The wait is over!
Introducing... 🥁
Bitcoin Quantile Model v2.
You’re going to want to bookmark this post—and follow for regular model updates.
After months of research and development, I’m very proud of this model—my flagship quantile framework.
I’m confident it’s one of the best—if not the best—long-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available.
As a full-time, unpaid Bitcoin researcher, I’m often asked how people can best support my free content.
Simply bookmark, repost, and comment on my posts :)
Thanks for all your continued support!
— PlanC
Key Features & Improvements:
1. Quantile lines never cross—mathematically impossible.
2. Cycle-length agnostic.
3. 133,000+ data points and 1,500 lines of code.
4. Fits and stores 999 quantile levels (τ = 0.001–0.999 in 0.001 steps) and identifies which level the last price is closest to.
5. Fits the two leading decay functions (stretched exponential decay & exponential decay) and selects the better fit via quantile-appropriate AIC.
Uses Akaike weights to identify the best-supported model.
Akaike weights (AIC-based):
Stretched exponential decay: 96.4%
Exponential decay: 3.6%
6. Piecewise Quantile Regression — Linear + Stretched Exponential Decay (Nonlinear).
@benjamincowen Nope, not entirely correct, mate. I think your reputation and following will keep climbing over time. Just keep up the good work and tune out the noise — the haters, low IQs, gamblers, etc. You’ve got my full respect, as do so many others.
"Altcoins will never pump 🤡"
Permabears are saying this and they’ll be dead wrong.
I just did 100+ hours of research and found something VERY interesting.
5 major liquidity events that will pump our Altcoin bags.
A thread: 🧵👇
The ETH thesis for @fundstrat is simple.
He's frontrunning ETH accumulation by the banks.
"Ethereum is also the architecture that future banks will have. When goldman issues a stablecoin and JPMorgan doing it on Ethereum as Layer 1 blockchain they're going to want to secure it by staking Ethereum so, we're trying to get in front of that by creating an Ethereum treasury vehicle."
Why is Tom Lee converting a bitcoin mining company to an ETH treasury and staking company?
Simple.
The banks will have stablecoins. The stablecoins will deploy on Ethereum. And so...the banks will acquire & stake ETH to secure their stablecoins.
First commercial banks buy and stake. Then central banks buy and stake ETH.
ETH becomes a world reserve asset.
He's frontrunning the obvious ETH accumulation trend - just as he did with bitcoin many years ago.
Bullish ETH.
$ANON - FDV $154M
-Down 70% from ATH. Massive correction across the board for the AI sector.
-10k holders
-Rising mindshare as price is lowering
-Leading cross-chain DeFAI platform by market cap and mindshare. Seems technologically more capable than Griffain and others. Will integrate across hundreds of chains. Starting with EVM, coming to Solana soon. Swapping, conditionals, DCA, multi-transactions, lending/borrowing, staking, multi-logic etc. all possible. Telegram bot integration, or through website (https://t.co/HA5pdOKO6B). DeFAI shows great promise. Good article on DeFAI value add to the crypto ecosystem by Binance here: https://t.co/rEZgWlL351.
-Article on onboarding billions with DeFAI from @danielesesta here: https://t.co/9jonBmBuRB
-Thread from @danielesesta on non-crypto agents exeucting on-chain (large market): https://t.co/BpTfBDnjst
-Beta launched Feb 7th, positive reviews generally. Clean UI, transactions just work for the most part. Will see how it evolves https://t.co/HA5pdOKO6B
-Has Anon for DeFAI executiong, and Gemma for market analysis
-@danielesesta ran $TIME (wonderland) up to $8.6B in the 2021 bull run. Says he's on his revenge arc after that project was brought down, rumours he rugged but doesn't appear there is evidence of this. Seems to want @heyanon to be his legacy, wants his kids working there. Wants to integrate every single chain and protocol in crypto
-Could see @HeyAnonai being a core abstraction layer between natural language and crypto rails. @danielesesta: "With Automate by @HeyAnonai we are building the ultimate LEGO for @solana Agents to interact with any DeFi dapp using any conditional trigger via our extensive data integrations."
-Many callouts across crypto including @aixbt_agent "heyanon is the defining defai project of 2025", @MessariCrypto, @cookiedotfun
-Powerful integrations like Messari, DefiLlama, Aave, X/Twitter, Telegram, many defi protocols etc. for both analytics and execution. The vision is to be able to do anything on-chain.
-Importantly, truly agentic execution, so actions can happen without constant permissions, can be scheduled and multiple actions taken in one prompt. See example: https://t.co/CthGFb2eXo
-Seems unique because it maps schemas strictly from natural language to crypto inputs using the AUTOMATE Typescript framework, eliminating hallucinations and improper inputs.
-Open-source GitHub: https://t.co/mjzncWK5zj
-Quick GitHub analysis:
•The repository has a clear structure with detailed documentation and guides for developing AI chatbot modules.
•The repository provides a script for creating new modules and includes examples for implementing different functions.
•The code is well-structured, using TypeScript for all implementations and adhering to coding standards.
•The code base appears to be actively developed, as evidenced by the number of commits and contributors.
•The community engagement seems active, with a relatively high number of stars, forks, and open pull requests.
Solana CA: 9McvH6w97oewLmPxqQEoHUAv3u5iYMyQ9AeZZhguYf1T
EVM CA: 0x79bbF4508B1391af3A0F4B30bb5FC4aa9ab0E07C
How Likely is Trump to Launch Another Token? 🧐
Predicting whether Donald Trump @realDonaldTrump will launch another token involves considering several factors including his past actions, current political climate, and the reception of his previous ventures into cryptocurrency:
Without an official statement or clear indication from Trump or his close circle, any prediction remains speculative. However, based on his past actions and the crypto industry's dynamics, another token launch isn't out of the realm of possibility!
How Likely is Trump to Launch Another Token? 🧐
Predicting whether Donald Trump @realDonaldTrump will launch another token involves considering several factors including his past actions, current political climate, and the reception of his previous ventures into cryptocurrency:
Given these considerations, while there's no definitive answer, the likelihood seems moderate to high:
Moderate: Due to the potential regulatory and ethical scrutiny, especially considering his position as president, and the fluctuating nature of crypto markets which could negatively impact his brand or political standing.
High: Because of his history of engaging with new ventures for branding and fundraising, the positive market response to his previous crypto projects, and the ongoing interest in celebrity and political meme coins.