Fool's Edge

A dummy that's learning

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

See historic examples of $intc $ibm $mp pumping on gov stake.

Market is sour on OAI rn. I like.

I am mentally preparing myself for the possible scenario of gov taking OAI stake. Gov is clearly open to it and there is precedence. Widely documented that OAI wants gov support too. Match made in heaven. Win Win.

Gov can say "we are helping the people by benefiting off AI advancements". OAI will gain perception of too big to fail. Vibes is everything in this market rn. big big.

There is multibagger opportunities in short dated calls on OAI exposed companies like $msft $orcl $crwv. I will be one of the 1st to snatch up calls when the deal is closer/announced. The rerating on these names will be gross methinks.

While the masses are connecting the dots, I'll be ready 😈😈

This will potentially be giga move.

Gotta have a prepared mind to move before the masses wake up and make the connection.

🤙

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

President Trump has said that the White House may take equity stakes in American AI companies, after it was revealed they might take a stake in OpenAI, per Reuters

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Owned $skm for a while now for Anthropic exposure.

Recently added $orbs for OpenAI exposure.

Market will wake up to how heavily exposed $orbs is to OAI and Sam.

[Michael Sikand 🦑 @michaelsikand]

$SKM has 4x more Anthropic exposure per dollar of market cap than second place $ZM.

Yesterday, SKT’s CEO Jung Jae-heon confirmed the company participated in Anthropic's Series H and has no plans to sell ahead of the IPO.

Strip that Anthropic stake and $SKM's core telco trades at approximately 6.1x EV/EBITDA, the cheapest name in the global peer group.

If Jensen's bet on telecom as critical AI infra pans out, $SKM's goldmine goes far beyond its early bet on Dario and co.

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Grabbed a few $tsla puts 1 dte.

DD is there is giga overlap of shareholder base of $tsla and $spcx.

Seems logical to me that there will be increased sell pressure tmrw as retail sells their tsla to add to spacex on ipo day.

Maybe it's already front ran and priced in. 🤷‍♀️

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

My $SPCE position as of 10 am today.

Could have played it better by going in heavier, but such is life. Still gotta get better with position sizing.

Pretty happy to have documented this. This is really reminiscent of when I played $cciv warrants. So many similarities in terms of hype, stupidity, liquidity, and Elon effect.

https://t.co/MJkdKsG8Yz

Cheers 😊

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

$apld finished only 2% up on hyperscaler deal announcement

I've trimmed my $keel position, still got calls/commons, but locking in gains. Stock rocketed from sub $2 to over $6 in 2 months. My edge starts fading as the markets start to see and price in what I was early to.

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

$APLD signed a 15-year AI data center lease with a U.S. hyperscaler for 210MW at Delta Forge 2 adding ~$5.2B of contracted revenue.

Applied Digital now has ~$36B contracted across five AI Factory campuses with 1.4GW of contracted IT load and 2.15GW of utility power.

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Me down over 10% today 🤣

[Midnight Capital @Midnight_Captl]

If you’re not down more than 5% today you don’t really want it that bad man

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

@Veganhippo21 I like it. if they make it into sp500 and monday is green rebound day, it'll MOVE

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Nice 10% dump on $keel on smol dilution news, please go down more 😈😈

I am pro lv 99 Bagholder

Nobody bagholds better than me 🫲🫱

Gimme dat DIP 😊😊

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Been accumulating $keel shares/calls, becoming one of my largest positions 🤫

I'm getting $hut vibes with this one. Called out $hut 10 bagger last year.

I remember listening to Asher in multiple interviews/conference calls, before the stock got rerated. Getting the same vibes with Ben. Very impressed with what I see.

I like companies that hasn't been rerated yet. $keel is a great setup I think.

I recall vividly prominent people hating on $hut back around when it was trading at 1/5 its current price, saying "huuuur duuur they are wanna be hpc shitco, no hyperscaler deals signed, see it's trash bitcoin mining shitco". I recall it was so silly to me how they didn't see the writing on the wall with $hut. Ofc it then goes on a generational run as the market saw what I had seen.

$keel is at a similar place. Admittedly price is not as discounted vs before since market is waking up to the potential, so I don't see the same explosive upside as $hut did at 20s. However, if $keel executes like Ben says, it's a multibagger stock. Market will not believe them until they ink hyperscaler deals. I like my odds of them inking hyperscaler and subsequently joining the rerated peers like $hut and $iren.

Lowkey hoping it dumps, I wanna grab MORE lol. Still don't have full size on yet.

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

I was not familiar with your game $CSIQ

Bags are a lot less heavy today rofl

🤣

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Me with big bags in $csiq watching $eose and $flnc go to the moon 😂

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Me with big bags in $csiq watching $eose and $flnc go to the moon 😂

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

@insiwest Thanks for the suggestion, admittedly it's more art than science.

If I think it's super discounted (based on deep research and conviction) and disagree with market, I'll go in on leverage

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Been selling part of my $rddt common position, and going into leverage.

$rdtl here at 16 down 80% from ath seems silly.

