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Baseball dev. NCAC/CENT/MAC enjoyer. ydkb.

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@GolonkaJerek Lmfaoooo

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@OnePursuitTakes Wrong

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Soto ISO/BIP by year (‘23 on left, ‘24 on right):

2023: flat path which would mash anything up in the zone, difficulty elevating low pitch.

2024: steeper path, anything over the plate is crushed = GL pitchers.

[Drop 3rd Strike @Drop3rdK]

Matt Wallner:

April
—20% chase rate
—64.7% Z swing
—55% swing and miss
—33% HH rate
—11.1% barrel rate
—86.1 mph avg EV
—.250 wOBA

Aug
—32.1% chase
—65.1% Z swing
—26.7% S&M
—71.4% HH rate
—42.9% barrel rate (???)
—95+ mph avg EV
—.452 wOBA

What a fascinating player

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@WeAreAllShack Check his whiff numbers. Way down too.

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@NexGenNats Still 3rd in league in net SB. Maybe some adjustments but I wouldn’t change volume. Like you said, lineup construction isn’t built for long ball. SB too valuable to their run production

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@PessimisticNats @WeAreAllShack I feel like so much of it gets lost in translation between baseball speak vs analytics speak. Feels like most fans made up their minds about the FO anyways

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@shawnqws @ajflax Ofc Mets fans were outraged, but baty (and most professional hitters) know by now hitting GBs isn’t ideal, but he needs to *feel* his swing work down in order to keep a level bat path. I really think this is no different tbh

[Drop 3rd Strike @Drop3rdK]

@shawnqws @ajflax I’m pretty critical of davey when it’s warranted—but this is just baseball speak. Brett Baty had a similar thing go viral when he was explaining his process at the plate thinking about “hitting the ball into the ground”.

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@shawnqws @ajflax Yank Line drives with top spin*

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@shawnqws @ajflax Disagree here. Process vs result. I’d rather have a guy think “middle of the field” and pull line drives with backspin than yank ground balls/line drives pull side.

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@mezz08 @bjohnston857 @Teacherman1986 @SwingGraphs Dog what.

I’m not sure you understand what the chart is depicting.

[Drop 3rd Strike @Drop3rdK]

@mezz08 @bjohnston857 @Teacherman1986 @SwingGraphs Vertical bat angle, attack angle, an independent quality of contact. All pretty important

[Drop 3rd Strike @Drop3rdK]

@natsdegrom @ajflax @DrakeMaye2DC @RVANats @cole_shutup Roster building aside—Even at 94-95 my point still stands. Non competitive pitches don’t play at the big league level.

[Drop 3rd Strike @Drop3rdK]

@RVANats @DrakeMaye2DC @ajflax @cole_shutup I respect Andrew and he’s made plenty of valid criticisms—some I agree with and some I don’t.

But this is either a misunderstanding or an overreaction imo. The fact that they have Trackman for bullpens is encouraging.

Now can they affectively read and adapt to the data? Idk.

[Drop 3rd Strike @Drop3rdK]

@ajflax @DrakeMaye2DC @RVANats @cole_shutup They’re not saying “don’t throw hard”—they’re saying “execute”.

Once you get past college ball you’re kind of expect to throw hard. But you have to throw competitive pitches.

Maybe that’s just my perspective as a guy who’s played and done data analysis. There’s room for both.