Franzisko Ortiz

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

@Marcela252016 Falta un poco de planteamiento. Si tienes 1000 personas y decides repartirles 0 panes por persona. Necesitas comprar 0 panes. Ahora si tienes 1000 panes y quieres repartirles 0 personas por pan, ocupas 0 personas.

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

@MaeloGmz Se me hacía una tontería que quitaran ese cuadro, el único perjudicado era el aficionado, el equipo que quisiera hacer trampa lo haría, tan fácil como poner un cinta adhesiva en la tele para simular el cuadro y mandar las señas.

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

@EduardoVarelaTV Atentamente ChatGPT!

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Strongest Week 4 picks:

#RavensFlock 84.6%
#Seahawks 83.0%

Highest projected total:
#Duuuval @ #WhoDey — 48.95 pts

Interesting one:
#GoPackGo has a 54.0% win probability, while the spread model has #WeAreTheKrewe by 0.37.

Same matchup. Two models. Different answers.

🧵 4/4

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Week 4 NFL predictions 🏈

29/48 winners correct — 60.4% through three weeks.

TNF

#HereWeGo 21-20 #DawgPound

London 🇬🇧

#ForTheShoe 22-24 #RaiseHail

Sunday

#TitanUp 17-29 #RavensFlock

#NEPats 20-27 #BillsMafia

#JetUp 18-27 #DaBears

🧵 1/4

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Week 4 NFL predictions 🏈

#PhinsUp 18-27 #Skol

#ChiefsKingdom 25-21 #RaiderNation

#BoltUp 16-28 #Seahawks

#BroncosCountry 22-27 #FTTB

SNF

#OnePride 25-22 #KeepPounding

MNF

#DirtyBirds 24-25 #Saints

🧵 3/4

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Biggest surprises:
#GoPackGo 71.4% ��� lost 35-14
#Seahawks 73.6% → lost 33-31

Through 3 weeks:
29/48 winners
60.4% accuracy

Week 3 spread MAE: 8.87
Total MAE: 11.39

On to Week 4.

🧵 2/2

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Week 3 results are in 🏈

9/16 winners correct again this week.

Best calls:
🎯 #TitanUp @ #BigBlue — NYG by 5.33, actual: NYG by 5
🎯 #RavensFlock @ #DallasCowboys — BAL by 1.89, actual: BAL by 3

🧵 1/2

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

@JESanchez_ESPN @Ravens @dallascowboys

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

@RGIII @OuttaPocketRG3 Yes it is, Pat Mahomes clearly has a special treatment

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

@F1Tornello

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Strongest Week 3 picks:

#BillsMafia 86.2%
#OnePride 81.1%
#FTTB 80.8%
#Seahawks 73.6%
#GoPackGo 71.4%

Highest projected total:
#RavensFlock @ #DallasCowboys 54.5 pts

Model: Elo + offensive EPA + defensive EPA + turnovers.

https://t.co/IMq3IHfETk

🧵 4/4

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Week 3 NFL predictions 🏈

TNF

#DirtyBirds 17-23 #GoPackGo

Sunday

#RiseUpRedSea 18-28 #FTTB

#KeepPounding 22-22 #DawgPound*

#WhoDey 20-18 #HereWeGo

#HTownMade 23-21 #ForTheShoe

*Carolina still has a 52.5% win probability.

🧵 1/4

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Week 3 NFL predictions 🏈

Rio 🇧🇷

#RavensFlock 28-26 #DallasCowboys

#Seahawks 27-19 #RaiseHail

#TitanUp 19-24 #BigBlue

SNF

#RamsHouse 23-22 #BroncosCountry

MNF

#FlyEaglesFly 23-24 #DaBears

🧵 3/4

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Biggest total miss:
#Skol @ #DaBears
Projected: 45.75
Actual: 12

Spread MAE: 12.20 pts
Total MAE: 11.81 pts

On to Week 3.

🧵 3/3

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

Week 2 results are in 🏈

9/16 winners correct — 56.3% this week.
20/32 overall — 62.5% through two weeks.

Some really close calls:

🎯 #GoPackGo @ #JetUp
Projected spread: GB by 3.51
Actual: GB by 3

🎯 #RaiderNation @ #BoltUp
Projected total: 39.57
Actual: 40

🧵 1/3

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

🎯 #DawgPound @ #WeAreTheKrewe
Projected total: 43.03
Actual: 42

And then there were my #RavensFlock...

75.3% win probability → #Saints win 24-17 😑

🧵 2/3

[Franzisko Ortiz @Fransizko]

@LiveRavenNation San Miguel de Allende, 🇲🇽