Phoenix family doc. Traditional conservative with a libertarian streak; Christian disciple. If you feel laconic, take two aphorisms & call me in the morning.
Listening to others beliefs and questioning your own is a foundation of knowledge. Never be afraid to explore new ideas, you may reinforce your current understanding, or doubt, even refute, what you have heretofore held sacrosanct. Remain sceptical. #wisdom#knowledge#truth
I’m going to go out on a limb and predict tonight’s election results.
Polls are notoriously difficult to interpret, but three factors commonly associated with midterm elections appear to be converging, and I think they favor a good night for the Democratic Party.
First, “It’s the economy, stupid.” High gas prices have a cascading effect throughout the economy, and voters tend to hold the party in power responsible for their financial frustrations.
Second, midterms traditionally favor the party out of power. Add to that the almost rabid, sometimes paranoid hatred of President Trump among a segment of the population, including much of the mainstream media, and his own perpetual habit of throwing oil on the fire with his brutish rhetoric. A strong turnout among Democratic supporters would hardly be surprising.
Third, the great unknown: turnout. Supporters of the party holding the White House are often less motivated to vote in midterms. Just how much that will affect Republican turnout this year is difficult to gauge.
My prediction: A solid, but not overwhelming, Democratic victory in the House. The days of enormous majorities appear to be behind us, at least for now. A relatively narrow majority seems the most plausible outcome.
I expect Republicans to retain control of the Senate. Even with some remarkably dirty political tricks, particularly the second Dan Sullivan on the Alaska ballot, and surprisingly close contests in states that ought to be Republican slam dunks, the Democrats would need a net gain of four seats to secure a majority. Not impossible, but I think unlikely.
I’m not basing my overall prediction on the breathless reporting or the polls, many of which I consider biased or unreliable. I’m looking primarily at historical patterns, political trends, and voter behavior.
It will be interesting to see how the electoral map looks tomorrow morning. My suspicion is that President Trump will need to keep his veto pen close at hand for the next two years.
#2026Election @GOP@TheDemocrats
My foremost reason was that she was part of the Biden administration, which mismanaged the border, national security and the economy, and did nothing to ease pandemic restrictions once the initial emergency had clearly passed.
Second, she had a responsibility to be honest with the American people about Biden’s apparent inability to carry out the day-to-day duties of the presidency. She should have been willing to invoke the process under the 25th Amendment, with the necessary Cabinet support, and assume responsibility as acting president. It might have killed her political career, but it would have demonstrated integrity.
Finally, she never demonstrated the competence required to lead at this level. Her career advancement appeared to depend on opportunism and powerful patrons rather than ability. I was concerned about another four years of anonymous, unelected insiders running the White House, with her serving as the public figurehead.
Kennedy’s assassination. I was almost eight years old and living in Canada, so I wasn’t fully familiar with the American system of government, although I knew who JFK was.
On my way home from school on November 22, 1963, a friend shouted from his window that Kennedy had been assassinated. I ran home and found my 15-year-old brother glued to the television.
He was so consumed by the story that, on Sunday, he defied my mother and refused to go to church. He stayed home and watched Jack Ruby shoot Lee Harvey Oswald live on television.
No one knows what time it is elsewhere in Canada … except Newfoundland which is alway ½ hour ahead, or is it behind, everyone else. @TheBeaverton
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