Our time series of delta decay is proof this has a significant impact on intraday flows, with negative delta decay implying positive hedging flows.
Further, you can use charm to identify the timing of the decay as it is hedged, allowing for better intraday scalp timing. All of this is available in Volland’s 0DTE tier.
An instructional video of how to use these widgets in concert is available at: https://t.co/SzE8QwxmPX
The Volland team is always on the cutting edge of market maker positioning data. For more information and to subscribe to your tier of choice, visit the Volland at https://t.co/tH2hl0TQj3.
0DTE Delta Decay: Intraday Dealer Hedging Quantified
The final word on 0DTE hedging flows
When Cboe introduced daily options in $SPX, it forever changed market dynamics. Very swiftly, “0DTE” options became half of all SPX flow, but not at the expense of the other tenors. The result is that SPX option volume has been hitting daily volume all-time highs about as often as SPX itself.
With all of that volume comes different market dynamics. #0DTE options have been priced much differently than its higher tenor siblings, usually with much higher static IV and steeper skew. All of this created a dynamic that couldn’t be ignored, especially for the intraday trader.
While there are many flows that the need to be accounted for when intraday trading, considering that the margin of error is so small, the dealer hedging flow is critical. This is because options volumes are so high that the imbalance of the 0DTE dealer book must be taken into account. It was this failure that caused David Chau’s “Captain Condor” strategy to so remarkably blow up on Christmas Eve.
Volland saw these flows, and up until recently, attempted to signify this from the perspective of charm. We tried many ways to express that notional hedging more accurately, and we realized that we were deriving this with the incorrect terms. Notional charm was expressing delta notionals, when we wanted straight notional hedging but using the principles of delta expiration dynamics that vanna and charm express.
The new 0DTE Delta Decay widget completes what we set out to do with our work with charm.
Introducing 0DTE Delta Decay
The 0DTE Delta Decay widget is the only widget that swiftly and accurately shows the amount of notional delta that dealers need to hedge before expiration on the 0DTE tenor on a strike-by-strike basis.
If you need to know how much total hedging needs to be completed before the end of the day, Volland’s 0DTE widget has that total notional that needs to be hedged.
These widgets are available in all of Volland's 0DTE option offerings, including $SPY and $QQQ, which are needed for better timing and a full picture.
🚨BIGGEST JOBLESS CLAIMS SPIKE SINCE 2020🚨
... But continuing claims just had their BIGGEST DROP in months!!!
Initial claims: 236K (+44K) 🔴
Continuing claims: 1.838M (−99K) 🟢
One day after the Fed cited "downside risks to employment" as their reason for cutting...
...the labor market shows signs of life!
Powell might have cut into strength!!
🚨🚨
1/ FOMC just cut 25bps to 3.50-3.75%!
Everyone expected that. Here's what they didn't expect:
THREE dissents, a dove who flipped hawkish, and stealth QE restarting Friday!!!!
The cut is noise, the chaos underneath is the signal! 🧵
🚨MIDNIGHT MACRO🚨
1/ Tomorrow's Fed meeting is a foregone conclusion, right?
90% odds of a 25bp cut.
But that's not the story!
The real story: Powell is leading the most divided Fed in recent memory while operating in a data blackout.
Here's what fintwit is missing 🧵