Cfff

[Jean Riachi @riachi_jean]

I&C Bank Morning Market Briefing

[افيخاي ادرعي @AvichayAdraee]

#عاجل ‼️ انذار عاجل لسكان مدينة صور وتحديدًا في شبريحا (العباسية)

⭕️نشاطات حزب الله الإرهابي تجبر جيش الدفاع على العمل ضده وبقوة. جيش الدفاع لا ينوي المساس بكم.

⭕️حرصًا على سلامتكم عليكم اخلاء منازلكم فورًا.

⭕لضمان سلامتكم أخلوا منازلكم فوراً وانتقلوا إلى شمال نهر الزهراني

[Tarek Bourji @TarekBourji]

Trump says the US leaves Iran in 2-3 weeks. Markets heard "buy everything."

S&P 500 +2.9%. Nasdaq +3.8%. Asia +4%. VIX crushed 17.5%. Best day since May.

But here's the disconnect: Oil is still above $103. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed. Gold is still climbing near $4,690.

Stocks are pricing in peace. Commodities are pricing in reality.

The relief rally is real — markets were deeply oversold after a brutal March. But relief isn't resolution. Iran wants guarantees. The UAE wants to reopen the strait by force. A third US carrier group is heading to the Gulf.

Meanwhile OpenAI just raised $122B at an $852B valuation. Global M&A hit a record $1.3T in Q1. Nike warned on revenues. And the ECB is only 50/50 on hiking in April.

Tonight Trump addresses the nation on Iran. Markets need specifics, not vibes.

The oil price will tell you what's actually happening long before the headlines do.
https://t.co/4ZWhrfdRhP

[Tarek Bourji @TarekBourji]

AILY MARKET BRIEF
Friday, March 20, 2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
OIL RETREATS, NERVES PERSIST -- WTI Falls Below $95 as Israel Signals Restraint on Energy Targets | ECB Eyes April Hike | Gold Heads for Worst Week in 6 Years
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🌍 KEY HEADLINES
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🇮🇱 Israel's Netanyahu says will no longer target energy infrastructure; Iran unable to enrich uranium or manufacture missiles
🇺🇸 Treasury Sec. Bessent says US looking to remove some Iran oil sanctions; White House confirms no ban on oil/gas exports
🇺🇸 US authorizes delivery and sale of some Russian crude to ease supply crunch
🇶🇦 QatarEnergy: Ras Laffan strikes to cost ~$20B/year in lost revenue, up to 5 years to repair
🇪🇺 ECB holds deposit rate at 2% but officials reportedly ready to hike as soon as April
🇬🇧 BOE unanimously holds rates, warns it "stands ready to act" -- UK 2Y yields jump 31bps
🇦🇺 Australian 10Y yields climb to nearly 15-year highs amid global rates repricing
🇺🇸 $5.7 trillion triple-witching options expiry today -- expect elevated volatility
🇺🇸 Uber to invest up to $1.25B in Rivian for robotaxi fleet across US, Canada, Europe
🇺🇸 FedEx surges post-market on raised full-year profit forecast
🇨🇳 Alibaba shares drop 6%+ after revenue miss; targets $100B annual cloud/AI revenue in 5 years
🇺🇸 Jeff Bezos in talks to raise $100B fund to acquire/revamp manufacturers using AI
🇬🇧 Unilever in talks to sell food business to McCormick
🇺🇸 Goldman & JPMorgan offering hedge funds ways to short private credit
🇨🇱 Chile's pledge to ease environmental rules threatens green debt borrowing costs
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💡 THE BOTTOM LINE
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Oil's retreat from recent highs offers a fragile reprieve as Israel pulls back from energy targets and the US moves to ease sanctions. But the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the supply chain is broken, and central banks are pivoting from easing to tightening -- a complete regime reversal. Triple-witching adds another layer of risk today. A fragile respite is not the same as resolution.
⚡ Watch: Strait of Hormuz reopening timeline, bond yields, oil price trajectory into the weekend.
📲 Join our WhatsApp Channel for daily updates:
https://t.co/pona09TRvN
#Markets #Oil #Iran #ECB #BOE

[Tarek Bourji @TarekBourji]

🚨 DAILY MARKET BRIEF | 19 March 2026

Gulf energy war escalates. Brent past $110. Fed holds. Asia sells off.

