Doug Marchetti

Fantasy Football Addict. 5x league commissioner. Building AI to win your fantasy football leagues. Go @broncos

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

I built an AI model to simulate the entire 2026 NFL season 1,000 times.

24 of the top 50 RBs came out different than ADP.

Here's the top 50, starting with 1-10:

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

@joeknowsFF Yeah especially an early 2027 1st. I’m hesitant to even do 3 firsts

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

Trade offer I received to get JSN. Would be giving away the picks with one 27 being an early 1st.

Would you have accepted?

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

@jtglazer00 @SleeperNFL I good WR 2 helps open up the WR1 IMO. And keeps the offense on the field.

I think it’ll be the same for Sutton and Waddle

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

@SleeperNFL

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

@AdamSchefter So these 3 companies have a say in how the games will pan out now

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

@SleeperNFL Matthew Stafford and Jahmyr Gibbs

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

Top 10: Puka over Chase, barely. Nico Collins is the only real value up there. WR6 for me, WR10 by ADP.

11-20: every single guy has a 1 in 8 shot at top 5. This is the league winner tier.

21-30: 4 guys I like more than ADP, zero I like less. Best value on the board.

31-40: the trap. DJ Moore and Davante Adams both way below cost.

41-50: wait on receivers here, not backs. 7% hit versus 2%.

TE tomorrow, then QB and DST.

Follow @DougMarchettiFF if you want the rest.

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

I built an AI model to simulate the entire 2026 NFL season 1,000 times.

22 of the top 50 WRs came out different than ADP.

Here's the top 50, starting with 1-10:

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

WRs 41-50. Dart throws.

Late receivers hit way more than late backs. 7% of WRs drafted here finish top 12. For RBs it's 2%.

Wait on receivers, not on backs.

[SleeperNFL @SleeperNFL]

Name a player that will elevate themselves into the “elite tier” this season.

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

@AdamSchefter This guy as a pro bowler is why

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

@SleeperNFL Jameis Winston hands down

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

You’re on the clock. Who are you taking with the next 2 picks?

You already have Puka, Henry, and Josh Allen

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

@SleeperNFL @SleeperBears @SleeperColts @bearszn Loveland is going to score like a top 12 WR this year

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

“When he finally makes an accurate throw, he is pretty accurate”

[Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL]

Falcons OC Tommy Rees on Tua Tagovailoa, via @ByDanielFlick:

"When things are clean, he's as accurate as they get."

[Doug Marchetti @DougMarchettiFF]

Who are you taking here? You got Bijan with the 1.02