Fantasy Baseball Daily

Helping you win your fantasy baseball league ⚾
Daily stats, projections, and buy-low/sell-high plays 📈
Orioles fan 🧡 | Team USA baseball 🇺🇸

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Bobby Witt Jr. 2023 — 30 HR 2024 — 32 HR 2025 — 23 HR His Statcast power metrics are still elite. And the fences just moved in at Kauffman Stadium. Don’t be surprised if the HR total jumps back over 30. He's in for a MONSTER season. 🔥 📈

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Player A → William Contreras
Player B → Will Smith

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Two catchers. Nearly identical projections. Very different ADP.
Who are you drafting?
Player A
.270+ AVG
18+ HR
70+ RBI
70+ R
.800+ OPS
ADP: 57
Player B
.275+ AVG
18+ HR
80+ RBI
75+ R
.830+ OPS
ADP: 99
One goes 4+ rounds later.

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Coby Mayo → Deep Sleeper
September (MLB):
.301 AVG
.941 OPS
Spring Training:
8 G
5 H
5 RBI
.381 OBP
.579 SLG
• Elite raw power
• Massive exit velocity
With Jordan Westburg starting the season injured, consistent lineup opportunity → real breakout potential.
AVG ADP: 400+

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Pete Crow-Armstrong → ADP Risk
2025:
31 HR
35 SB
91 R
Underlying profile raises concerns:
44th percentile xwOBA
32nd percentile xBA
43rd percentile Avg EV
42nd percentile Hard-Hit %
Power surge may regress. Risky at ADP. 30 HRs-->20HRs=ADP disappointment

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Statcast is great… but it doesn’t predict fantasy points.
Barrel % → HR
Hard-Hit % → Power
xBA / xSLG → Regression
But fantasy production still depends on:
Playing time
Lineup spot
Park factors
Statcast shows skill. Opportunity creates stats.

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

James Wood → Real Superstar Breakout
2025:
31 HR
87 R
80+ RBI
.825 OPS
Elite Statcast profile:
98th percentile Avg EV
98th percentile Hard-Hit %
94th percentile Barrel %
95th percentile Bat Speed
Already produced 31 HR in his first full season.
35–40 HR upside is very real.

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Wyatt Langford
Spring Training:
5 G
2 HR
7 R
1.683 OPS
• Elite power contact
• Hard-hit machine
• Excellent plate discipline
Projection
.265+ AVG / 28+ HR / 85+ RBI / 95+ R / 22+ SB / .840+ OPS
Yahoo ADP: 63
Power/speed combo → strong chance to outperform ADP.

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Cade Horton
Horton posted 21 quality starts in 22 outings, combining rare consistency with the strikeout upside of a potential top-tier starter.
REALISTIC
165+ K / 3.50+ ERA / 1.14+ WHIP / 18+ QS / 6+ NW

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

5 players I'm higher on than the public entering the 2026 fantasy baseball season ⚾• Brice Turang • Ben Rice • Austin Riley • Ivan Herrera • Cade Horton
Breakdowns below.

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Ivan Herrera
Herrera is one of the most underrated hitters at catcher.
2025 Statcast profile:
92nd percentile xwOBA
88th percentile xBA
86th percentile xSLG
Great value at low ADP
REALISTIC
.280+ AVG / 16+ HR / 70+ RBI / 65+ R / .800+ OPS

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Austin Riley
Riley’s down year hasn’t changed the underlying power profile, and 30+ HR production at third base remains one of the safest bets in fantasy.
REALISTIC
.275+ AVG / 32+ HR / 95+ RBI / 90+ R / .880+ OPS

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Ben Rice
Rice’s breakout is backed by elite Statcast contact quality (97th xwOBA, 97th xSLG, 97th Hard Hit%), and everyday PA this season could unlock a much bigger power breakout.
REALISTIC
.255+ AVG / 26+ HR / 85+ RBI / 75+ R / .830+ OPS

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Brice Turang
Second base gets thin quickly after the top tier, and Turang offers rare speed with improving power at the position.
REALISTIC
.280+ AVG / 14+ HR / 70+ RBI / 95+ R / 32+ SB / .800+ OPS

[Fantasy Baseball Daily @FbaseballDZF]

Welcome to Fantasy Baseball Daily ⚾
2026 fantasy baseball projections built using:
• Statcast data
• Advanced splits
• Floor vs realistic outcomes
I’ll be posting player breakdowns, projections, and rankings throughout the season.
Let’s win some leagues.