+EV Sharps

+EV betting with a focus on Circa Sports devigging. Homers @EV_Dingers, TDs, NHL Goals analysis.

[+EV Sharps @EVSharps]

These week 1 boosts are never traps! they are usually incredible value!

Odds: +150; EV: 41.2%
-129.880651151125 Fair Value

Books want to keep you on their site, giving you a limited promo with great value is a perfect way to do that

devigged w/ @CrazyNinjaMike1 Combo breaker

[+EV Sharps @EVSharps]

+EV NFL Futures devigged to Circa

[+EV Sharps @EVSharps]

+EV NFL Futures

early version so proceed with caution. Wouldn't touch anything with only 2 books devigged

[+EV Sharps @EVSharps]

HR per Game trends over the last 10 years

A view up until July 31st

Linear Regression #'s
2016: 2.43
2017: 2.64 ⬆️
2018: 2.38
2019: 2.94 ⬆️
2020: N/A
2021: 2.63 ⬆️
2022: 2.36
2023: 2.45
2024: 2.56 ⬆️
2025: 2.48

Doing worse than last year actually

[+EV Sharps @EVSharps]

Sportsbook projections vs. Expert Consensus Ranks

https://t.co/LKMMTs1mxB

#NFL #FantasyFootball