There is an abundance of oil.
There is an abundance of gas.
There is an abundance of coal.
There is an abundance of food.
There is an abundance of water.
There is an abundance of love.
Do not be fooled by manufactured fear as a means to introduce a New World Order.
Without Net zero taxes and subsidies the entire industry isn’t viable.
energy bosses explain that even if wholesale bills were halved or even zero, Our bills will be 20% higher in 5 years.
Brilliant strategy Ed, just brilliant 🤡
The goat is the most underrated ruminant on the planet and I will not hear otherwise.
The goat will eat what the cow ignores, what the sheep rejects, what the tractor cannot reach. Bramble, thistle, gorse, scrub willow, the regrowth after a fire, the hedgerow that's gone invasive: the goat considers all of it a reasonable lunch.
This isn't indiscriminate eating, but rather, landscape management so precise that conservation organisations now hire goats: specifically hire them, with contracts, with transport, with management plans, to clear invasive scrub from Sites of Special Scientific Interest that machinery would destroy.
The goat also has four stomachs. The goat is also running the fermentation technology. The goat is also converting inedible cellulose into milk fat of approximately 4.5%, higher than cow's milk, producing cheese that has been made in the same valleys of France and Spain for three thousand years.
And the goat does all of this on terrain where the cow finds it difficult and the sheep finds it challenging.
There are places in the Greek islands where the only possible food production is the goat. Where the soil is limestone and scrub and the slope is sixty degrees and every other agricultural system fails.
The goat does not fail. The goat has never failed. The goat has been feeding humans in marginal environments since before writing existed.
Keith is standing at the fence again.
Keith is doing conservation work.
Keith does not know this.
Keith knows there's something interesting on the other side of the fence and he intends to find out what it is.
Let's check in on Gerald the Planet Killer.
Gerald is a four-year-old Hereford cross in a field near Ledbury. He weighs about 600 kilograms. He has been busy this morning.
6:14am - Woke up. Began destroying the planet by eating grass.
7:02am - Continued environmental catastrophe by walking slowly toward the water trough.
8:45am - Committed a war crime against the atmosphere by exhaling.
9:30am - Did a pat. In a field. Where it will become part of a complex nutrient cycle that has been running successfully since before humans existed.
11:00am - Grazed a section of meadow, inadvertently aerating the soil with his hooves, spreading seeds in his dung, creating habitat for dung beetles, and sequestering carbon through the root systems his grazing stimulates.
Noon - Had a lie down.
The scientists monitoring Gerald's methane output have calculated that this methane, derived from grass pulled from British soil, is part of a carbon cycle that has been net neutral for ten thousand years of continuous cattle domestication.
They have not been asked to present this finding anywhere.
Gerald is unavailable for comment. He is destroying a particularly threatening patch of ryegrass on the south side of the field.
Someone stop him.
MET OFFICE EXPOSE: A British government agency, The Met Office came under scrutiny at the end of 2024 after private investigator Ray Saunders found they were fabricating 33% of their meteorological data. They were falsely reporting data from 103 non-existent weather stations. The weather stations simply did not exist, yet they reported abnormally high temperatures. Furthermore, this data was used to bolster the climate change narrative and promote the Net Zero agenda. The fabricated data, was also included in climate models which influenced financial commitments and has drawn more than it otherwise would have from climate funding, through structures like the United Nations. Once again this sparks concerns about the integrity of schemes like international ‘climate agreements’. Net Zero is a scam. The Met is lying to the British public.
https://t.co/Bs7tSRGFWm
A complacency bounce is when price recovers after a big drop, making you think the worst is over… before it rolls back down again.
The bounce feels real. Volume shows up. Fear turns to hope. People start calling bottoms.
But not all bounces are reversals.
Tools that can help confirm:
• Open Interest
• Spot vs Perp CVD
• Multi-timeframe structure
• Volume profile
Real reversals need conviction.
Complacency bounces just need shorts to exit. 👀
Questions You Should Ask Your AI:
1. What is an Egyptian pyramid doing on a US dollar bill?
2. Why did 56 countries sign a treaty not to take risks and enter Antarctica?
3. Why do planes never fly over Antarctica?
4. How did NASA "lose" the photos of the moon landing, one of the most important moments for humanity?
5. If Neil Armstrong was the first to walk on the moon, who held the camera?
6. Why haven't we gone back to the moon?
7. If monkeys evolved into humans, why are there still monkeys?
8. Why does 95% of our DNA exist as "junk"? Who decided it was actually "garbage"?
9. How were huge, symmetrical, detailed, sacred, and geometrically regular structures such as cathedrals and parliamentary buildings created by people who lived in log cabins, rode horse-drawn carriages, and had no machines or lasers?
10. How is it that similar pre-Columbian architecture is found all over the world?
11. Why are there images in ancient Egyptian art that resemble "spaceships"?
12. Why were remains and images of giant people found? And why do different ancient scriptures from various cultures, including the Bible, talk about giants?
