Everyone IGNORE the sell side analyst reports and instead do your own research on what peak annual sales for $QURE AMT130 potentially are. TODAY, sadly there are 40,000 US patients and an equal number in the EU already diagnosed with HD. While not all patients will be eligible for AMT130, probably 50-75% will be.
The bigger potential is the number of at-risk patients who will benefit from this 1-time treatment. In the US I have read there are 200,000 or more at risk. What I believe that means is that at least 1 parent had HD. This will translate into another 100,000 patients who will benefit from the drug in THE US alone. Add an equal number for the EU. This is a rough estimate, and I have read that there are even more at risk.
With numbers like these, I can see at least 5,000, and probably more, patients being treated annually worldwide for as far as the eye can see. We don't know what the treatment will cost. Sadly, gene therapies are very expense with most treatments going for $2-$4.5 million. If you use only 5,000 patients annually at the low end, it means $10 billion in annual revenue in a relatively short time frame. The demand will be incredible and how many patients treated will be limited only by the facilities capable of doing the treatment and getting payers on board. The payer situation will get resolved; it has to.
In the US, there are currently 65 centers of excellence that can perform the procedure TODAY. Many of these centers have multiple operating rooms at each hospital, meaning it is possible more than 1 patient could be treated per day. I know that is not possible but I am just pointing out what the US capacity is right now. If each of these centers only treated 1 patient per week, that gets to over 3,300 procedures/year in the US alone. My estimate of 5,000 patients being treated annually could come in just a few years.
Most sell side analysts are purposefully low balling the estimates of peak revenue so they can keep increasing their target prices going forward. Don't rely on the low-ball estimates that are out there. They are way too low and so is the current price assuming approval late 2026/early 2027.
Peak revenue easily could be $10-20 billion for just AMT130. On Friday, we get data on 6 patients for the TLE program. A year ago, they reported a cessation of seizures in patient #1 who was refractory to available treatments. If they report even a 50% reduction of seizures in these additional 5 patients, the market potential is even greater than AMT130.
Do your own due diligence before relying on something you read on X. I drank the Kool-Aide and believe we are just beginning and we became tremendously de-risked today. Good luck to all, especially those suffering HD.
🚨 WOW! Even CNN is REBUTTING Gavin Newsom's claim that President Trump ORDERED the DOJ to investigate him
Per CNN, the probe was launched last year by the US Attorney's Office in Sacramento based on a whistleblower report. NOT Trump. NOT the DOJ. A WHISTLEBLOWER.
Gavin is doing DAMAGE CONTROL. He KNOWS they're in some hot water!
We’ll see how this goes.
I’m not much of an absolutist, but there is a correct way to run Reta and keeping your carbs low is not the way to do it.
Anyone recommending prioritizing protein over carbs on Reta is not educated on the compound and how to make it shine.
Yes, by all means get your protein in but if you slack on your carbs, the whole process is going to suck and you’re going to stall mentally, your libido will plummet, and the world will have less color.
Plus your weight loss (fat loss) journey will slow.
🚨 JUST IN: JD Vance OBLITERATES Jessica Tarlov claiming President Trump is giving stuff away to Iran
"Jessica, you're making the SAME MISTAKE, unfortunately, that a lot of the Iranian propagandists make."
"They talk about the benefits to the Iranians without ANY of the things Iran has to give up."
"You mentioned $300B...not a single cent of American money under any circumstance, no matter what the Iranians do, goes to Iran, not a single cent of American money!"
"This says, for example, let's say that the United Arab Emirates, who have been a great ally, let's say they want to invest in a power plant in Iran, what this deal provides is that if the Iranians have done everything we require them to do, then we will allow the United Arab Emirates to do that."
"Because they can't do that right now without American approval. So we're fundamentally saying if the Iranians transform how they interact with the world, we will transform how the world economy interacts with Iran!"
"But if they don't do any of that stuff, they don't get any of these benefits. So I think all the Democrats who are saying, well, the Iranians get all these things, they don't get anything unless there's been a complete transformation of how Iran interacts with the world, that would be a huge win for America!"
"If they don't do any of these things, we don't give them anything. They don't receive anything. Their nuclear program is still destroyed. Their military is still destroyed. Their missile program and industrial base is still destroyed. We fundamentally have transformed the Middle East. Whether they comply or not, this is just icing on the cake, assuming they do all the right things."
🚨 JUST NOW: John Thune goes on TV making VERY clear he's TOO WEAK to get the SAVE America Act passed
Thune is HOPELESS. He needs to go. We've WASTED our Republican trifecta with Thune at the helm in the Senate.
Thune also REJECTED Trump's demand to attach the SAVE Act to FISA, saying it would "tank" the surveillance bill.
WHO CARES?! SAVE America Act is MUCH more important than your spy bill.
GET IT DONE OR RESIGN, THUNE!
White liberal woman trashes a Phoenix restaurant… because the owners are two white brothers. She calls them racist and misogynistic simply bc they are white!
Who else thinks this woman has zero friends and literally no one wants to be around her?
If you’re in Phoenix, go check out Poolboy Taco. Let’s show this nutbag exactly how little her opinion matters by packing the place! 🔥🇺🇸
🚨 WOW! Greg Gutfeld just WENT BERSERK on the violent left with JD Vance on-scene as Jessica Tarlov tries the "BOTH SIDES" BS
"That we are nazis and deserve to DIE, that's what conservatives hear EVERY SINGLE DAY. SAVE IT!" 🔥
GUTFELD: "The rhetoric is directly related to the inflammatory rhetoric of the mainstream left, which has become so mundane because they're supporting some a*shole with a Nazi tattoo on his chest. This is why liberal outrage has no credibility!"
"Is it no surprise that Charlie Kirk gets killed? Is it no surprise that Trump gets shot at? Is it no surprise there are these large terror plans that end up being thwarted? We're lucky they got thwarted!"
"The reason why the reason why they're always young is because young zealots do the work that old socialists won't."
TARLOV: Melissa Hortman was killed, the pipe bomber!
GUTFELD: "Do it side by side. It's ONE WAY. You're comparing that to a repetitive rhetoric that's been going on for 10 years where people are called Nazis and deserve to die!"
"That's what conservatives here every single day. Save it!" 🔥
Many have found health care is actually health commerce
Rarely doctors are interested in collaborative care and open discussion
They don’t give a shit about the individual labs your ran, your independent N=1 research, peptide stack
It sucks, but foolish to think otherwise
BREAKING: Stuart Bell told the University of Florida trustees he didn't merely rename and continue Alabama's DEI offices.
But unearthed faculty senate meeting minutes reveal that Bell assured faculty the exact opposite was true: "The DEI renaming is a name change only."
Mohsen Mahdawi, a 34 year old at Columbia University who spent 15 YEARS as an undergrad student, is on his way to being deported back to his native Jordan.
These "forever students" show a MASSIVE loophole in our system. 🧵
Angry Leftist woman publishes negative review of a restaurant because she thinks it's too "White"
She says it gives off vibes of "racism, misogyny, and ped*philia" because two White men own it.
If you live in the Phoenix area, consider supporting this restaurant.