The EPL Neutral

Neutral observer

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@PDXFato Clubs are private entities. National teams are owned and run by their countries.

Important distinction

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@2pacnrw16 @haralabob @tiagoferreir147 He’s absolutely lost his mind and fallen into the right wing sphere of “migrant rape” conspiracy.
Lost cause

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@oroborous @haralabob

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@LogKa11 @haralabob

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@JoeyTweeets @haralabob You two clowns patting each other on the back for bravely speaking out is so hilarious.
Pushing the raping migrant conspiracy while your elites rob you.
Oldest trick in the book, convince people that other people are the enemy and not those who maintain a corrupt system. Zzz

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@JoeyTweeets @haralabob “The west” destabilized the world via colonization, slavery and modern corporate abuse. Still happens to this day, from lithium to cocoa, slave labour supplies the need
Sorry but I think the west needs to pay reparations and empower these nations in order to stop mass migration.

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@StatsEdgeAI This is a great angle! Will be tailing cautiously 🤣

[StatsEdge @StatsEdgeAI]

One Night in Azteca: Why We're Backing Mexico to Break Through

Mexico vs England. Round of 16. Win or go home.

Some matches you predict with numbers. Some you predict with a feel for what the night will be. Tonight, at Azteca, we're doing both.

Everyone's talking about England. Nobody's talking about Mexico. That's about to become a problem for the Three Lions.

Our model has England at 63% to advance, Mexico at 37%. It's built on xG differentials, and by that measure England has been more dominant. But there's a bigger story the model doesn't fully capture: Mexico has been the most in-form team of the entire tournament, and the only side still standing without a mark on their scoreboard.

The Mexican foundation:
• 4 matches played, 4 wins, ZERO losses
• 8 goals scored, ZERO conceded
• 4 clean sheets in 4 matches. Alongside Spain, one of only two teams left in the tournament who haven't conceded a single goal at this World Cup

You don't build a record like that by riding luck. You build it by playing the disciplined, patient football that closes off exactly the kind of narrow chances England has needed to break games open.

England's tell was Ghana in MD2. Their most confident group-stage lean. They walked off with a 0-0 despite generating 1.36 recorded xG. When the game tightens, England has been beatable. This game will tighten.

Both sides find one

The model has BTTS at only 36% and total goals at 1.88. We're taking the other side of the BTTS number and accepting the total.

Mexico's attack has produced in every match this tournament: 2, 1, 3, 2 goals. Their record is 100% "scored at least once." At home in Mexico City, they find one.

England's defense has a specific weakness: both their clean sheets came against opponents generating under 0.60 xG (Ghana 0.17, Panama 0.59). Every team that has generated 0.70+ xG against them has scored. Mexico averages 1.23 xG per game. Above the threshold. England concedes.

Now flip it. Mexico's back four hasn't cracked yet, but Harry Kane is our model's top scorer projection tonight at 41.9%. In a game this tight, on a night this heavy, England's talisman finds his one.

One each. That's the shape of the night. 1-1 through 90. Extra time solves nothing. To the shootout.

The lottery

The model treats a penalty shootout as roughly a coin flip. That's Mexico's 50/50 shot before we've even added the crowd behind them. The venue's flat treatment in the projection is Mexico's leverage. Azteca isn't a neutral surface. This is the branch where a home fortress matters most.

The pick

1-1 through 120. Mexico squeezes through on penalties.

The model says England edge. The tournament tape says Mexico's in the best form of any surviving side, tied with Spain for the best defensive record left standing. Azteca says the loudest team wins tonight.

Our call: Mexico to advance on penalties.

Free 7-day trial → https://t.co/gsQrJ0bX3r

#WorldCup2026 #MEXENG #StatsEdge

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

Thoughts on this transfer fellas? #fpl #deadline #fantasypremierleague
Fernandes for Saka and Nouri for Ruben
Adingra for Xhaka is a wash maybe

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@haralabob @SheenEstevez30 @BillAckman Such a loser fear mongering mentality.
“Yeah all his ideas are great, but what about enforcing crime!??”
So we should vote for a guy with worse ideas?

Who’s the one with tears here ? You on Twitter blabbing about migrants and crime, or the people who’s choice won?

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@manofmitten @atrupar

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@PensareBBall @grok can you transcribe what was said ?

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@PurpGolded @grok can you fact check this video?

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@haralabob @MitchNicer You support the party that coined the phrase “go woke go broke” and are proud of their pettiness.
Maybe sit this one out

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@haralabob @MattWalshBlog Fuck you Bob

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@solcasino @FabrizioRomano He’s being asked questions…

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@haralabob @TheDirtyCig Cringe. These are grown men supposedly.

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@haralabob @audavidb He’s talking about who benefits.

The poor and uneducated whites voted overwhelmingly for Trump but don’t realize it screws them over.

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@haralabob Haralabob! Long time fan and listener for years.

How is Trump NOT a fascist? Didn’t he try to stay in power after losing election?
Didn’t he want to shoot protesters?
Doesn’t he fawn over dictators like Putin and Kim?

How can someone so smart be so obtuse about Trump. It’s odd

[The EPL Neutral @EPL_Neutral]

@ImNoBetterThanU @TRIGGERHAPPYV1 Unfortunately it seems she only got up once she saw someone else go.
First instinct was to film her own reaction to the fall.
Poor guy just wanted to have lunch on. The bench.