Alex Fleck

Social Media, Law, and Criminology. + Politics and Latin America.

Lecturer at the School of Law, Society and Criminology, UNSW Sydney

PhD in Law (UNSW)

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

I was happy to be interviewed on @abcnews' The World about the charges levied against former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro for his coup attempt to overturn his 2022 electoral loss.

Here is my analysis.
https://t.co/n1WlWgxrUD

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@tknoll209K @apagliar Largely defended... I think those factors are often lost/disregarded. There is far too much of a focus on the linguistic aspect of "communication" and too little on infrastructure. The previous resources/organisations aren't there anymore. Org crime also plays a role

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@tknoll209K @apagliar Dirceu himself actually explains the lack of Worker's Party influence over newer Evangelical leadership and some rural areas... Says PT was expelled/forced out a lot of those areas, a lot of local political leaders were persecuted/imprisoned (mostly post-Dilma), and unions were +

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@tknoll209K @apagliar I agree... But even so, you don't actually see hundreds of headlines on what Flavio's imminent win would mean for the Amazon and the potential impact for global markets, etc.
I think there is also a local investor dynamic at play (BR market makers have drunk the koolaid since 18)

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

If I am honest, I don't feel like I can provide any level-headed analysis of what is happening in Brazil right now...

But I am really glad people like @apagliar and @BenjaminFogel are able to do so in an actually coherent way

[Benjamin Fogel @BenjaminFogel]

As I wrote on Saturday: The fact is that investing in social disintegration is both an effective political strategy for Latin America’s new right and a means for imperial Miami under Trump and Rubio to assert their dominance over Latin America.

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@apagliar @GregGrandin 100%
I have acquaintances and family members who have survived (and some thrived) on federally-backed loans for their small and medium-sized farms. A lot of them were saved by Lula-created financial rescue plans... All of them hate the Worker's party and vote for Bolsonaro

[Andre Pagliarini @apagliar]

Submission to Washington abroad *and* the ability to remake institutions in their image at home. A totally coherent project embraced by pliant Latin American elites since independence: happy to serve foreign interests and degrade the state as long as they get theirs.

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@profsarahj Yeah, it's done and dusted. Runoff will be in a couple of weeks, but there is very little hope.

And the results down ballot (Fed Senate and State governors) are even worse

[Andre Pagliarini @apagliar]

@RenardFantastiq @jakesugarman @Datafolha At the risk of incurring charges of defeatism, hard to imagine there is anything to staunch the reactionary momentum given all that has already come out about Flávio. He should have been disqualified a dozen times over and yet...

[Benjamin Fogel @BenjaminFogel]

Looking to numb my soul tonight, it's going to be a very dark few years for Brazil and Latin America

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@apagliar And then... Nikolas 2034

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

I have refused to answer/get into the procedural debate re potential STF Justice removals until now...

I've been basically waiving it off as premature, far-fetched/nonsense...

Joke's on me, I guess?

#BrazilElections

[Andre Pagliarini @apagliar]

Whatever happens at the presidential level, the far right is clearly on the brink of gaining unprecedented strength in the Senate.

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@estrela_free @centralpolitcs Você está comentando em um post de 4 anos atrás

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

RESULTADO DE SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA

LULA 61.3%
BOLSONARO 38.7%

#Eleicoes2022 #Eleicao2022
#JáÉLulaNaAustrália

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

Resultado de Sydney!

Outras urnas daqui da Austrália deram resultados semelhantes

[ɐɟɐɹ @eifreaky]

🇧🇷🇦🇺 Resultado das seções em Sydney, Austrália:

🟥 Lula: 2.128 votos (54,4%)
🟦 Flávio Bolsonaro: 1.277 votos (32,6%)
⚪ Outros candidatos: 508 votos (13,0%)

Total: 3.913 votos válidos.

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@Smj2025_ Esses boletins são da Nova Zelândia

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

Já já os boletins de urna da costa leste da Austrália devem estar disponíveis: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, e Canberra.

#eleicoes2026

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@LuisFernannd Não tenho tanta certeza... O clima da votação foi BEM diferente dessa vez. Muita mudança desde 2022

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@jcmaxi10 @gihlews @vodimtenigranku Não. Os boletins de urnas são publicados individualmente (não tem resultado oficial por país). Logo mais deve ter foto dos boletins na frente dos locais de votação

[Alex Fleck @DrAlexFleck]

@apagliar Wait, WHAT

[Raquel Krähenbühl @Rkrahenbuhl]

Palácio do Planalto: "A decisão de hoje não é um fato isolado. Faz parte de uma escalada deliberada de medidas hostis ao Brasil, motivadas por razões ideológicas incompatíveis com uma parceria bilateral que sempre foi pautada pelo respeito mútuo. Fica óbvio também o interesse descabido de interferir na próxima eleição para presidente."