Open and Regulate @Polymarket in Colombia 🇨🇴
An open message to president-elect @ABDELAESPRIELLA and to @jrestrp, who will likely be central to economic policy in the new government.
The current administration blocked Polymarket access in Colombia by treating prediction markets as gambling. This was a regulatory mistake. Prediction markets aren’t betting venues. They’re information aggregation infrastructure, used by hedge funds, journalists, risk analysts, and academics worldwide.
The accuracy of these markets in forecasting the Colombian runoff election is itself evidence of their utility.
There’s a second argument that matters even more, and it’s technical. Blocking Colombian access doesn’t protect Colombian markets. It distorts them.
Reduced participation from informed local traders means less liquidity in Colombia-specific contracts, which in turn makes those markets easier to manipulate. I documented this directly in my Glass-Nail investigation earlier this year, where a single wallet pushed Cepeda’s contract near 50 percent probability against weight of evidence, precisely because the liquidity wasn’t deep enough to absorb that capital.
Open access to informed Colombian participants is the correction to that vulnerability, not the cause of it.
Allowing regulated Colombian access to prediction markets is a small, technically simple, and high-signal reform. It modernizes financial infrastructure, improves the informational quality of markets that affect Colombia, and signals openness to global market mechanisms.
Worth considering early in the transition.
En estos momentos cientos de aviones de las fuerzas aérea de los estados unidos se movilizan a Venezuela 🚨 el movimiento es brutal una ayuda como nunca antes
Apocalyptic images of Venezuela...eerily reminiscent of Mexico City '85, though I fear the death toll will be substantially worse. Pray for these folks, and then prepare yourselves. It's only a matter of time for LA. Do you have a plan for this?
What happened in New York last night is a warning for the rest of America. We must reject the false promises of socialism.
@marcorubio said it best in 2020:
How fucking stupid are you people? You want to live in the land of the free and then you vote for socialists and communist to run your cities.
Dumbest people on Earth!
Groceries are way cheaper here! As a Californian coming to Texas I feel like the World Cup fans coming to America!
Californians: It's not "Trump" that gave us the highest cost of living, it's Democrat policies.
I will cut your costs, starting with your first $150k tax free.
‼️Yo de Abelardo y Ana Lucía sería incapaz de dormir en el cuarto que durmió Petro.
Qué asco y qué mala energía…drogas, lujuria, borracheras, vomito, diarrea, brujería, odio, depresión, ansiedad.
Yo creo que ni con un exorcista se limpia ese ambiente.
Nooo! Imposible!🤢🤮
Solo vengo a recordarles que @JenniferPedraz hizo campaña a Cepeda y ahora oposición a Abelardo, ni siquiera habla de independencia sino oposición. Se hizo elegir usando la imagen de Juliana Guerrero y ahora abraza lo que criticó.
Lo que ha hecho La Fiebre Amarilla con los hinchas colombianos es de admirar. Pasamos del “sí se puede” a un estadio que alienta literalmente los 90 minutos ya con varias canciones pegadas 🙌👏🇨🇴
We are in Texas. Just filled up for $3.59. In L.A. on Monday it was $8.59.
Californians: It's not the Iran war. It's not "Trump." It's Democrat policies that have given us the highest gas prices in America.
You can have $3.00 gas but you have to VOTE for it in November.
Para todas aquellas personas que me tratan mal que solo tienen groserías que se burlan de mi físico por pensar diferente a ellos.
Mientras me tratas mal me insultas y te burlas de mi físico yo deseo bendiciones para ustedes y sus familias.
Robarse los recursos de las regalías es sumamentemente grave.
Pero robarse los dineros destinados a la educación de jóvenes de regiones hist��ricamente olvidadas es además cruel, desalmado.
Y demuestra la falsedad del supuesto compromiso de la izquierda con los más necesitados.
Ha habido gobiernos corruptos antes, pero ninguno tan asqueante como este
https://t.co/iwdFfr313M