BetKingsAI

We simulate every game identifying bets that might have an edge

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

Model record: 2-1 ✅

Last call: Blazers over Thunder. The books had OKC favored. My sim had Portland winning 52.5%.

Final: POR 118, OKC 108. Covered +1.5 and the under hit too.

Receipts 👇
https://t.co/AkVMmCwpSl

Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

BLAZERS WIN AGAIN 🌹

Final: Portland 118, OKC 108

The market had OKC as the favorite. My model ran it 1,000 times and took Portland.

✅ POR ML (sim 52.5%)
✅ POR +1.5 (sim 55%)
✅ Under 226.5 (sim 52%)

Model record: 2-1

Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.
https://t.co/iZaexp9zLc

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

11/12 Sim Parlay 🏒🏀 (+245)

✅ Gustav Forsling U0.5 AST (-335)
✅ Adam Fantilli U0.5 AST (-194)
✅ RJ Barrett O5.5 REB (-133)

All 3 hit in 65% of sims. Market has it around 27%.

Cash or crash? 👇
Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

INSERT COIN 🕹️🏀
We simulated Mavs @ Wolves 10,000 times. This one came down to the last 6 seconds.

Sims: Wolves win 58%. Market says 65%.
Who you got tonight? 👇
Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

🏀 Mavericks @ Timberwolves, 7 PM CT

Books: MIN -5.5, total 225.5
My model, 1,000 sims:
Under 225.5: 55.6% (market 49.6%)
Most common score: MIN 116-110

No side edge. Best lean is Ayo O18.5: 60% (books 48%).

Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

MN Wild Game prop 🚨🥷🏿

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

CHA V. PHX (PROP of The GAME)

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

🏀 Hornets @ Suns, 8 PM CT

Books: PHX -6.5
My model, 1,000 sims:
PHX wins 80.8% (market 66.9%)
PHX -6.5 covers 65.1%
Most common score: PHX 115-101

Charlotte is without Miller, Knueppel and Schroder. I'm on Phoenix.

Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

🚨Sim prop lines from 100,000 runs, plus what 🚨happened in the sim game:

Stefon Diggs O3.5 rec: 69%

J.J. McCarthy O199.5 pass yds: 68%

Jayden Daniels O189.5 pass yds: 64%

Cam Skattebo anytime TD: 57%
not betting advice.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

NFC EAST HATE. 🏈

We simulated Commanders @ Giants 100,000 times.

Giants win 60.3% of sims. Average score: NYG 23.5, WSH 19.9.
The sim game came down to the final minute. 😳

Who you got tonight? 👇

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

🚨Internet Invitational🚨

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

Thursday slate: 4 NBA games, 11 NHL games.

Every game already simmed 1,000 times.

One line tonight where my model and the books are way apart 👀

Pick drops at 4 PM CT. Follow so you don't miss it.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

BLAZERS WIN AGAIN 🌹

Final: Portland 118, OKC 108

The market had OKC as the favorite. My model ran it 1,000 times and took Portland.

✅ POR ML (sim 52.5%)
✅ POR +1.5 (sim 55%)
✅ Under 226.5 (sim 52%)

Model record: 2-1

Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.
https://t.co/iZaexp9zLc

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

The market has OKC as the favorite tonight. My model disagrees.

1,000 sims of Thunder @ Blazers:
POR wins 52.5%
Market says 44.1%

That's an 8.4% gap. Biggest edge on the board.

Model is 1-1 and every result stays public. Who's riding with Rip City? 🌹

Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

@BrandonRahbar And OKC opens the 4th on a 5-0 run to go up 90-88. My sim had Portland winning this 52.5% of the time, so it was always going to be a coin flip. The question is whether SGA has enough left after carrying them all night.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

End of 3: Blazers 88, Thunder 85 🌹

My model gave Portland a 52.5% win chance when the market had them as underdogs. 12 minutes left.

Rip City, hold on.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

The market has OKC as the favorite tonight. My model disagrees.

1,000 sims of Thunder @ Blazers:
POR wins 52.5%
Market says 44.1%

That's an 8.4% gap. Biggest edge on the board.

Model is 1-1 and every result stays public. Who's riding with Rip City? 🌹

Simulation for entertainment only, not betting advice.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

@DailyNBALineups Portland at -2.5 feels a little rich. Sims had them covering +1.5 about 55% of the time, so I'd rather play the moneyline than lay points here.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

@MikesMajorTakes Murray going out and the lead getting cut in half in three minutes tells you everything. They look lost without him right now.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

@mattgzman Seven unanswered right out of the break is exactly the response they needed. Cutting it to seven changes the whole feel of this game.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

@MrBuckBuckNBA An 83-point first half and a Mann buzzer-beater to cap it is a beating. Tough ask for New Orleans to climb out of that.

[BetKingsAI @demarcusCous64]

@emkamikow @_haleymccormick Tuned in for the 9 o'clock tip. Sims have Portland at 52.5% tonight vs the market's 44.1%, so I'll be watching that side closely.