Read this thread from @EdConwaySky - this is exactly what I asked the PM at the press conference (we were only given a partial picture of the public finances) & he said ‘there was no misleading’
BREAKING
The OBR says it informed Rachel Reeves as far back as ***September 17*** that the downgrade in productivity forecasts was offset by 'increases in real wages and inflation'. The deficit was in fact just £2.5billion
By October 31 that deficit had turned into net positive of £4.2billion. That basic forecast did not change from that point
So from what the OBR is saying it looks like Rachel Reeves and the Treasury were briefing ahead of the Budget that there was a £20billion black hole in the public finances that didn't actually exist
The £30billion worth of tax rises in the Budget are predominantly a consequence of her decisions to increase public spending, particularly on welfare, and have £21.7billion worth of headroom
As @Peston@PippaCrerar@hzeffman have all pointed out, it makes the Budget build up - and the narrative that big tax rises were coming because of a deterioration in the public finances - look frankly surreal in hindsight
The OBR has now published what the Chancellor and Treasury knew and when - in a letter to the Treasury Select Committee - about whether she would hit her fiscal targets. As you can see from the attached table, there was never a huge black hole from the productivity downgrade, because tax revenues were boosted by higher inflation and wages. The mystery therefore deepens about why the Chancellor, in her highly unusual press conference and subsequent interview, felt the need to create a sense of crisis
Suicide.
I'm choosing to be deliberately blunt and provocative in this post because it's necessary. Government, charities, football clubs are all pushing water up a hill in highlighting what is undoubtedly a major health crisis.
You take a rope.
You put it up in a garage or a tree nearby or far away.
You're thinking about every loved one you'll leave behind as you put that rope around your neck.
Then you drop.
Some are decapitated.
Some aren't.
All are found by someone who has a lifetime of trauma that will never leave them.
A son.
A daughter.
A brother.
A sister.
A mother.
A father.
I know 2 men who hung themselves.
One was found by his Mom.
One was found by his brother.
Neither have recovered fully. 20 and 30 years on.
A life sentence for people who were already worrying, terrified their loved one may do something.
So just visualise the above and ask, "is there another way"?
A segway for a moment.
I do a few Q&A's every year. Tales of yesterday with a 99% male audience of my age group.
After the stories and fun, my last question back to the audience is..
"Hands up if you struggle with a mental health issue".
Nobody ever puts a hand up. Despite 1 in every 3 of 500 attendees statistically struggling.
"Ah, nobody, that's fucking brilliant! Well I do! ". I then graphically tell people, stunned into silence about how a rope around my neck in the middle of nowhere jolted me to go home and cry like a baby to my Mom.
After the Q&A has finished, something always happens. I'll be chatting to a few guys, saying bye and one by one, men will come over and whisper " I struggle".
Or my mailbox the next day will have 30 emails from guys, their partners or kids saying " Dad/Uncle /Brother was there last night and what you said hit them hard".
And that's how some people realise that it's time to speak to a pal or family member or even rant to me in an email. It works, I often get a follow up email a year or 6 later saying that they took responsibility for their suicidal feelings and are now flying.
Humans are programmed to want to live, to have families and to keep the species growing and thriving. So for a human to want to short circuit that desire isn't normal, and it should never be spoken of as normal. It's the ultimate red flag.
If you suspect your mate, Dad, Brother, Uncle is struggling mentally, they deserve your intervention.
They deserve a " are you OK, please tell me what's up".
They deserve an opportunity to get past wanting to hang a rope over a tree or in a garage and slowly struggle until they die and you find them.
If you've been there and trust me I have plenty, then you'll know that text out of the blue, or a footie mate or one of your kids asking jow you are can open the curtains to some sunshine.
Because when suicide is your only answer, the room is already dark, and you can't see a way out.
So please, fucking pretty please, ask that husband, Dad, Uncle, Cousin, footie pal TODAY how they are.
You may be shocked what comes back but extremely glad that you asked.
For those who struggle, you're not alone.
Wishing you a speedy recovery, Tom Lockyer. It's great to hear you are responsive and alert. Rest up and God willing you recover well. Thinking of you and your family today 🙏🏾❤️
Keir Starmer thanks "hard-working families... who've kept our country going" and asks if the PM will join him
"We are getting on and delivering for working Britain," Rishi Sunak replies
#PMQs https://t.co/qhBEoVhkfV
From #AfricaPGI to #AfricaPGI2.0
@AfricaCDC is adapting to the changes in the pathogen genomics surveillance ecosystem. Our new strategy was launched on the sidelines of #CPHIA2023
What is #AfricaPGI2.0? a thread 1/n
Sunak, "We took advice from scientific advisers"
Van-Tam, "Absolutely not consulted"
Whitty, "There was no consultation"
Vallance, "We didn't know about it till it was announced"
Did Rishi -Just Let People Die- Sunak lie in parliament?
Johnson: We are guided by the science
Vallance: Johnson didn't understand the science
Hancock: We've been guided by the science
Vallance: Hancock lied
Sunak: The state should protect and support it's people
Vallance: Sunak didn't ask us about Eat Out To Help Out, it increased cases, people died
#CovidInquiry
Eddie Hearn on Tyson Fury vs Francis Ngannou; “I’m absolutely lost for words. Fury looked like he’d never laced up a pair of gloves before. I thought Ngannou won by two rounds… Forget Fury vs Usyk, no-one’s interested, just give us Fury vs Anthony Joshua. AJ will knock Fury out inside six rounds.” [@MatchroomBoxing]
📢📢📢 Equipment Alert!
We just took delivery of the first @illumina NovaSeq X Plus in Africa!
The Illumina NovaSeq X Plus is the most powerful and the most advanced sequencing system in the world. It can sequence more than 26,000 human genomes per year
#genomics#sequencing
The Indian government need to smell the coffee. It is no coincidence the US Congress House Session on Friday 29 September started with a Sikh ‘prayer’ for the first time in history with a tribute to Sikh martyrs (Shaheeds).
Despite all the lies, fake news and propaganda by the Indian government Sikhs in the Diaspora have an excellent reputation across the globe. Sikh teachings and the Sikh way of life are able to win the hearts and minds of the public, politicians and governments across the globe.
Thanks to the robust stand taken by the Canadian government with the support of allies following the assassination by the Indian government of Hardeep Singh Nijjar nations now have an open mind on the global benefits of the re-establishment of a Sikh homeland.
At least six men and two vehicles were involved in the killing of Sikh separatist leader Hardeep Nijjar outside his place of worship, according to video reviewed by The Washington Post and witness accounts, suggesting a larger, more organized operation. https://t.co/ySk6vNJtuk