Trader Human

catching waves

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Emotion, a fascinating aspect of investing.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

AI capex is eating the cash that once made Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon the best free-cash-flow machines in the S&P 500

[Conor Kenny @conorfkenny]

We are quietly watching the foundation of a true machine-to-machine economy get built right under our noses.

Major infrastructure plays like Coinbase’s x402 protocol and MoonPay’s new agent wallets are actively proving that AI doesn't need legacy bank accounts to move real value.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

USD/JPY IS ABOUT TO HIT A 40-YEAR HIGH.

And this could bring the global markets to their knees.

This week, USD/JPY hit 161.8, its highest level since July 2024.

If this goes above 162, it'll hit a 40-year high.

But why does this matter?

Because the BOJ intervenes when USD/JPY approaches the 161-162 level.

In July 2024, the BOJ spent $34B to strengthen the yen.

And the result was a $7 TRILLION wipeout from global markets.

This time, the yen carry trade has gotten even bigger, around $300B-$400B.

So when BOJ intervenes, the unwind will be even more brutal.

[CryptoGoos @cryptogoos]

🇨🇳🇺🇸 I’LL BE BLUNT: $NVDA HAS COMPLETELY LOST CHINA TO HUAWEI.

China just trained a frontier AI model with zero $NVDA chips.

Zhipu’s GLM-5.
Start to finish on Huawei Ascend.

No Nvidia anywhere.

Zhipu’s co-founder says Fable-class Chinese AI arrives even sooner than people expect.

Home-grown frontier models.
A fraction of the price.

And the economics holding up the U.S. AI market start to crack.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

PAY ATTENTION 🚨

SpaceX could eventually become one of the greatest investments ever made.

But before that happens, there will be a brutal crash that wipes out most late buyers.

Just like Apple.
Just like Amazon.
Just like Tesla.

The real bottom probably comes when nobody cares about SpaceX anymore.

Maybe around the midterm elections.

That’s when smart money will quietly start accumulating while retail moves on to the next hype cycle.

[Conor Kenny @conorfkenny]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP SAYS THE IRAN DEAL WILL BE SIGNED WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🇺🇸 FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH ON BITCOIN:

"If you're under 40, Bitcoin is your new gold."

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

🇺🇸 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories plunge to lowest level in over 41 years

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

BREAKING: Crude oil inventories plunge by 8.3 million barrels (Est. 4.6M, Prev. 7.2M)

[Conor Kenny @conorfkenny]

BREAKING: The Royal Government of Bhutan deposited $34,000,000 worth of $BTC to Binance today.

More selling pressure!🩸

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

💥 SUSPICIOUS:

Is this whale front-running the FOMC?

Someone just opened a massive $75 MILLION long on Bitcoin and Ethereum right before the first speech from the most pro-crypto Fed Chair in history.

The same setup has triggered violent crypto rallies before.

Either this trader is making a reckless gamble.

Or he already knows what the market is about to hear.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🚨 SPACEX MAY BE THE BIGGEST EXIT LIQUIDITY EVENT IN MARKET HISTORY.

SPCX is up 70% from IPO.

But only 4% of shares actually trade publicly.

The other 96% are still locked.

Now passive funds are being FORCED to buy while insiders prepare to unlock and dump shares starting as early as July/August.

Retail thinks they are buying the future of space.

They may actually be funding the largest insider exit of this entire cycle.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

TOMORROW CHANGES THE FED FOREVER.

For the first time in history a pro Bitcoin chair runs the FOMC.

The man who called Bitcoin the new gold now sets the tone for the entire market.

Watch every word.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🚨 THIS SHOULD BE ILLEGAL!

Did this whale know the U.S.-Iran peace deal was coming?

A trader opened a massive $34 MILLION Oil short position just before President Trump announced the deal.

Oil instantly crashed below $80.

The whale is now sitting on nearly $1.8 MILLION profit in less than 24 hours.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

HERE WE GO: 🇺🇸 FED TO INJECT $6,638,000,000.00 INTO THE ECONOMY THIS WEEK...

Money printing continues.

[Conor Kenny @conorfkenny]

BREAKING: India confirms LNG carrier Disha transited the Strait of Hormuz safely with no congestion, marking the first vessel passage after the peace deal.

Global energy is back online!

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🚨 BITCOIN HAS DUMPED AFTER EVERY SINGLE FOMC SINCE OCTOBER 2025.

October 2025 FOMC: -30.21%
December 2025 FOMC: -9.99%
January 2026 FOMC: -32.77%
March 2026 FOMC: -13.67%
April 2026 FOMC: -27.72%

Another FOMC is coming in 2 days.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

Israel's stock exchange is deeply red.

Iran's stock exchange is massively green.

The contrast is showing up right after the US/Iran deal.

The market just picked its winner.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🚨 US-IRAN PEACE DEAL COULD BE THE MOST BEARISH SIGNAL FOR MARKETS.

And the history supports this.

Today, Trump announced that the US and Iran will sign a peace deal on Friday.

Stocks, crypto, and precious metals are all pumping on this.

But they are unaware of what's coming next.

Let's compare this with the 1973 energy crisis.

In October 1973, the Yom Kippur War triggered a supply shock that caused a 300% rally in oil.

The stock market did not crash due to this.

Then in March 1974, the embargo ended, and that's when the real damage started.

In just 6 months, the S&P 500 dropped close to 50% from its peak.

This happened as inflation had already been pushed higher by the energy shock, which led to Fed tightening.

Now look at today's scenario.

The stock market is close to new highs while inflation is surging.

The supply shock and infrastructure damage created by this war won't go away with just a peace deal signed.

This is very similar to late 1973, where markets absorbed the initial shock and the real move happened after that.

If this repeats again, the next 4-5 months could be ABSOLUTE BLOODBATH for both stocks and crypto.