The investment thesis for gold and silver comes down to thousands of years of monetary history:
โข Average lifespan of a fiat currency: ~200 years
โข 99% of currencies in history have vanished
โข The surviving ones have lost >99% of their value
Currencies always die because central banks can't stop printing.
Full Money vs. Currency episode in the reply below ๐
Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger always preach staying inside your circle of competence.
The catch: before you can stay inside it, you actually have to build one. Understanding an asset class better than the market is a massive barrier.
Full investing lesson in the reply below ๐
Sam Bankman-Fried claimed it wasn't FTX's 100x leverage on Bitcoin that blew them upโit was 20x leverage on meme coins.
With 100x leverage, a single 1% move against you wipes out everything. Even when you're right, you're wrong with leverage.
Full investing lesson in the reply below ๐
Sam Bankman-Fried secretly moved customer deposits from FTX into his sister firm Alameda Research.
He could see his own clients' trades, bet directly against themโand still somehow lost everything.
Full investing lesson in the reply below ๐
Leopold Aschenbrenner bet on Bloom Energy, semiconductor stocks, and leveraged Oracle putsโall at 4-to-1 leverage.
It doesn't matter how smart you are: if you use too much leverage, even when you're right, you're wrong.
Full investing lesson in the reply below ๐
Columbia valedictorian.
Fired from OpenAI.
Worked at FTX until the day before bankruptcy.
Wrote a 165-page AI manifesto.
Raised billions for a hedge fundโand blew it up with leverage.
Full lesson on The 3 Cardinal Sins of Investing in the reply below ๐
Before FTX collapsed, Sam Bankman-Fried made his original fortune legallyโexploiting the Bitcoin "Kimchi Premium" arbitrage between US and South Korean exchanges.
Open a private credit fundโs disclosure statement and ask what they actually hold.
Theyโll say: "30% software. 20% private debt."
Which companies? What balance sheets? Theyโll never tell you.
Full breakdown below ๐งต๐
#PrivateCredit#Investing#Finance#DueDiligence
Even if a private credit manager has good intentions, how do you verify what your money is actually backing?
You can't audit unlisted companies. You can't see their balance sheets.
Without transparency, due diligence is impossible.
Full breakdown below ๐งต๐
#PrivateCredit #Investing #Finance #DueDiligence
When an advisor pitches an "incredible" private deal with insane yields, ask one question:
"How long does this party last?"
Every gap in the market closes. If they canโt explain the trade's shelf life, they don't understand the risk.
Full breakdown below ๐งต๐
#Investing #Finance #PrivateCredit #Wealth
Ask an AI or check standard textbooks, and they will claim your bank deposits count as money.
They don't.
Neither the numbers on your banking app nor the physical paper notes in your wallet are money. They are sovereign currencyโunbacked credit claims that exist entirely on the perceived legitimacy of the state.
From a strict hard-money perspective, most people hold zero actual money.