$35K in 12 trading days—5 lessons that made it happen
1. Don’t chase stocks.
2. Let trades come to you.
3. Trade less, focus more.
4. Stay patient.
5. Discipline is everything.
Read the full post here $SPY $RGTI $FNMA: https://t.co/SFjXloE6Hz
$BATL exactly why I bought last night. These float up a/h or p/m and then once the open comes it is just liquidity to sell.
Same playbook happening over and over this year.
Yes, it is riskier buying o/n, but just use smaller size. Much higher odds these days. I don't make the rules on these. I just react to the changes I see.
Yeah was thinking maybe solar would be a solid sector right now but charts not confirming it. $NXT $SUNE and $SEDG only names trending but not in a strong way. Everything else-- $FSLR, $ENPH, and few others main watches weak. Only thing I keep seeing is chemicals $CC $CLMT $TROX and some others stronger right now. No major strong theme. Even aerospace/defense dragging down with $KRMN and $ITA cracking. Just seems like a sit and wait market right now. Oil of course the leader--but had to be in weeks ago.
Your stock selection and ideas are very good. I would be trading the same, but due to current market environment I am not. Chop and down trending markets seems to make everything harder.
Really good acknowledgement of "expecting too much". When market are choppier you need to change your mindset of holding periods and expected moves. In earlier years SWMR would have closed in low $40's but the crowdedness of shorting makes that difficult.
In terms of Gold--great idea, but again when the market is weak these bounces will not offer as much.
Almost have to be in a "nail and bail" mindset right now.
It is very hard to do as a trader understanding that the $GAINS are not distributed evenly across all markets despite if the setups are identical.
@shortisnteasy Really just starting to track the smallcap space in this way the past few weeks so this is not concrete/confirmed yet. Just a thesis I am working out.
$AGRZ
Farm/Fert Theme (Micro Spinoff of Oil Macro theme)
+
5 Days w/o big runner (usually every 5 days one occurs 100%+)
+
Shorts overly confident(everything fading)
+
Had the volume
=
Situational Awareness Long(not a pure pattern play)
Still holding as this theme is working (not a lot of size at all).
Larger names $CF, $NTR, $CTVA showed me the theme along with oil of course.
Fertilizer prices up up up---> means lower frequency of fert use--->means lower potential yield.
Next may be food supply names/grocery $MSS, $KR and those types.
Eye on $EDBl r/s farm name for later but no volume right now.
Jones Act potential wave offered the dip buy in the .70's. Not sure what it will do if waived but just following the volume and price action for now.
@shortisnteasy That data was specifically for Open to HOD runners that are 50%+ gappers. I have yet to track normal intraday runners that are not gappers. So yes, there were big runners like PLYX or DTCK past few days or even. But I usually follow the gap up data for now.
Very Basic Data: 50%+ Gappers this year
This is how average daily moves look so far(every 30 minutes 9:30am-4pm).
Seems like all fade opportunity on gappers is within the first hour.
Is short trading getting even more crowded in the small cap space?
I never see charts of longs and there are plenty of strategies.
Only screenshots of shorts out there.
Not sure why they post so often either. Seems like some cult following the leader and flex gains(they never lose).
Slight momentum coming back to smallcaps?
$QNCX(bad news biotech bottom bouncer)
$0.20-$1 (400%)
$SUNE(solar)
$1-$2.4 (140%)
$CCHH(now weaker, china)
$0.40-$1.8 (350%)
and today....
$NCI (china 1m low float)
200%+
$DXST (china)
100%+
Good to see names in 200%-300% range in past few days.
I am NOT a buyer. Just noting some bigger spikes after weeks of nothing.
Sitting and waiting on the sidelines until I see my pattern.
$ASTI best breakout name today (solar stock).
I did not trade it out of spite missing my $7 swing entry yesterday and thought it was a chase at $8, but good to see I was on the right track.
$SMX interesting to note that it is holding up on some good volume.
In no rush to buy it but maybe next few days I would try a breakout buy (as long as chart provides tight risk).
Remember this is related to $GLD (I think) which is having a nice bounce off lows so it is a theme name technically.
$BTC, $COIN, $MSTR-- Kind of feels like that $TSLA style bottom on 3/18/25 after the big selloff to low $200s.
That being said-- you had plenty of time to buy with good entries before the first real bounce back over $300 (3/18,3/21,4/9,4/22,4/24,5/8).
I am not saying these are the same instruments but the charts feel similar to me at these inflection points. BTC could easily be a leg lower, but just noting this action today and knowing that I do NOT need to rush in right away for a bounce---there will be plenty of time to find an entry.
Maybe acts like the Jan 2024 $TSLA selloff when we needed a leg lower that could not go much lower and then got bought up.
The point is--- I have NO IDEA!
"The proposed transaction remains subject required third-party and governmental approvals. The parties anticipate initial operational capability in 2026, subject to final approvals."- $KITT
Always make sure to read the whole PR.