Gator Research

Market reads that I actually use to position my stock swing book and day trade futures. Full-time trader, 22+ years in markets.

Free weekly market analysis 👇

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

#ES_F - price is putting in lower highs since June 2

Since 2010, the $SPX has risen in 82% of Julys, so if this month is to be more of that, bulls should take out Friday’s high (the most recent lower high) and work its way higher across the other lower highs

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

#ES_F trade yest

7593, a level that emerged on June 17 (Fed day) when sellers didn’t allow price to pull back further before taking control

Held again 6/22

Did it have one more defense? Yes, sellers pushed away from there again 10:20 est

Target hit quickly (+ then some)

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

#ES_F today hinges on 7593

Above it we target 7607 and 7617, and below it 7533-40

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

$SPX is in a long-term 18 year uptrend

Logarithmic chart is imperative for a compounding asset that's moved well over 100% and over a long time frame

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

If $NBIS trend is strong, it will hold the 50-day simple moving average (yellow)

Failure there and things get ugly fast

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

$SPX 30-day realized volatility exceeds implied volatility (calc uses at-the-money options expiring 30 days out)

When this happens, as it has all week, short-volatility machinery is starving & vol sellers are not being compensated for delivered vol

Precedes capitulation $SPY

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

You don't need 15 indicators to read a regime

The whole #ES_F regime - trend leg and consolidation structure - is legible from four lines

Rallied hard off the low and now digesting in a tightening range near the highs

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

Super easy plan and trade today in #ES_F

We've nailed the reads this week

$SPX $SPY

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@ashwagamma @AdamMancini4 It's puzzling that people are looking for longs in the face of 100 points of selling. Anything could happen, but this was a clear short setup today.

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@AdamMancini4 Two way volatility has been up for a month, with a large expansion in realized vol detected weeks back. Normally implied volatility runs above realized, since options usually cost a bit more than how much the market actually moves.

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@RobertSims101 @AdamMancini4 Not against this one sided action

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@Gail20211 @AdamMancini4 7593 was the level from post Fed selling, much more precise than trying to plot on technical analysis draws

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

Posted my $AVAV plan yesterday

That aged nicely

https://t.co/5hl7txFzBi

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@TicTocTick just a recheck of fed day selling, nothing more or less

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@AdamMancini4 Super high quality signaling and short from the setup level at 7593

This is an environment that favors two-way action and that's exactly what we've gotten

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

Super easy plan and trade today in #ES_F

We've nailed the reads this week

$SPX $SPY

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

#ES_F today hinges on 7593

Above it we target 7607 and 7617, and below it 7533-40

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

Nice hit on #ES_F and that concludes my week

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

#ES_F today hinges on 7593

Above it we target 7607 and 7617, and below it 7533-40

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@TicTocTick Sure is, I posted the 7593 decision level today, and bam got a great short.

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@undy_aeon Haha this is so sad

[Gator Research @GatorResearch]

@TicTocTick I shared one too on #ES_F, except nobody follows me yet