Emman

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@EconBerger What do you think of surge in professional and business openings? This is the some of the best data I’ve seen in a couple years…

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@NickTimiraos Goooooallssss

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@EconBerger Do you think it’s wonky seasonal
Adjustments? Notice NY claims down a lot

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@EconBerger Any ideas what’s happening in CA?

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@biancoresearch Goolsbee is the doviest dove, doesn’t make sense

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@amacker Can you link this ?

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@SteveMatthews12 Can she still serve as governor if case is in court? Crazy to think if miran isn’t confirmed in time, FOMC could be down 2 voters

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@NickTimiraos What does this mean now? She will probably challenge this in court and in the meantime still pursue her usual governor duties? Pretty sure she was a dove ..

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@EconBerger Pretty sure it’s a project 2025 recommendation to mass combine BEA, Census bureau, BLS etc and install political appointees as heads of these agencies….

[William Beach @BeachWW453]

The totally groundless firing of Dr. Erika McEntarfer, my successor as Commissioner of Labor Statistics at BLS, sets a dangerous precedent and undermines the statistical mission of the Bureau. For a full statement opposing this move, read: https://t.co/cbQSs51iIW

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@fcastofthemonth I don’t know much about the data collection - but for most of the imputations I believe they are substituting data to estimate price of a product from a “similar source” - maybe that means they are sourcing price data from different regions instead for CPI ex housings ?

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@EconBerger Hope you caught the cannon blast! I’m a native Edinburgh-ian

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@JedKolko This is a great chart - can you give a rough indication on how you calculated this?

[Zohran Kwame Mamdani @ZohranKMamdani]

In the words of Nelson Mandela: it always seems impossible until it’s done.

My friends, it is done. And you are the ones who did it.

I am honored to be your Democratic nominee for the Mayor of New York City.

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@NickTimiraos It’ll be tough - they’ll all make their forecasts more stagflation like so find it hard not to see a couple of them not reduce their rate cut expectations this year. doesn’t really matter given high policy uncertainty and Powell will discount reading into dot plot too much

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@EconBerger Something happening in California…?

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@NickTimiraos GS is definitely not right… they are forecasting first cut in December!

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@NickTimiraos @MayankSeksaria Great analysis @NickTimiraos - always preferred NY Fed given larger sample size - always had the feeling committee preferred this too (at least in combination with market based measures)

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@NickTimiraos Reverse TACO Friday

[Emman @EmmanRaja]

@SpencerHakimian Well I think the hope is that there is some memoranda of understanding that a trade deal can be built up on