Fourth and EV

NFL gambler. Love all things NFL. Where the data meets the eye test. Daily content + free tips/projections

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

Ehhh, frustrating set here. Put too much faith in K9/KOC. The Vikes are the most fraudulent 6-1 team. Yes Jettas is doubled and tripled all game but KOC does nothing creative to get him the ball/make it tough to scheme him. I think he’s $1.50 and shortening to finish his career elsewhere

If you told me the Bengals put up 43, I would’ve just about put my life on them covering the handicap of -12.5 😂

Bernard receptions should’ve been the play, however didn’t expect a blowout

Wilson cooked, probably should’ve had 100+

Broncs was a sweat

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

A few free bets for the slate tomorrow morning;

1- Justin Jefferson O75.5 receiving yards $1.88

About as confident as I’ve been on a play all season. Hasn’t had the large numbers we’re used to seeing, but that’s mainly because of how elite their D has been/the second half scripts. They’ll need to put up points to keep up with Detroit. We’ve laddered the BEST receiver all the way up to 200

2- Denver Broncos ML $2.01

I just think they’re a better all round team than the Chiefs. KC come here without their 2 starting DB’s, and Denver are getting healthy on that side of the ball.

3- Germie Bernard O43.5 receiving yards $1.88

DK gets the Ward matchup on the outside, which should leave Bernard with 10+ targets

4- Bengals -12.5 $1.91

Titans just traded away their best defensive piece, and are without their best weapon offensively against a Bengals team improving each week. This should be ugly

5- Garrett Wilson O63.5 receiving yards $1.88

A quiet month or so for G Money, but gets an elite bounce back spot.

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

@JustTheTipAUS Ain’t that the truth haha.

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

🤷‍���️🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

There is something seriously seriously wrong with Justin Jefferson being 73rd in the league in targets, 7 weeks into the season. Brock Bowers missed 2 full games and is 19th in the league.

The Vikes D is playing out of their skin right now which is why they keep winning, but it’s not close to being sustainable in playoff football.

What happened to Kevin O’Connell of 5 years ago?? The one who was calling plays for Cooper Kupp’s 1,947 yard triple crown season, or Justin Jefferson’s 1,809 yard season. Where has that Kevin O’Connell gone and why is it not talked about more?

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

$1k challenge - Bet 1

Justin Jefferson O75.5 receiving yards $1.88

$10 @ $1.88

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

First bet to be posted at 8pm SA time 👀

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

Would people be interested in $10-$1,000 challenges for a bit of fun? Start with $10 and keep rolling over the winnings until we reach $1,000.

All NFL, all posted for free on here, all Sportsbet.

Who’s keen?

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

A few free bets for the slate tomorrow morning;

1- Justin Jefferson O75.5 receiving yards $1.88

About as confident as I’ve been on a play all season. Hasn’t had the large numbers we’re used to seeing, but that’s mainly because of how elite their D has been/the second half scripts. They’ll need to put up points to keep up with Detroit. We’ve laddered the BEST receiver all the way up to 200

2- Denver Broncos ML $2.01

I just think they’re a better all round team than the Chiefs. KC come here without their 2 starting DB’s, and Denver are getting healthy on that side of the ball.

3- Germie Bernard O43.5 receiving yards $1.88

DK gets the Ward matchup on the outside, which should leave Bernard with 10+ targets

4- Bengals -12.5 $1.91

Titans just traded away their best defensive piece, and are without their best weapon offensively against a Bengals team improving each week. This should be ugly

5- Garrett Wilson O63.5 receiving yards $1.88

A quiet month or so for G Money, but gets an elite bounce back spot.

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

An elite spot for Love and the Packers to put up a big number on the Panthers here on TNF!

To put it as simply as possible, when the Panthers D has faced a good offensive unit they have been torched. They’ve played a few bad teams to begin their season which is why it doesn’t look as bad on paper. The Bears gave them 59, the Lions gave them 26 and even the Bucs gave them 43. Their other games have been against the Cooper Rush led Falcons, the Tanner McGee led Eagles and the Browns. Now they meet a Jordan Love led Packers who are trending in the right direction and are slowly getting back to full health. It’s the NFL, and weird shit happens, but I’m struggling to see a world where the Packers don’t put up a big number !

We have taken:
- Packers TT over 25.5 $1.82
- Packers TT over 34.5 $4.
- Packers -13.5 $4.25.

All bets on SB

GO PACK GO

If you have taken the time to read my rambling, send me a DM and I’ll send you my fav prop on today’s game!

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

Would people be interested in $10-$1,000 challenges for a bit of fun? Start with $10 and keep rolling over the winnings until we reach $1,000.

All NFL, all posted for free on here, all Sportsbet.

Who’s keen?

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

All bets SB/365. No pointsbet, Ladbrokes or amused group garbage. Lines which everyone can access. No promo stuff.

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

Love this! It ends up being about $1/game. Minimum of 3 games each week; right now the games are at 11.15am vic/nsw time. We’ve bet into most prime time games this season and I don’t see that changing.

https://t.co/l4NgcwPxRn

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

@alexpunts Trying to DM you man

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

@jacquesbez100 Trying to DM you man

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

@Jordanblazed420 Trying to DM you man.

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

Love this! It ends up being about $1/game. Minimum of 3 games each week; right now the games are at 11.15am vic/nsw time. We’ve bet into most prime time games this season and I don’t see that changing.

https://t.co/l4NgcwPxRn

[The Bettors Edge @thebettorsedge5]

We’ve added a new package for @Fourthandev … a prime time package! If you don’t want the high volume of betting into most games then this is for you. Get tips from all prime times games for just a one off charge of $80. Gives you access until after the Super Bowl!

https://t.co/TQK7GaL0Hh

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

@lukesawhook What is more absurd is how he was used as a rookie

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

@JustTheTipAUS Took Dameon Pierce over 1.5 receiving yards on SB @ $2.05. Was over 0.5 on 365 but only 1.8. Wanted the extra juice. Got the reception for 1 yard, then got injured and we watched Eli Mitchell get 3 receptions. Brutal 😂

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

There is something seriously seriously wrong with Justin Jefferson being 73rd in the league in targets, 7 weeks into the season. Brock Bowers missed 2 full games and is 19th in the league.

The Vikes D is playing out of their skin right now which is why they keep winning, but it’s not close to being sustainable in playoff football.

What happened to Kevin O’Connell of 5 years ago?? The one who was calling plays for Cooper Kupp’s 1,947 yard triple crown season, or Justin Jefferson’s 1,809 yard season. Where has that Kevin O’Connell gone and why is it not talked about more?

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

Have been saying it for a while now but KOC is the most overrated coach I can recall in some time…. Yes I know they���re undefeated, that’s coz of B Flores.

He’s got a generational talent at receiver and doesn’t spam him like everyone else does with their stars. Look at the usage of JSN, ARSB, Puka, Ceedee…. I would love to see Jettas in a system where he’s getting 10+ targets a game.

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

@ESPNNFL @danorlovsky7 Being able to do what he did at his size, was a skill in itself. If it was that easy all tall dudes would be megatron.

[Fourth and EV @Fourthandev]

@AussieBenC @Quinny_1 They have the talent, they’re just so so conservative. Decent line, elite WR1, decent enough WR2 and TE. They just play so conservative coz they know if the O doesn’t make any mistakes their D can pretty much win them every game