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📈 Technical Analysis | Ecosystem Shifts | Market Alpha
Falkon is shifting gears. Moving forward, this page will serve as a curated stream for macro financial news, crypto momentum, and market data tracking.
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JUST IN: Apple Intelligence has been registered with China’s cyberspace regulator.
Alibaba’s Qwen will power Apple Intelligence features for users in China.
$AAPL $BABA
UPDATE: Fed rate-hike odds dropped after the cooler CPI report.
Traders now see about a 10% chance of a July hike, down from 35% before CPI.
Headline CPI came in at 3.5% vs 3.8% expected.
THE WEEK AHEAD
Tuesday: June CPI drops. The number that decides the July Fed meeting.
Tuesday: Warsh testifies before Congress. First time as Fed Chair.
Tuesday: Bank earnings begin. JPM, GS, Citi, WFC report.
Wednesday: PPI + Fed Beige Book.
All of it lands in 48 hours. Wednesday night we know how July trades.
Rate decision July 28-29. This week sets the table.
WEEKLY RECAP
Trump kills the Iran ceasefire. Oil +4% on the week. War premium is back in the barrel.
BTC reclaims $64K off the $58K lows. ETFs snap a 10-day outflow streak with $221M in a day. Biggest inflow in 2 months.
$450M in shorts liquidated on the move above $62K. The bounce was forced, not bought.
10Y yield hits 4.56%. Highest since May. Bonds are not buying the soft landing.
S&P 500 closes 40 points from all-time highs. AI trade did all the lifting. Tech +3% on the week.
Circle approved to operate as a bank. Stablecoins just went institutional.
JUST IN: South Korea’s chip-heavy KOSPI has entered bear-market territory.
The index is down more than 20% from its late-June record close.
Samsung fell 6.3% and SK Hynix fell 5.7%.
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REPORT: U.S. deficit spending may be helping drive the stock market rally.
Reuters says the federal budget deficit hit 6.4% of GDP in Q1.
Private investment was just 2.7% of GDP.
REPORT: Small-cap stocks are having their biggest run in decades.
The Russell 2000 is up 22% this year, its strongest first-half performance since 1991.
Small caps are now outperforming the $NDAQ by 9 percentage points.
JUST IN: Global equity funds attracted $10.44B last week.
Tech funds pulled in $8.9B after seeing $17.83B of outflows the week before.
Gold and precious metal funds saw their 7th straight weekly outflow.
Big news from the troop. 🐒
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