Darren Caulfield

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

@conor_pope Wanna run a story about how many @VirginMediaIE customers in Dublin have had no internet since about 4pm yesterday? :-)

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

@seamuscoffey @EU_Eurostat @CSOIreland I have also analysed the https://t.co/cDwKvOKlRf data and I believe that the supposed excess mortality since July 2021 is a mirage. My best guess so far (though I need to do more checks) is that new undertakers have registered with https://t.co/cDwKvOKlRf since July 2021.

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

2/ Here is an estimate of excess deaths over the course of the pandemic, using two different baselines (2018 and 2019). About 250 to 300 excess deaths over the last month, but official figures for deaths with COVID are less than half that. @HIQA @hpscireland

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

1/ There *may* be an uptick in deaths in nursing homes. If so, vaccine booster shots will become very important. #covidireland #Coronavirusireland #COVID19ireland #COVID19Vaccine #COVID19Vaccination
@IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

@IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland I deliberately excluded the 24th and the 25th of Feb from the graph because they are affected by the issue you describe. But based on past experience, the numbers for the days leading up to then will barely increase if I regenerate the graph in a week.

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

Good news! Excess deaths are roughly zero again. The vaccines are saving lives. #covidireland #Coronavirusireland #COVID19ireland #COVID19Vaccine #COVID19Vaccination @IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

@Neacht @IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland Yeah, no

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

What a "meaningful Christmas" that was! @HIQA @hpscireland @HSELive #nursinghomes @Covid19Ireland @MichealMartinTD @DonnellyStephen

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

Daily deaths may again be slightly below average for the time of year.
#COVID19ireland #coronavirusireland #nursinghomes @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

Daily deaths seem to be holding steady around the average for this time of year. Approximately 3 COVID-related deaths are being reported each day.
#COVID19ireland #coronavirusireland #nursinghomes @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

Daily deaths remain slightly below average. If these figures are accurate, and we assume 3 people/day are dying of COVID-19, the daily number of non-COVID deaths is quite a bit below average.
#COVID19ireland #coronavirusireland #nursinghomes @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

@andrewflood After he was blown up, some students took his head on a tour of the country. You can see it in Pearse St Library.

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

@ed_diggins @seamuscoffey I'd say very little. The slope of the blue line in @seamuscoffey's graph hasn't changed much because the number of deaths is roughly normal for this time of year (see my graph). Anyway, not much point focusing on 2018 – it was exceptional. https://t.co/qqaMTslD8P

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

Daily deaths remain below the avg for this time of year (77 approx). Possible explanations: 1) just chance, 2) the deaths of some people were "brought forward" by COVID, or 3) some funeral directors are not posting notices
#COVID19ireland @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

It seems that last week's uptick in deaths in #nursinghomes was a blip (fingers crossed). Let's see if all the park visiting and beach going this weekend affects the overall numbers in the next few days.
@HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey #Covid19Ireland #Coronavirusireland

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

Daily deaths remain below the avg for this time of year (77 approx). Possible explanations: 1) just chance, 2) the deaths of some people were "brought forward" by COVID, or 3) some funeral directors are not posting notices
#COVID19ireland @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

The daily deaths may have dipped below the avg for this time of year (78 approx). Possible explanations: 1) just chance, 2) the deaths of some people were "brought forward" by COVID, or 3) some funeral directors are not posting notices
#COVID19ireland @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

@seamuscoffey I believe they stopped in April as the number of deaths rose sharply. I know of a family that were recommended by the funeral director not to post a notice so that people wouldn't call around to the house. I'll see if I can quantify the effect.

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

Death rates look like they are back to normal. However, I have noticed that some funeral directors seemed to stop posting notices on https://t.co/cDwKvOKlRf. If true, there are more deaths than these graphs suggest.
#COVID19ireland @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

@ed_diggins @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey Not explicitly but @seamuscoffey, @IrishDataViz and others do. See here, for example: https://t.co/40Ts2ohTO6

[Irish Data Viz @IrishDataViz]

Here is the latest in terms of 'excess posts' to https://t.co/fjxLUVWyQf

It looks like the total excess has been ~1,500.
If you follow the @FT/@jburnmurdoch's tracker, that's around +24% for Ireland.

Excess posts have reduced to 0 since around 20th May.

1/

[Darren Caulfield @DCaulfield00]

There were three days this week with an uptick in https://t.co/cDwKvOKlRf death notices mentioning "nursing home". It was better on Wednesday.
@HIQA @HSELive @SimonHarrisTD
@seamuscoffey #coronavirusireland #covidireland #NursingHomeDeaths #nursinghomes