🧵 Here's what you need to know this morning ⬇️

1/ ENERGY WAR ERUPTS
Iran strikes Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG — world's largest. Abu Dhabi halts Habshan gas. Hormuz blockade strands 40,000 sailors. Trump threatens US force on South Pars. Kharg Island next?

Brent: $111+ | WTI: $97.26 (+69% YTD)

2/ FED HOLDS, ONE CUT LEFT
Rate unchanged at 3.50-3.75%. Powell: energy clouds inflation outlook. 2026 forecast raised to 2.7%. Traders price <15bps of cuts. Gov. Miran dissents.

US 2Y: 3.77% (+10bps)

3/ ASIA BUCKLES
MSCI Asia Pacific -2%. Nikkei -2.5%. VIX +12% to 25. Morgan Stanley: sell the rally — Asia most vulnerable to oil/LNG disruption.

S&P 500: -1.4% (worst Fed day since 2024)

4/ WHAT TO WATCH
• ECB, BOE, SNB decisions today
• Kharg Island escalation risk
• Yen intervention at 160
• Private credit stress building

Defensive positioning. Energy exposure. Quality hedges.

📲 Full report on our WhatsApp channel
https://t.co/HYDeBeIR7z

#Markets #Oil #Fed #Geopolitics #MiddleEast

[Tarek Bourji @TarekBourji]

What if 2026 is rhyming with 2022?

Oil spiking 65%. Bitcoin selling off. Equities wobbling. Gold quietly leading everything.

We've seen this before.

In early 2022, crude surged on a geopolitical shock while equities held — until they didn't. SPY went on to draw down 25% over the next six months. Bitcoin lost two-thirds of its value. Gold? Finished the year flat — the best relative performer by far.

Overlay the two regimes on a normalized chart and the pattern is uncomfortable.

The real equity drawdown in 2022 didn't start until month 3. We're at month 2.5 now.

One key difference: gold's structural bid is stronger this time — central bank accumulation, de-dollarization flows, a broader geopolitical premium. It's already +15% YTD vs flat at this point in 2022.

History doesn't repeat. But the correlation structure is hard to ignore.
The chart below plots SPY (white), WTI crude CL1 (blue), Bitcoin XBTUSD (orange), and gold XAU (purple), each normalized to 100 at period start. Solid lines track the 2022 Russia–Ukraine shock (Jan–Nov); dashed lines track the 2026 Gulf escalation YTD. The vertical divider marks where 2026 data ends—the shaded area to its right shows the 2022 forward path as the analog template.
#CapitalMarkets #Gold #Geopolitics #MacroStrategy #RiskManagementThe

[Tarek Bourji @TarekBourji]

FFA PRIVATE BANK (DUBAI) LTD
Daily Market Brief - Tuesday, March 17, 2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

OIL REBOUNDS, HORMUZ TENSIONS PERSIST | FED WEEK BEGINS

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

🛢 OIL & ENERGY
- WTI crude +2.7% to $96.04, Brent ~$103
- Iran drone strike suspends UAE Shah gas field operations
- 12 Iranian-linked ships transit Hormuz in 24hrs (wartime high)
- 27 tankers queuing at Saudi Red Sea ports to bypass strait
- Japan petrochemical firms cutting production on naphtha fears

🇺🇸 US MARKETS
- S&P 500 futures -0.2% | Nasdaq 100 futures -0.3%
- Dow futures -0.3% | VIX at 23.51
- Monday: S&P +1%, Nasdaq +1.1% on oil pullback (now reversing)

🌏 ASIA & GLOBAL
- MSCI Asia Pacific +1.2%, South Korea +2.5% on AI/Nvidia rally
- Nikkei +0.3% | Hang Seng +1.0% | Euro Stoxx 50 futures -0.1%
- Yen weakening toward 160/$ on energy import vulnerability

🏦 CENTRAL BANKS
- 🇦🇺 RBA hiked +25bps to 4.10% (2nd consecutive)
- 🇺🇸 Fed decision Wednesday — hold expected, focus on guidance
- 🇯🇵 BOJ and 🇬🇧 BOE also meeting this week
- BIS warns prolonged war could dislodge inflation expectations

