My European Investment Portfolio Update.
Portfolio value: about €15.5k
Performance shown by IBKR TWR:
YTD: +13.83%
All-time: +12.25%
Last 7 days: -0.13%
No model portfolio. Just my current account snapshot.
The strategy is still simple:
80% Base Portfolio
20% Stock Ideas
The Base is built for long-term market exposure and some protection when markets fall.
The Ideas part is where I add selected companies with higher risk and higher potential.
Full portfolio composition and a short description of every instrument are in the next post.
The full analysis is here:
https://t.co/RooBCzcVzb
I compare Uber, Netflix and Walmart, show my updated Fair Values, and explain why I bought one of them while leaving the other two on my watchlist.
I’m curious what you think — would you buy any of these 3 today?
Uber: around $80.
My practical Fair Value range: around $95–115.
And this time, the discount was large enough for me to actually buy the stock.
I also updated my models for Netflix and Walmart.
One trades close to my Fair Value.
The other is a much safer business — but its stock price is much harder for me to justify.
I’ll explain which is which in the YouTube video.
Link in the post below.
$UBER $NFLX $WMT
The full analysis is here:
https://t.co/ExFgEal3PG
I compare PayPal, Visa and Mastercard, show my updated Fair Values, and explain why the cheapest stock isn’t automatically the best investment.
The key question for me is whether PayPal is genuinely undervalued — or whether the market is correctly pricing in a weaker business.
Would you buy $PYPL at around $62?
PayPal: $62.
My practical Fair Value range: around $85–95.
That looks cheap.
But PayPal also has the weakest business of the 3 I analysed.
So the real question is whether this is an opportunity — or a value trap.
I also updated my models for Visa and Mastercard.
The strongest business isn’t necessarily the most attractive stock at today’s price.
I’ll explain which one looks best to me in the YouTube video.
Link in the post below.
$PYPL $V $MA
The full analysis is here:
https://t.co/0cRFov8VJj
I compare AMD, Coinbase and Robinhood, show my updated Fair Values, and reverse-engineer what growth today’s prices already require.
That changes the picture quite a lot.
And I’d like to hear your view. - would you buy any of these 3 today?
AMD: $475.
Data Center revenue growth: 107%.
But my Fair Value Today is around $274.
So the AI growth is real.
The question is how much of that future is already priced in.
I also updated my models for Robinhood and Coinbase.
One of these 3 is much harder for me to justify than the others.
And one is much closer to a price I could eventually pay.
I’ll explain which is which in the YouTube video.
Link in the post below.
$AMD $COIN $HOOD
The full analysis is here:
https://t.co/6sO7z3VGlJ
I compare Palantir, Apple and Oracle, show my Fair Values, what today’s prices already assume, and why only one of them made it into my portfolio.
Would you buy any of these 3 today?
Palantir: $172.
Revenue growth: 93%.
My Fair Value Today: around $105.
That’s the problem with great companies at expensive prices.
I also updated my models for Apple and Oracle.
One of these 3 was attractive enough for me to actually buy.
I’ll explain which one — and why — in the post below.
$PLTR $AAPL $ORCL
The full portfolio update is here:
https://t.co/O1Mg6dt21V
I show the exact buys, how I used the new €2,000 deposit, how the 80% Base / 20% Ideas structure looks now, and why Meta and Oracle finally made it into the portfolio.
And question for you - What individual stocks do you currently own in your portfolio?
Meta: around $592.
My 12-month Base Target: around $670.
Oracle: around $147.
My 12-month Base Target: around $200.
That’s roughly 13% upside for Meta and 36% for Oracle in my models.
I bought both for my public portfolio.
But the reasons are very different.
Meta already has a huge profitable business and AI is improving ads and engagement.
Oracle is a much more aggressive AI infrastructure bet, with bigger upside in my model — but also much more pressure from spending, debt and future free cash flow.
This month, my Ideas part went from 2 stocks to 4:
NVIDIA
SpaceX
Meta
Oracle
$META $ORCL $NVDA
Which would you rather own today: Meta or Oracle? And do you own NVIDIA or SpaceX?
My full analysis of Microsoft, Meta and Amazon is here.
I compare the earnings, AI spending, free cash flow and my updated Fair Values:
https://t.co/jHB5rG01Zl
Meta: $595.
My 12-month Base Target: around $670.
But Microsoft and Amazon showed a clearer return from their AI spending this quarter.
So which one actually looks like the best investment at today’s price?
I updated my Fair Value models for all 3.
$META $AMZN $MSFT
How to Check If a Company’s Sales and Profit Are Growing
Learn how to quickly check whether a company’s sales and profit are growing over time.
On Yahoo Finance, compare Total Revenue and Net Income for the last three full years to see the direction of the business.
#Investingforbeginners
Netflix doesn’t look healthy to me.
The retest failed, and price is still below key moving averages.
I’m watching the lower zone.
Short, wait, or buy the dip?
$NFLX
Why a Stock Can Fall After Good Earnings
A company can report better results than last year and still see its stock price fall.
Learn how to compare EPS Estimate with Reported EPS and check whether a company beat or missed analyst expectations.
#Investingforbeginners
How to Check Analyst Expectations Before Earnings
Learn how to check what analysts expect a company to report before earnings.
You’ll see where to find revenue and EPS estimates, then compare expected EPS with the company’s reported result.
#InvestingForBeginners
How to Find a Stock’s Next Earnings Date
Learn how to find a company’s next earnings report date and confirm it on the official Investor Relations page.
Knowing the date can help you avoid being surprised by a sharp stock price move after earnings.
#InvestingForBeginners
3 strong earnings reports, but I bought nothing.
Alphabet, Tesla and Intel all gave investors good headlines.
Search is still growing. $GOOGL
Tesla delivered record Q2 vehicles. $TSLA
Intel showed its fastest revenue growth in more than 15 years. $INTC
But good headlines don’t automatically mean a good entry price.
After updating my fair value models, one of these stocks came closest to my buy zone.
One still needs a lot of future success to justify today’s price.
And one already looks priced for a very strong turnaround.
I explain which is which in the video.
Watch here:
https://t.co/x4Xypnnf0l
Which one would you buy first: Alphabet, Tesla or Intel?
Stock price vs market cap explained for beginners.
A $20 stock can belong to a larger company than a $200 stock.
In this Short, you’ll learn the difference between share price and market capitalization and where to find Market Cap on Yahoo Finance.
Don’t compare company size by the price of one share. Compare their market caps.
#InvestingForBeginners
Attention to $AMZN Stock
Amazon remains in an uptrend and is now testing the 0.5 Fibonacci level around $252.
A daily close above this level could open the way toward $258, followed by $267.
The key support zone is around $245–247.
Do you hold Amazon shares? At what price would you consider adding more?