Labour is less popular in the Red Wall than in 2019 when Jeremy Corbyn was leader, losing 17,000 votes overall
Despite winning almost all of these seats, there's been little change in their overall support
Avg 2pp swing to Labor by AEC socio_dem in fully counted 2pps. Includes teal and Grn seats. Second table is only across classic seats (with full 2pp counts).
The political realignment sweeping western democracies has now well and truly arrived in Australia - big cities are now dominated by progressive parties, including affluent areas that were traditionally conservative. This is how Labor forms government in 2022.
NEW: for this week’s column I dug into the curious case of British attitudes to immigration
Before the EU ref, concern about immigration tracked levels of arrivals. Since then, immigration has kept rising but concerns have evaporated
What’s going on?
https://t.co/dWtOCZ9Dkt
How Macron did it - running up the score in the big cities and among tertiary educated voters. Interestingly, he also did better among older people - I guess this is to do with Le Pen not coming from a mainstream conservative party.
https://t.co/sOeycSVCOQ