🤖 AI & TECH
- Nvidia forecasts $1T+ AI chip revenue through 2027
- Meta to pay up to $27B for Nebius AI infrastructure
- OpenAI in talks for ~$10B JV with TPG, Brookfield, Bain
- Intel Xeon 6 chip to power Nvidia DGX Rubin systems

🏛 GEOPOLITICS
- Trump asks China to delay Xi summit by ~1 month
- Trump reiterates Kharg Island oil strikes remain on the table
- NATO exploring missile defense boost at Turkey air base
- IDF expands into 12+ locations in Lebanon

💼 CORPORATE
- EA LBO: JPMorgan-led $15B debt fully subscribed
- Germany blocks UniCredit's €35B Commerzbank bid
- Kone in talks to buy TK Elevator for up to €25B
- SEC preparing to eliminate quarterly earnings requirement

📊 KEY LEVELS
- Gold $5,027.89 (+0.4%) | Silver $81.50 (+0.9%)
- EUR/USD 1.1491 | GBP/USD 1.3302
- US 10Y yield 4.2355%
- Bitcoin $74,456 (+0.3%) | Ethereum $2,319 (-1.1%)

👀 Watch: Fed decision Wed, Nvidia GTC conf (thru Thurs), ZEW survey today, US pending home sales

[افيخاي ادرعي @AvichayAdraee]

#عاجل جيش الدفاع يواصل مهاجمة بنى تحتية إرهابية في قلب بيروت مستخدمًا نحو 200 ذخيرة من الجو والبحر

🔸يواصل جيش الدفاع شن موجات واسعة من الغارات من الجو والبحر في منطقة بيروت مستهدفًا حزب الله الإرهابي.

🔸ومن بين الأهداف التي تم استهدافها: بنى تحتية إرهابية، مخازن أسلحة، مقرات قيادية مركزية، ومقر سلاح الجو التابع للحرس الثوري في بيروت.

🔸حتى الآن تم استهداف نحو 70 هدفًا إرهابيًا في منطقة بيروت من بينها حوالي 50 مبنى شاهقًا استخدمها حزب الله لأغراض إرهابية.

🔸زرع حزب الله بنيته التحتية الإرهابية في قلب بيروت تحت غطاء السكان المدنيين ورغم ذلك وخلال الأسبوع الماضي قام جيش الدفاع بإخلاء سكان الضاحية بهدف الحفاظ على سلامتهم.

🔸وخلال الغارات تم القضاء على عدد من العناصر الارهابية البارزة في المنطقة، ومن بينهم:
🔻المدعو أدهم عدنان العثمان، قائد تنظيم الجهاد الإسلامي الفلسطيني في لبنان
🔻المدعو زيد علي جمعة، المسؤول عن إدارة قوة النيران في تنظيم حزب الله والمسؤول عن المدفعية في جنوب لبنان.
🔻خمسة قادة مركزيين في فيلق لبنان وفيلق فلسطين التابعين لفيلق القدس في الحرس الثوري.

[افيخاي ادرعي @AvichayAdraee]

#عاجل 🔸في إغلاق رصد واستهداف سريعة: جيش الدفاع يقصف المنصة التي اطلقت منها القذائف الصاروخية نحو بلدات الجليل

🔸 اُطلقت قبل قليل قذائف صاروخية نحو بلدات الجليل حيث وبعملية رصد واستهداف سريعة هاجم جيش الدفاع ودمر المنصة المستخدمة في عملية الإطلاق.

🔸سيواصل جيش الدفاع العمل بقوة ضد حزب الله الإرهابي الذي قرر الانضمام إلى المعركة والعمل تحت رعاية نظام الإرهاب الإيراني، ولن يسمح بالمساس بمواطني دولة إسرائيل.

[Jean Riachi @riachi_jean]

@Mohdfaour89 😂

[Cfff @FahelChafik]

+Ammonium nitrate

[Mike S ⁉️ @Mike1981__]

@wsinno @lebfinance Maybe they add Captagon, Hashish and Cocaine exports

[Cfff @FahelChafik]

@me1lakaty يعني من حرر فلسطين و منرجع منحتلة نحنا ؟

[Cfff @FahelChafik]

@MagellanTVDocs Easy