dante performance 3lbs better than Benvenuto’s Chester win. Marrying that with Item still looking green and the potential for improvement at 12f I would have him favourite.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

At some point we need to talk about the Derby and why Item should be favourite but we’ll just park that for now 👍🏿

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

Two for Tuesday
Redcar
350 Nyman (2-1) 4-1
Leicester
440 Filly Foden (10-3) 10-1
Odds In brackets is minimum acceptable price

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@nickmordinisgod @RowleyfileRRR @mp_horseracing I’m so sorry.

I hadn’t read your @ and now realise you’re Nick Mordin, one of my punting heroes and I appear to be lecturing YOU on the dosage index. I only know about the dosage index because of you and your work. I will be over here quietly thinking about what I’ve done.

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@nickmordinisgod @RowleyfileRRR @mp_horseracing She has a Dosage Index of 0.45 and a negative centre of distribution both of which are strong indicators for stamina.

Equally her stride data strongly suggests middle distances will be beyond her.

Personally I don’t think she’ll stay but 🤷🏾‍♂️

[Thomas Evans @Renewal2030 🇬🇧 @ThomasEvansAdur]

FOURTEEN-

The number of Councillors elected Reform UK who they have lost in the last 7 days to resignation, ineligibility, expulsion and defection.

Ref - Gateshead - Elected May 7th. Business commitments have expanded rapidly.
Ref - Merthyr Tydfil - Elected to Senedd
Ref - Thurrock - Elected May 7th. A member of the family has a serious illness
Ref - Thurrock - Elected May 7th. Personal circumstances
Ind - Sunderland - Elected Ref on May 7th. Suspended over racism allegations in 2024. Mystery surrounds as he has not formally accepted office

Defections
1 - Ref to Stand Alone Ind - Cornwall - No comment made
3 - Ref to Ind - Durham - Two of which were suspended by the party, one of which has cited serious concerns with the local governance and has been subjected to bullying, harassment, and coercion. The other one refuses to comment
1 - Ref to Non-aligned - Lincolnshire - Given an ultimatum by HQ to leave the party or resign. Which he does not want to do
1 - Ref to Ind - Sefton - Denied the Holocaust and apologised, but has left the party
1 - Ref to Ind - Sheffield - Only elected May 7th, No reason found
1 - Ref to Ind - Walsall - Suspended. Voted against the party's preferred Mayor
1 - Ref to Worcestershire Ind Grp - Fed up with the mind games and playground antics at the local level

[Dave Deer @DaveDeer2]

@DeborahMeaden @campbellclaret Wow! This one got the bots up and running didn’t it! Well done to Labour.