For a company growing over 50%.

CRUSHING past earnings.

With a lot of runway to increase audience retention/tracking and improve monetization.

Multiples now massively compressed and derisked from SAAS-pocalypse.

Even though they have AI tailwind, unlike most other SAAS facing real headwind concerns.

Multiple catalyst ahead.

1) Anthropic is 99% going to settle with Reddit. They have little incentive to fight this and open themselves up to Discovery. This will be cleared before they IPO.

2) SP500 inclusion - I expect to occur this year.

3) AI Data Deal Renewal - Should occur this year/early next. Spez previously poured super cold water on this revenue stream (SP dumped big), so I don't think the market is fully pricing it in. Which is actually a good thing.

In this case, I do think Reddit has the cards. Reddit data is too valuable. Especially data from specialized subreddits. Hard to see AI getting that same data from other sources.

4) Execution - Continued earnings beat and growth. Forward multiples are very attractive at these levels if they can continue to execute.

Ultimately I think the fundamentals in the company remain very strong, especially after their recent earnings.

The market continues to beat up on $rddt and lump it in the SAAS basket, when this ain't no Duolingo. Future looks bright for Reddit and their MOAT is real.

Barbell approach is to long AI buildout and hedge with $rddt exposure (market thinks it = SAAS)

Market is being dum dum lumping Reddit in with SAAS when it isn't a traditional SAAS and its multiples do not deserve to be hit this badly (unless I missed something). I understand multiples in other software names getting hit like $duol, but $rddt getting hit as hard as it has makes no sense to me.

SP can go up from here via multiples rerating (when market wakes up), continued execution (crush earnings), and multitude of other catalysts this year mentioned previously.

I like the r/r here.

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

$16->$23 yohohoho

$rddt $rdtl

Was easily my largest position (screenshot was only fraction of my total Reddit exposure). Also was on margin buying like an absolute regard ROFL 🤣🤣

Conviction pays (sometimes) 😎😎

$RDDT at 140 given their BLOWOUT MONSTER earnings and future trajectory was kinda funny. Reading panicans comments paper handing at lows was my signal to go in heavier.

I member thinking as I read those comments "if those are the most negative arguments for Reddit, then ROFL LMAO that's bullish AF"

I love mai REEEEEEEEEDIT
(I did trim, be stupid not to derisk given how levered I was)

❤️

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Been selling part of my $rddt common position, and going into leverage.

$rdtl here at 16 down 80% from ath seems silly.

For a company growing over 50%.

CRUSHING past earnings.

With a lot of runway to increase audience retention/tracking and improve monetization.

Multiples now massively compressed and derisked from SAAS-pocalypse.

Even though they have AI tailwind, unlike most other SAAS facing real headwind concerns.

Multiple catalyst ahead.

1) Anthropic is 99% going to settle with Reddit. They have little incentive to fight this and open themselves up to Discovery. This will be cleared before they IPO.

2) SP500 inclusion - I expect to occur this year.

3) AI Data Deal Renewal - Should occur this year/early next. Spez previously poured super cold water on this revenue stream (SP dumped big), so I don't think the market is fully pricing it in. Which is actually a good thing.

In this case, I do think Reddit has the cards. Reddit data is too valuable. Especially data from specialized subreddits. Hard to see AI getting that same data from other sources.

4) Execution - Continued earnings beat and growth. Forward multiples are very attractive at these levels if they can continue to execute.

Ultimately I think the fundamentals in the company remain very strong, especially after their recent earnings.

The market continues to beat up on $rddt and lump it in the SAAS basket, when this ain't no Duolingo. Future looks bright for Reddit and their MOAT is real.

Barbell approach is to long AI buildout and hedge with $rddt exposure (market thinks it = SAAS)

Market is being dum dum lumping Reddit in with SAAS when it isn't a traditional SAAS and its multiples do not deserve to be hit this badly (unless I missed something). I understand multiples in other software names getting hit like $duol, but $rddt getting hit as hard as it has makes no sense to me.

SP can go up from here via multiples rerating (when market wakes up), continued execution (crush earnings), and multitude of other catalysts this year mentioned previously.

I like the r/r here.

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Bought $SPCE to play SpaceX IPO.

$SPCE is hot doo doo company, but it's a hot doo doo company in the hottest sector RN. So maybe it's actually the inverse 🤔

Just pure memes and vibes. I kinda love how regarded the market is sometimes. Thing of beauty honesty.

I remember when I bought the calls I thought the IV was crazy disgustingly high so I didn't buy as many as I would have liked. Oh well. Ya live and learn 🫡

Let's roll 😎😎

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

@Veganhippo21 Good choice got some $hpe as well, earnings next week will be spicy given how ai infra peers have performed

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

@jakebrowatzke Are you selling based on guidance Jake?

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

That was the bottom tick on $RDDT

Vibe/Sentiment check ftw ✅

Sorry paper hands. Price to pay for outsized return is conviction through deep research and dealing with volatility 🫡

Gz to holders 🙂

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Sentiment/vibe check on $rddt stock holders is interesting. I like taking a step back at times and just try to be a fly on the wall and observe without bias (try to anyways).

