In 20 years, the US cattle industry will be a miniature version of todayโs.
Every single pound of imported beef into the USA is another nail in the American cattle and beef industry. The crack in the dam cannot be stopped.
Cheap labor, cheap land values, cheap taxes, and no green movement, along with American genetics, make it easy for Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, and South America to raise cattle with high palatability and marbling.
The flow will increase, and consumers will accept it because lower prices will matter more than origin. In 20 years, it will be common for US supermarkets to have 90% imported beef on the shelves.
You heard it here.
The US cattle industry is near its peak and will begin to shrink as cheaper, high-quality meat flows in and is accepted by US consumers. Increasing the US beef herd now will be short-lived because American-raised beef will become increasingly uncompetitive. Logistics, timely delivery, and sheer volume issues remain.
In 20 years, the US cattle industry will be much smaller.
@N5Pennies After 40 years in the meat business, Iโve been around a lot of people Iโve never met in person. After a while, you can read most people. My knowledge and experience is far more important than who I am just like yours.
Two years ago, it was hard to find retail meat that came from cattle born outside the US, Canada, and Mexico, with almost all fed and harvested in the US.
Today, nearly all ground beef is made from South American lean trim mixed with US fat trim, and there is little to no pushback from US retailers or US consumers.
Soon it will include roast and crockpot-type meats in addition to ground beef. Once accepted by consumers, steaks will be next.
In fact, some food service operators are starting to dabble in steaks from South America: Angus genetics fed in American-style feedlots in a foreign country.
You make it sound like this is something I want, this is absolutely something Iโm against, but I donโt think thereโs any way to stop it. And every day for the last two years, Iโve seen changes that I have never seen before and never expected to see in my life. I think Iโll be here in 20 years.
I hope youโre right, but after being in the meat business 40 years, I can say change is coming whether we like it or not. The high cost of operations in the US will make it uncompetitive for Cattlemen , we are seeing it right now. Inflation and high prices will not stop.
Packers and Feeders which are primarily corporate organizations, will not be allowed to continue to lose money, more than two or three years. They will close or they will find alternative ways to operate.
@tennsquire Exactly, this is why my prediction. US consumers will not pay the ticket if there is a cheaper choice for high quality meat, and there will be.
@CowsnRedbirds For those that are left in 20 years, it will be very specialized. Commodity meat will be foreign because US raised commodity cattle will not be able to compete on price.
@GGunthorp And they will it just wonโt be beef from American grown cattle, the consumer wonโt care about the origin, the only thing American consumer cares about is price itโs proven over and over and over
@KINGS1973 About as uneventful month of May that I can remember, usually thereโs a wave of interest and excitement and nobody wants to be left on the outside looking in. Not this year.
The train never arrived at the station
I know my father who worked for USDA for 35 years went out of his way to avoid anything that would be considered conflict of interests. I was never allowed to hunt on any ranchers land. I was never allowed to fish on any farmers pond and we were never allowed to harvest firewood how many Timberland owner. He was by the book.
He always said right is right wrong is wrong. I missed out on a lot of good hunting and fishing, and I hated it, but he would never cross the line and mix pleasure time with anything work related.
@ckleene@KINGS1973 When I was younger, people took great pride in being honest and ethical, and went to great links to not appear or in any way look like they were abusing the power of their office. Thatโs gone.
๐น STANDARD PRODUCT
โข Focus: Commodity and utility
โข Competition: Competes heavily on price
โข Production: Mass-produced for maximum reach
โข Purpose: Solves a basic need
โจ PREMIUM PRODUCT
โข Focus: Experience and distinction
โข Competition: Competes on value and prestige
โข Production: Selectively produced for targeted appeal
โข Purpose: Caters to an aspiration or lifestyle