13. Why are there images of mushrooms in ancient Christian art? And why does the Pope dress up like a giant Amanita muscaria mushroom?
14. Why do ancient Egyptian artworks show jaws, and is it a coincidence that the pineal gland resembles jaws?
15. Why are there descriptions of dragons all over the world and in different cultures, thousands of years apart, and also mentioned in the Bible?
16. Why is there so much blatant satanic symbolism in the music and entertainment industry?
17. Why do most video games revolve around killing?
18. How is it possible that movies and cartoons like The Simpsons can predict certain cultural events so accurately?
19. How do forest fires melt cars but leave trees intact?
20. What is the national debt? If there is a borrower, there must also be a lender: who is it?
21. How is it that the so-called "national debt" has increased despite tax increases? Where does the taxpayer's money go?
22. Why is alcohol and tobacco poisoning considered "normal" and referred to simply as "drinking" and "smoking"?
23. Why are alcohol
and tobacco shown in almost all shows and movies?
24. How do news presenters around the world and on various channels say and repeat the same script word for word?
25. If we are more progressive and informed than ever before, why do we have the highest rates of obesity, cancer, and heart disease, not to mention depression?
Feel free to contribute any additional questions you may have.
talked to a guy who's been trading 23 years and manages $40M
asked him what separates traders who survive from traders who blow up
his answer surprised me
it wasn't strategy. it wasn't discipline. it wasn't psychology.
"bet sizing. that's it. that's the whole game."
here's what he explained:
THE THESIS:
"I've seen hundreds of traders come through. good ones. smart ones. talented ones."
"90% of the ones who blew up didn't blow up from bad trades. they blew up from bad sizing on normal trades."
"a 1R loss at proper size is nothing. a 1R loss at 10x proper size is account death."
THE EXAMPLES:
he walked me through case studies:
TRADER A:
- excellent strategy, 58% WR
- consistently profitable for 2 years
- had a "high conviction" trade
- sized up 5x normal position
- trade lost
- drawdown was 23% instead of 5%
- psychology cracked
- revenge traded the next week
- blew the account in 8 days
"he didn't blow up from a bad trade. he blew up from a big trade."
TRADER B:
- mediocre strategy, 51% WR
- survived for 11 years
- never sized above 0.8% per trade
- took the same size on every trade
- no "high conviction" sizing
- compounded slowly but never blew up
"he's worth $4M now. started with $50k. just never killed himself with size."
THE RULE:
"every trader who blows up violates the same rule"
"they size based on CONVICTION instead of MATH"
"'this one feels right' so they go bigger"
"'I'm on a winning streak' so they go bigger"
"'I need to make it back' so they go bigger"
"conviction is how you justify stupid sizing"
THE DATA:
he showed me internal research:
traders who sized based on conviction:
- average survival time: 2.4 years
- account explosion rate: 74%
traders who sized mathematically (same size every trade):
- average survival time: 8.3 years
- account explosion rate: 12%
"it's not even close. variable sizing kills traders."
THE MATH:
he broke down why "high conviction" sizing is stupid:
"let's say you're 60% accurate on normal trades"
"let's say you're 70% accurate on 'high conviction' trades"
"sounds good right? go bigger on the 70% trades?"
"wrong. here's why:"
"at 60% accuracy with 1% risk, a 4-loss streak costs you 4%"
"at 70% accuracy with 5% risk, a 4-loss streak costs you 20%"
"and 4-loss streaks happen even at 70% accuracy"
"you FEEL more confident but the math doesn't justify the size increase"
THE SOLUTION:
"how do you size then?"
"same size every trade. no exceptions."
"what about when you're really confident?"
"same size. confidence isn't accuracy."
"what about when the setup is perfect?"
"same size. perfect setups lose 40% of the time."
"what about when you're on a winning streak?"
"same size. streaks end."
"every trade gets the same respect. the 'boring' ones and the 'perfect' ones."
THE IMPLEMENTATION:
his rules for position sizing:
1. calculate your base risk (0.5-2% depending on account size and edge)
2. that's your risk on EVERY trade
3. never size up. ever.
4. if you want more money, scale accounts/capital. don't scale risk.
"I've been trading 23 years. I've never taken a trade above 2% risk. not once."
"my biggest winners and my 'meh' trades got the same size"
"I'm not trying to hit home runs. I'm trying to not strike out."
THE TRUTH:
retail traders think they need big trades to make big money
professionals know big trades make big losses
the traders managing real money all size conservatively
they make money through VOLUME of good trades not SIZE of individual trades
if you're varying your position size based on "conviction":
you're already on the path to blowing up
it's just a matter of when
same size
every trade
no exceptions
that's how you survive
Whoever is left
We need to know what happened on October 10
It's VERY apparent that the market broke that day and nothing has been the same since
We haven't seen Bitcoin or Alts trade like this since 2018
We need answers
Buffett's worried about US fiscal policy and soaring debt. A wild card president pushing for rate cuts? Get ready for a potential Japanese yen carry trade unwind. Discount incoming? #WarrenBuffett#FiscalPolicy