@brianklaas We seem to be going down the civil war path - not Grant and Lee of 1863 but Belfast 1971. Replace Catholic and Protestant with R and D fringe groups with 400 million guns in circulation. IRA had low level support but still 30 years of conflict.
@SamLMontano Natural vs man made seems appropriate. Adding Three Mile Island or Deep Water Horizon might give a fuller context of actions and capabilities.
@ModeledBehavior The outcomes - increased customers, decreased due to increased concerns, no impact on customers, etc. Increase with more COVID = economic and political nightmare. Interesting that science is a big winner at the vaccine level - but not at this level.
@ianbremmer And speaking of God - isn’t our collective history one of a tangled mess of science, politics and religion. 2021 not that much different from 1521 in terms of managing the mess. The bright side - science is still winning in the long run.
@SouthlakeFamPAC Should add believe in realism and demographic mathematics - minority white around 2040. Should add believe in capitalism - your employees and customers will be non-white. Should add believe in tomorrow and not yesterday.
@crampell Would be a great journalist project for someone - pick 20 of these guys and do a profile of their lives. Strongly suspect showing a wider audience just how strange and odd these people are would have a huge benefit to society. Seems the heart of journalism - light on darkness.
@maggieNYT Can you fundamentally think that in the context of the historical demographic shift coming about in the 2040s - the swift from majority to minority majority? Already baked into the cake - and the rural to urban migration seems baked or baking. Also need to insert “White”.
@mattyglesias@mattyglesias - your thoughts on the probability that Manchin switches to R. The importance of Manchin is grossly understated. He is the most important person in DC as a D - what is the calculus?
@ianbremmer Dr. Bremmer - when is the last time you had a beer in a bowling alley and discussed EU political theory with a bunch of coal miners from WVA? Name one close friend you have that doesn’t have a college degree?
@JeffreyGoldberg future story idea for The Atlantic - the notion that Hispanics have been perceived as reliable Democratic voters might be proven incorrect in 2020. Has Hispanic political diversity been understated (why?) and what are the implications for this in the longterm?
@NateSilver538@ModeledBehavior Or ... countries and empires in decline have historically elected/gravitated toward poor quality leaders. Trump as a symptom of decline versus a symbol. When you rank as low in education as the US vs developed world = Trump.
@sarahcpr@anneapplebaum Her genius in 30 seconds is a new mark in political satire - her expressions and his words are a timeless partnership. The material is virtually nonstop. Between her shtick and the emotional seriousness of the Lincoln Project - the Rs are going to lose some sleep until Nov.
@business Confluence of everything wickedly messy in society - CEOs singular focus on tax rates, persuading the #1 growing ethnic group in US to vote Red, multinational corporations hiding under nationalism, social media and the ease of boycotts, etc.