Fascinating how share price drives narratives.

When it was at ATH, didn't hear much complaints about SBC. Execs praised for their execution.

Now all the sudden it's an issue (even those they are a growth beast and fundamentals look good atm). They're selling too much. They are shit execs.

Reminds me of palantir in 2022. I paper handed 6 figures profit if I had held because I listened to the same noise of "omg they are diluting/selling so much, retail is exit liquidity".

On the new $meta Reddit competitor, I think the market is dumping now and reassessing later. I don't disagree that it could potentially negatively impact $rddt, but it's not certain at this point. History suggests otherwise. Case studies below:

Facebook announced Dating back in 2018 which in the long run was a nothingburger even though in the short term it sent $mtch stock down and it recovered quickly.

Same thing with Meta's Snapchat competitor announcement in April this year. Sent $snap down but it's a nothingburger so far and recovered.

Same thing with Threads, I don't think it's meaningfully impacted X though the numbers from Threads is pretty decent tbh.

2/3 cases are flops, and 1/3 case, it doesn't appear to have meaningfully impacted the competitor. I like those odds.

At the end of the day, it's a profitable biz growing 50% with AI tailwind via data licensing. And down 50% from peak despite the future still looking good.

If the future did not look good (like duolingo), I'd be out asap.

https://t.co/DhetcviBcr

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

$rdtl just hit $20 today.

16->20 in 2 weeks

no risk no reward

$rddt

lezzzz goo 🥰

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Been selling part of my $rddt common position, and going into leverage.

$rdtl here at 16 down 80% from ath seems silly.

For a company growing over 50%.

CRUSHING past earnings.

With a lot of runway to increase audience retention/tracking and improve monetization.

Multiples now massively compressed and derisked from SAAS-pocalypse.

Even though they have AI tailwind, unlike most other SAAS facing real headwind concerns.

Multiple catalyst ahead.

1) Anthropic is 99% going to settle with Reddit. They have little incentive to fight this and open themselves up to Discovery. This will be cleared before they IPO.

2) SP500 inclusion - I expect to occur this year.

3) AI Data Deal Renewal - Should occur this year/early next. Spez previously poured super cold water on this revenue stream (SP dumped big), so I don't think the market is fully pricing it in. Which is actually a good thing.

In this case, I do think Reddit has the cards. Reddit data is too valuable. Especially data from specialized subreddits. Hard to see AI getting that same data from other sources.

4) Execution - Continued earnings beat and growth. Forward multiples are very attractive at these levels if they can continue to execute.

Ultimately I think the fundamentals in the company remain very strong, especially after their recent earnings.

The market continues to beat up on $rddt and lump it in the SAAS basket, when this ain't no Duolingo. Future looks bright for Reddit and their MOAT is real.

Barbell approach is to long AI buildout and hedge with $rddt exposure (market thinks it = SAAS)

Market is being dum dum lumping Reddit in with SAAS when it isn't a traditional SAAS and its multiples do not deserve to be hit this badly (unless I missed something). I understand multiples in other software names getting hit like $duol, but $rddt getting hit as hard as it has makes no sense to me.

SP can go up from here via multiples rerating (when market wakes up), continued execution (crush earnings), and multitude of other catalysts this year mentioned previously.

I like the r/r here.

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

@LRPMMc grats! data center stocks go BRRR

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

Started position in $purr this week.

Quick thoughts:

-$hype has been one of the few crypto that's been green in this bear. Says A LOT

-They've bought back $2b~ on $50b~ fully diluted MC. Actual utility and generating income? Much wow. Kinda unheard of in the space

-Coinbase/USDC ties

-Founder has been having talks in Washington on new crypto legislation

-One of the only ways for exposure to the RWA and tokenization narrative (only other name I see being $cept), ya know that narrative positively discussed by some of the biggest names like Larry Fink and Vlad

-SpaceX IPO, OpenAI IPO, Anthropic IPO. These will potentially be a "2024 Elections Moment" for $hype as it was for Polymarket. Speaking of which...

-They are entering into predictions market space

-They are such a threat that Binance has not listed spot trading. Let that sink in... Actions speak volumes

Only found out about it this week and have been aggressively & obsessively researching the narrative and poking holes.

Only have starter position on right now. Still doing DD and plan on increasing on dips if thesis remains unchanged.

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

@bigsuey @RealbotixCorp Been in this name for a while. Big fan of Andrew and team. Congrats on the uplist, know it had been in the works for a while.

Hope you guys crush it! 🙂

[Fool's Edge @Fools_Edge]

"options is too risky"
"leverage is too risky"
"margin is too risky"
"single stocks are too risky"

Everything in life has a cost. The trade off for certainty and stability is lower return and TIME.

Life is short man.

For the avg person, only practical way to buy TIME is through "risk".

[Quinten | 048.eth @QuintenFrancois]

“Crypto is too risky”

The real risk: