Evan Miyakawa

College basketball analytics at trusted by 100+ D1 teams. PhD Statistician. Host of The EvanMiya College Basketball Show. Hebrews 11:6.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

The NIL market for college basketball is now up 65% from last offseason. And there's a certain player type that's being overpaid.

Read my full analysis of this year's NIL market trends 👇
https://t.co/tQmGyvFvyN

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

@JGtheThree Immensely helpful as always!

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

@elsathora Los Agaves, best Mexican food in town!

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

@Timefor9bb I'm much lower on Tennessee's haul than most. Not as moved by all the volume scoring they have coming in. I don't have any of their transfers inside the top 25 in the portal.

Biggest outlier compared to consensus for sure.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

Final transfer class rankings for the 2026 offseason from https://t.co/cegyfz8ykZ 👇

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

@HoldThatMate @sosadeep3 @TristanUda Me, of all people!

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

Kentucky Roster Outlook

Milan Momcilovic completes Mark Pope's roster, an absolutely massive add. Kentucky should now be around a top-10 roster in the preseason according to https://t.co/NEBQZul4un.

Don't sleep on Malachi Moreno, he's could have a massive sophomore year for UK.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

Very cool to see Mark Pope and Kentucky using position and offensive creation role values at https://t.co/cegyfz8ykZ to measure their offensive creation.

A role of 1 is a "creator", and a role of 5 is a "receiver" in the offense. UK didn't have a player under 2.0 last year.

[Darrell Bird @DarrellBird]

Remember that high-flying offense @CoachMarkPope had at BYU? Fans may finally see it with @KentuckyMBB this year. My one-on-one with Pope from SEC Spring Meeting continues...

https://t.co/hIju0WoLEA

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

Great piece by Matthew.

As I mentioned earlier this offseason, smaller, skilled players are more of a bargain now. 10 of the top 25 players in BPR this year were point guards 6'4" or smaller. And yet many teams are paying up for taller players purely because of listed height.

[Matthew Winick @matthewwinick]

New for @basket_review:

The on-court product will always be most important, but in a new era of roster building, money has a foothold in every decision. An under discussed topic outside of inner circles, here's how money shapes rosters in college hoops.

https://t.co/bCbEb1Lads

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

@DallasLBrowning Yep, big changes coming to my projection system for those players later this offseason.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

St. John's Roster Outlook

Tounde Yessoufou is a MASSIVE transfer for Rick Pitino, pushing the Johnnies into the top-20 roster range at https://t.co/NEBQZul4un. He's the 2nd best-rated transfer nationally.

Expected impact from the int'l players is fairly conservative here.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

@mikemillerF68 @slancehoops Gonna miss you Mike!

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

One of my favorite interviews I’ve done. I shared a lot about the mission behind my work in college basketball and what drives me forward to do excellent work — my faith in Christ.

Catch the full interview here: https://t.co/92BPVkfNeg

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

@cobrastats @mikegrib8 Regular Box Plus-Minus also is anchored for players who don't play that many possessions, so they can have more extreme values if they don't play very much.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

The top 6 programs in year-over-year development have all had their current head coaches for around a decade or more:

Kelvin Sampson - 12 years
Dan Hurley - 8 yrs
Matt Painter - 21 yrs
Mark Few - 27 yrs
James Jones - 27 yrs
Rick Barnes - 11 yrs

[cobra. @cobrastats]

Over the last 10 seasons, players from Houston, UConn, Purdue, and Gonzaga have made the biggest year-over-year jumps in Bayesian Performance Rating (BPR) via @EvanMiya

[cobra. @cobrastats]

Over the last 10 seasons, players from Houston, UConn, Purdue, and Gonzaga have made the biggest year-over-year jumps in Bayesian Performance Rating (BPR) via @EvanMiya

[Brian Rauf @brauf33]

College basketball rosters keep getting more expensive. Donors keep giving, knowing they won’t see a direct financial return.

Why?

I talked to donors and coaches about NIL motivation, ROI, & what programs are really selling.

New for @basket_review: https://t.co/1ATWcUHuTs

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

@Zbales23 @DoresonDeck About 45th.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

Vanderbilt Roster Outlook

Assuming Tyler Tanner comes back, Vanderbilt will be looking like a top-25 squad again next year according to https://t.co/NEBQZul4un.

Vandy is 15th in Overall Transfer Activity, almost exactly where they were last season.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

Cincinnati Roster Outlook

As is typical for a 1st-year head coach, Jerrod Calhoun will bring a brand new team to Cincinnati as they look to get closer to an NCAAT berth.

The Bearcats will likely be a top-45 roster or better according to https://t.co/NEBQZukwEP.

[Evan Miyakawa @EvanMiya]

Missouri Roster Outlook

Dennis Gates has a lot of good new talent on the roster, headlined by Jason Crowe Jr. All four of Missouri's incoming transfers are all solid additions.

Mizzou will likely have around a top-30 roster according to https://t.co/NEBQZul4un.