Ishmel Mobarak

Proprietor, Entrepreneur, Trader & Investor. Tweets are Informational -Not of Any Advice-

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

Yen near 40-year lows vs USD.
BOJ at 1% (highest in 30 yrs).
$70B+ intervention already faded.
Carry-trade unwind risk still live, money borrowed in cheap yen funded U.S. tech.
Most exposed: $QQQ $NVDA $MSFT $META $AMZN $GOOGL $TSLA $SMH
Japan side: $EWJ $DXJ | Dollar: $UUP

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

China closed retail paper gold trading on SGE (July 24). Physical still open.
June imports 173t (2-yr high). PBOC +15t in June (largest in 2+ yrs, 20th month).
Physical demand signal. Beneficiaries: $GDX $NEM $GOLD $WPM

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

$AVAV 🚁 AeroVironment popped +4.4% to $148.84 (7/21) after landing a $117.3M U.S. Army production contract for 82 P550 eVTOL recon drones.

Backs up a record Q4 (revenue +140% YoY) & a recent $500M Army deal. Analyst avg target $232.

⚠️ Note: securities class-action overhang, 7/27 lead-plaintiff deadline. Not financial advice.
#AVAV #AeroVironment #DefenseStocks #Drones #eVTOL #StockMarket #DefenseTech

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

����Silver $SLV still 50% off the parabolic January high. Classic lower-low stop hunt completed, now reclaiming support after retesting key Fibs + horizontal levels. Long correction looks finished smart money accumulation in progress. Death cross? Not concerning on catalysts. Bullish structure here. Chart looks ready for upside from current levels. Risk-managed entries only. Not financial advice DYOR.#Silver #SLV #PreciousMetals

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

Gold $GLD showing relative strength no lower low, holding falling wedge cleanly. Institutions defending rather than allowing obvious dips. Constructive setup. Geopolitics + central bank buying supportive. Easy ways to participate:• $GLD (physical gold) • $GDX / $GDXJ (miners) • $NEM / $GOLD (producers) Chart looks ready for upside from current levels. Risk-managed entries only. Not financial advice DYOR.

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

$AVAV https://t.co/4pcLm7gLwK

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

$AVAV news: AeroVironment just landed a $117.3M U.S. Army contract for 82 P550 eVTOL drones — first full-rate production order for Battalion Reconnaissance.
Big win for ISR/strike/relay capabilities in contested environments. Stock hovering near lows, but backlog momentum building

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

Raymond James upgraded to Outperform ($210 PT) on order strength. Next earnings Sept 8. Fits the defense/autonomy theme nicely. Thoughts on $AVAV here? #Defense #Drones #AVAV

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

ARK also trimmed $4.1M $HOOD on the same day. Classic dip-buying from Cathie on $SPCX volatility.
Follow for more thematic stock updates. What’s your take on SpaceX here? #ARKInvest #SPCX #HOOD

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

Cathie Wood’s ARK bought more $SPCX
On Monday (7/20), ARK snapped up 170,634 SpaceX shares ($20.5M) across ARKK, ARKQ, ARKW & ARKX.
SPCX closed $119.85 (down 3.3%, well off its $225 peak). Now 6th-largest in ARKK. Total ARK investment in SpaceX >$475M since IPO

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

https://t.co/xzmBR4Y3L7

[The Long Investor @TheLongInvest]

Masses will chase $NBIS once it captures $200 again instead of taking advantage of the sale price last week

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

$NBIS -29% off the 6/22 ATH. Meta Compute = biggest customer ($27B deal) turning competitor. -17% on 85% above-avg vol, for tdoay its needs to hold up the 50D ($216). $228 flips to resistance. Air below: 200D at $142. 125x sales, 24% short int, insiders selling. Growth can't outrun a repricing.

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

$NBIS update since Jul 2 post (down 29% from $300 ATH on Meta competitor news, broken 50DMA $216, high vol, valuation concerns): Hit lows around $174 area (intraday lows near $164). Volatile rebound attempts Jul 8-10 toward $220. Jul 17 $775M non-dilutive debt for AI expansion drove positive reaction. Jul 20 after-hours/premarket held $185+ area amid news. Strong backlog/deals, but elevated valuation + 24% short interest remain overhang risks (could also spark pop on covering) #NBIS #Nebius #AICloud

[Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm]

👇🏼

@FIFAWorldCup @fifacom_ar #worldcup

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

https://t.co/Lqu64wV2zv

[Mindset for Money @Mindset4Money_X]

Cathie Wood explaining to her shareholders that $SPCX at 10x 2040 revenue is an opportunity of a lifetime:

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

$SPCX (SpaceX) Lock-Up Cycle Analysis + 2027 Projection Thread (Jul 21, 2026) #SPCX #SpaceX #LockUp #UnlockSchedule #IPOAnalysis #Investing #Aerospace #Starlink #ElonMusk #StockProjection #Finance

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

$SPCX Highly speculative. Always DYOR, review full SEC filings (S-1), assess personal risk tolerance. Markets deviate from any model. Past patterns are not guarantees. #SPCX #SpaceX #LockUp #UnlockSchedule #IPOAnalysis #StockMarket #Investing #Aerospace #Starlink #ElonMusk

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

Risks: Weak earnings/guidance, launch delays, competing large IPOs draining liquidity.
Upside: Major contracts, Starship milestones, sentiment shift, index buying.
See attached chart for clear visual timeline: past pop/correction → staggered unlock waves → projected stabilization into 2027. Phases highlighted + cycle arrow showing the ongoing dynamic.
Staggered structure spreads supply but extends the overhang period. Expect volatility through year-end.
NOT financial advice. Highly speculative. Always DYOR, review full SEC filings (S-1), assess personal risk tolerance. Markets deviate from any model. Past patterns are not guarantees.

[Ishmel Mobarak @EsmailMobarak]

Illustrative Base Case Projection (not advice — data-driven from history + schedule):
• Aug–Oct 2026 (tranche waves): Further downside risk. Potential test of $94–110 support zone as supply hits.
• Post Dec 8 2026: Overhang eases → stabilization and recovery path toward $115–155+ if operations deliver (Starlink growth, Starship progress).
• Into 2027 (around Musk unlock window): $140–180+ plausible in constructive scenario with strong execution. Bear case sees lower sustained levels on misses or macro pressure.
High starting valuation supports multiple compression risk. Nasdaq-100 flows and positive catalysts provide offsets.