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6/6
For now, I view every bounce as nothing more than local short covering rather than confirmation of a new bullish impulse. Until acceptance above VAH is established, I remain cautious on upside continuation.
#Bitcoin#BTC#Crypto#BitcoinTrading#CryptoTrading#PriceAction
1/6
$BTC
A second deviation above VAH ($64,925) triggered seller profit-taking and pushed price back inside the Value Area. The market is now compressing: order flow remains active, but there's still no expansion or confirmed directional move.
5/6
From an auction market perspective, if buyers fail to gain acceptance above VAH, it would confirm weak local demand and significantly increase the probability of continued rotation toward VAL ($61,025).
#OrderFlow#MarketProfile#VolumeProfile#Trading#TechnicalAnalysis
7/7
π Bottom line:
A softer Core PCE and a balanced tone from Warsh could reinforce expectations for future Fed easing.
However, stronger GDP or a more hawkish message could lift Treasury yields and strengthen the U.S. dollar.
#FOMC#Fed#CorePCE#Inflation#GDP#Macro#Markets
1/7
π This week brings one of the most important macroeconomic event clusters of the month. Markets will digest several key U.S. releases that could reshape expectations for the Federal Reserve and drive volatility across stocks, bonds and the U.S. dollar. π
6/7
Also on Thursday:
πΊπΈ Personal Income (MoM)
Prev: 0.7% | Exp: 0.3%
πΊπΈ Personal Spending (MoM)
Prev: 0.7% | Exp: 0.4%
These reports will provide additional insight into the strength of U.S. consumers.
#Stocks#Trading#Investing
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6/6
If that scenario unfolds, the cost of capital across the U.S. economy could stay elevated, tightening financial conditions even without additional Fed rate hikes. A key theme for markets to watch in the months ahead.
#Markets#Investing#Macro#Fed#FOMC#Inflation
1/6
π This week, markets focused on two major drivers: stronger-than-expected U.S. macro data and another escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Both factors reshaped expectations for monetary policy and risk assets.
#MarketUpdate
5/6
Attention is also shifting to the U.S. Treasury market. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon warned that even if inflation returns to target, long-term Treasury yields may remain structurally elevated due to persistent fiscal deficits and rising government debt.
#Treasuries#Bonds