Finch Graves

🔥 Helping Brazilian investors bypass competition traps
📌 Graves Asset Management
🌐 CFA/CAIA Charterholder | Ex-Harvard Professor | Cross-Border M&A Veteran

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

The best chapters are still being written. At 55, I'm more excited about the next 25 years than the last 25.
Markets today: VIX 15 (calm), USD 98.7 (strong), trade talks extending. Same patterns, deeper wisdom.
Thank you to everyone who's been part of this journey! 🇧🇷

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Today's market lesson in quantitative investing 📊
Brazil -0.45%, but the real story is in factor performance:

Value ETF: -0.05% (strong)
Momentum ETF: -0.55% (weak)
Quality ETF: -0.10% (holding)

While emotions see "Brazil down," data reveals systematic rotation patterns.

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Emerging markets reality check 🌍
MSCI EM: -0.09% (resilient) Brazil futures: +0.13% (outperforming) USD: 98.49 (creating uniform pressure)
The number everyone's missing: EM trades at 12.68x P/E vs developed markets at 19.73x

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Brazil's ESG opportunity is underappreciated:

Suzano (R$49.90) - sustainable forestry leader
WEG (R$39.45) - renewable energy automation
World's future green hydrogen superpower

🔗 https://t.co/VJdVURwH9r

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Weekend investment wisdom after a wild week 📊
US markets: New highs (S&P +1.5%, NASDAQ +1.8%) Brazil: Under pressure (-3.3% BOVESPA) VIX: Calm at 15.94 USD: Strong at 97.78

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Yesterday's market lesson: Digital transformation is no longer optional 📈
NASDAQ new highs: 20,611 (+0.95%) Nvidia hits $4T market cap Tech leaders surge: MSFT +1.39%, GOOGL +1.29% Traditional institutions under pressure

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Critical inflection point today: US tariff exemptions expire ⏰
Market response: 📉 VIX climbs to 17.55 (+3%) 💵 DXY strengthens to 97.65 (safe haven demand) 🇺🇸 S&P futures -0.22% (uncertainty premium) 🇧🇷 BOVESPA held relatively well at -0.31%

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Tuesday market psychology lesson: 📚
Yesterday: VIX spikes 9%, fear everywhere Today: Markets calmer, attention shifts elsewhere
But here's what 25+ years taught me - the BEST opportunities often emerge in these quiet moments between volatility spikes.

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

🚨 VIX spikes 9% to 18.25 while markets diverge globally:
S&P 500: -0.22% NASDAQ: +0.12% STOXX 600: -0.53% BOVESPA: -0.29%
Notice something? Brazilian markets showing relative strength. This is why risk management isn't just about defense—it's about positioning. 🇧🇷

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Friday wisdom: The most profitable trades often happen when others are paralyzed by uncertainty. 🎯
In 25+ years across global markets, I've noticed that emotional discipline separates successful investors from the crowd. When volatility spikes, most people panic.

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

🇧🇷 Brazil's economic potential is underappreciated by global markets.
BOVESPA at 139,050 (-0.36% today) after 11% YTD gains. This pullback? Natural consolidation after hitting 140K+
15% SELIC rate = highest since 2006.

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Energy market dynamics: Oil volatility creates opportunities for informed investors. Brazilian energy sector offers unique exposure - Petrobras for traditional energy, renewable infrastructure for transition play. Key is understanding both cycles and structural changes.

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

🥇 Gold market dynamics today: XAU/USD consolidating around $2,333.50 while XAU/BRL benefits from weak real at R$12,750/oz. Brazilian investors getting currency hedge + gold exposure. GOLD11 ETF reflecting this dual dynamic perfectly.
https://t.co/VJdVURwH9r

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

🇧🇷 Brazilian market pre-open: Ibovespa closed Friday at 120,550 (-0.45%), weighed by fiscal concerns and high rate environment. Real estate stocks under pressure - CYRE3 -1.25%, MRVE3 -1.80%. Today's Focus Report will set the tone.
https://t.co/VJdVURxeYZ

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Yesterday's Ibovespa rally (+1,025 points) was textbook emerging market behavior: commodity strength + central bank expectations = upward momentum. Today's test: can this momentum sustain ahead of key IPCA-15 inflation data later this week?

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

🇧🇷 Brazilian markets opening strong! Ibovespa up to 121,800 points, driven by energy sector surge. Petrobras leading the charge as oil prices climb. Perfect example of how geopolitical dynamics create emerging market opportunities.
https://t.co/VJdVURwH9r

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Week in review: Central bank "super week" delivered clarity amid global divergence.
Brazil: BCB unanimous hold at 14.75% - hawkish credibility restored 🔸US: Fed holds, signals 2 cuts ahead but Powell stays cautious
🔸 Europe: Political uncertainty weighs (CAC -2.1%, DAX -1.55%)

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Brazil's fundamentals are screaming value while markets whisper uncertainty.

GDP growth revised UP to 2.0-2.2%
Unemployment at multi-year low: 7.5%
Ibovespa trading at 8.5x P/E vs 18x global markets
#EmergingMarkets
https://t.co/sfVDi8N7qR

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

BRL strengthened 4.7% this quarter vs USD (now ~5.52), outperforming most EM currencies. Iron ore +5.3%, record soy harvest expected, and BCB's hawkish 14.75% Selic rate creating powerful carry dynamics.
https://t.co/sfVDi8MzBj

[Finch Graves @FinchGraves_CEO]

Fed holds at 4.25-4.50% while Brazil maintains 14.75% Selic rate. This 1000+ bps differential creates compelling carry opportunities for sophisticated investors.
Bovespa testing 139k resistance amid commodity strength (iron ore $95/ton, soybeans $10.69/bu).