The Fantasy Doctor PhD

PhD from Caltech. I want to talk more about math than you do. KNOW YOUR METRICS. IMPROVE YOUR PROCESS. Semifinal ToC 2024, bonedog84 on DK

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

It’s been two weeks, so… repeat at Indian Wells! Booyah. Thanks to Mirra for a soulless 12-0 drubbing and also to Rinky who I think has turned a corner. Night court / clay court comp worked really well for the Argentine as well. Always cheering Diallo…

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

Well that was cool. I have a pretty strict tennis strategy that relies on the field using incorrect pdf’s (the ultimate fork sport, w mma). When it hits, slam dunk. Also i got lucky w the late news. Thanks again to @SaberSim , not sure when the tennis year resets…

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

Hope Jontay and Terry bankrupt the NBA. They chose to side with Texas Mafia and the Sportsbooks over their players and deserve to eat shit.

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

Love this. Prioritize people over DraftKings and FanDuel.

[Ross Dellenger @RossDellenger]

QB Brendan Sorsby has been granted his injunction against the NCAA.

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

Hey maybe the betcast can debate those odds on Scottie to win, @RickRunGood they got you up real early looks like…

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

This take is insane. But there is a lot of value this morning because people like this guy think we are breeding dogs not playing golf.

Scottie played 14 holes in the worst weather imaginable. The leaders will play 9 of those in perfect conditions. Place any other bet.

[Justin Macmahan @JustinMacmahan]

Scottie Scheffler is +4200 on DraftKings (I took +4500 on peer to peer apps) and I think the market isn’t correctly pricing in the potential added variance from the delay. Scottie is just 3 back of anyone with legitimate pedigree, and those top guys have to play 30 holes tomorrow

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

(I’m up early bc the last time I binked r4 sd after a weather delay… not enough hardos running four screens starting at 430 am PT)

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

@TheCollinDunks Giannis when he gets to the punchline

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

Terrible challenges. Bush league stuff.

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

The first WNBA team to actually have a serious video review team is gonna win a lot of extra games.

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

Ah. And we can learn from the type of bets that are available. The level 2 data equivalent has the same depth of information as it did for options trading. But can I for sure tell a small batch person acting irrationally from an algorithm setting canaries for its coal mine?

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

This framing is why I’m hesitant to get into prediction markets. What the fuck do you mean liquidity? Bunch of blind counterparties with unknown risk…

Part of what I love about DFS is not there in prediction markets: player limits. Is that good? I don’t know.

[Dov Kleiman @NFL_DovKleiman]

Still in beta, Polymarket already has best-in-class liquidity across virtually every category: pregame, futures, even in-play tennis. The depth is honestly absurd.

Deposit $20, get free $50 with my code DOV50

Try trading on tonight’s game 👇

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

But yeah, while I do see the similarities in “effectively limited subsegment” and “Tennis and NBA Showdown MME only”, I think the Flagship GPP is important. Something where rich people can’t get down more than a couple K, but we all have access to the hockey stick payouts.

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

What’s the plan with Carter Bryant? Just fucking nothing?

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

At least we can stop glazing Mitch Johnson.

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

But mostly: Wemby is a +6. He’s young. No history of strain injuries, 5 games at most left. WHAT ARE YOU SAVING HIM FOR???

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

Season on the line and Wemby can’t handle 40+ mins huh? Disappointing.

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

There were some stinkers out there, hope you avoided them! Today I did not use a geomeanown filter, in an attempt to grab some serendipitous lineups when ownerships came in, let's see, I think I see a couple serendipitous!

[The Fantasy Doctor PhD @DFS_PhD]

If it's Game 2 of the Finals and #DraftKings surprised us by running another $200k to first Showdown, you know I'm overanalyzing uniqueness! giantsanddwarfs wow. unusual names here, someone win $200k real fast! Sharks have it more under-5 kinda day...