@oraulsena Tem evidencia de alguma manipulacao pra falar isso?
Como alguem que vive disso eu te dou 95% de certeza que nenhuma eleicao grande teve suas odds manipuladas no polymarket.
Novos acontecimentos obivamente vao mudar a probabilidade dos eventos.
In celebration of an incredible Week 1, we're waiving all fees on NFL & college football for games this weekend (Sept 19-20) on Polymarket.com
Zero fees. All weekend. Every football market 👇
https://t.co/TSdZWAGWSD
People are burning hundreds of thousands of dollars on an outcome that has already been decided, and you're incentivizing it.
This market has already been clarified and is just going through the standard resolution process. UMA is voting on its resolution, and every voter is going to vote NO, in line with the clarification. It’s 100% going to resolve NO in about 30 hours.
I'm so sorry, man. I hope you're doing okay. I was on the other side of that trade, and I understand how fucked up this is.
Experienced users like me are the ones who benefit from this type of situation, but in the long run, it's going to kill the platform. Trust me, most of us have advocated for changes (some kind of rulebook or another mechanism to protect noobs from invisible rules and precedents), but it seems like the team simply doesn't care.
There is no such thing as free money on Polymarket. If you think something has already happened but the market still isn't trading close to 100c, there's a cuck somewhere.
If you had been following Brazilian news over the past few months, you’d be convinced Neymar had almost no chance of making the World Cup squad. Pretty much every major newspaper reported his chances were slim, and many top journalists said they would be surprised if he made the final list. Yet on Polymarket, his odds stayed around 40% the entire time.
This week, after it became increasingly clear that Neymar actually had a strong chance of being selected by Ancelotti, some journalists still weren't even considering his name.
That’s the beauty of prediction markets. The market never seemed nearly as convinced as the media did, and neither did I.
@GuiadasApostas Te dou toda a certeza do mundo que não tem ngm com informação privilegiada betando nesse mercado, é tudo especulação. Eu sou o top holder...